Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

[ender749]

Sando what is your pick on Lakers vs Warriors??

read his posts man. like the pick is in his main post for the day - how can you miss it? here you are:

GS @ LA Lakers
1* Over 102.5 1st Half (-109/$1.91 Centrebet)
1.5* Warriors -6 (-103/$1.97 Pinnacle)

[sando]

Great day so far 6-0 on the main plays...

...but seriously - I don't know why I even bother with player props, they are hard to resist when you think you have a nice angle but seriously there can't be much long term +EV...?

I mean DeRozan has 15 points at HT, and scores 2 in the 2nd Half to fall under 21.5

...and Green goes 0-8 and has a terrible shooting night, whereas Henderson decides to have "one of those nights" and is leading his team in scoring and yet Green had countless opportunities to hit just 1 three pointer (0-8) which amazingly would have cashed the prop...

[sando]

2nd Half Play

1* Jazz -1 2nd Half (+100 Pinnacle) Sorry it's a bit late

Dallas heading to Denver tomorrow to play the back to back - guaranteed the starters will hardly play the 2nd half with this massive lead. Old legs need rest - especially when heading to Denver on B2B. Also junk team like Utah are great at running up the score in "garbage time"

[jimmy007oc]

@Sandro: One of my strategy that I've been using for those blowout game like Dallas vs Jazz is wait until 4Q, bet Jazz to win that 4th Q. These strategy has paid off very well. If Dallas blow them out 3Q with big lead. Same thing apply to Nets game, Nets got blown out. Timberwolves won 3Q, bet Net against the spread 4th Q.

[unitedlad]

That's also a trend I have been following. If a team gets beat in the first 3Q, they more likely than not win the 4th Quarter and cover the spread. Difficult to bet on consistently however.

[nzgamma]

Thanks for the responses and advice guys, much appreciated.

Sando I'm very much looking forward to the league season starting again. I think the draw comes out next week. What markets do you prefer when betting on the NRL? Lines? Margins?

[sando]

Kevin Love, PF	28	5-11	0-3	7-7	6	10	16	4	2	0	1	1	+30	17
Corey Brewer, SF	28	6-13	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	+30	15
Nikola Pekovic, C	26	5-12	0-0	5-7	4	3	7	1	0	1	1	1	+28	15
Ricky Rubio, PG	25	4-8	2-3	2-2	0	2	2	8	3	0	2	3	+22	12
Kevin Martin, SG	31	6-16	2-6	3-3	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	2	+34	17
Derrick Williams, PF	12	3-7	0-1	0-0	2	2	4	0	1	0	0	1	-5	6
Dante Cunningham, PF	19	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	6	7	3	1	1	1	2	+9	4
Robbie Hummel, SF	21	2-7	1-6	0-0	0	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	+1	5
Gorgui Dieng, C	6	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	0	0	3	1	2	-4	4
J.J. Barea, PG	15	2-5	2-4	2-2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	+11	8
Alexey Shved, PG	11	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	-7	2
A.J. Price, PG	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	-4	0
Shabazz Muhammad, SF	Has not entered game
		38-93	10-33	19-21	17	28	45	26	9	6	8	17		105

This is the perfect example of a coach's dream box score...

Notice the impressive amount of offensive boards, assists, steals, blocks and low turnovers.

AND most importantly the even contribution of scoring across the entire board, from the starters and the bench.

A box score like this wins 95 out of every 100 games (No surprise the T-Wolves are winning by 30+)

[WalkingLuckCharm]

great pick with the jazz

[sando]

NBA 2nd Half Play

1* Blazers -6 2nd Half (-108 Pinnacle)

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover

[sando]

Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover

We'll see...

[shevabets]

Got some Portland ML at +320. Let's get it!

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Good call.

[OZnBa Fan]

Really? Portland looks lucky to be down 15. Chicago won't let them have open shots in the 3q and you might be looking for a Backdoor cover

Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude

[Cornelius]

All the missed fts in the GSA game is killing me
Ends up killing the over ..

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude

Ya I forgot lol

[sando]

All the missed fts in the GSA game is killing me
Ends up killing the over ..

Yeah Deja Vu - for the 2nd time this season needed an Iguodala bucket at the buzzer to hit an over...

[Cornelius]

Klay Thompson missing two fts. Sums it up. It wasn't meant to be

[No coincidences]

Chicago on a b2b from Denver in high altitude

That's horseshit in November. Meaningless. Just another excuse for the schizo Bulls and their tendencies to completely implode.

[OZnBa Fan]

That's horseshit in November. Meaningless. Just another excuse for the schizo Bulls and their tendencies to completely implode.

for a half time play I wouldn't really say that's horse shit

[dymd3z]

Yes, this Lakers/GS game was brutal loosing by half a hook...

[shevabets]

[Puda]

took the -2.5 live blazers...

[sando]

Pretty sick, I went against my own instincts - 3 & 7 key numbers - I was going to buy the hook on the Blazers to bring it to -3 (I usually will buy -7.5 down to -7 and -3.5 down to -3). I specifically remember thinking it won't matter as I made the play pre game. Live and learn...

[WalkingLuckCharm]

sharp lines these days... any plays for tonight?

[sando]

sharp lines these days... any plays for tonight?

Yeah will have couple of Rugby Union and League plays a bit later.
I still have a couple of trades I need to find exit points for in Lakers game first.

[nzgamma]

Do you bet the NBL at all sando?

[davopnz]

^ he doesn't.

sando wee alt line multi i love overnight...england +18.5(in the league) argentina +10.5, aus ml, france +16.5(all rugby internationals) pays $2.07

[nzgamma]

Surely NZ -5.5 @ 1.73 is a much better bet than England +18.5 @ 1.23

[davopnz]

I think England will keep it very close and have a great shot at winning.

[nzgamma]

Totally agree especially considering its over there. NZ -3.5 is 1.57
almost certainly England stay within 3 converted tries

[davopnz]

They played great against the Kangaroo's and I think it was in a space of about 10 minutes they let in 3-4 tries to Aussie. Kiwi's have not looked as good as Aussie so I very much believe England have a good shot at this.

[Shazzadude]

Too many legs for double pay IMO. I think all the legs bar Aussie ML are capable of potentially falling through.

I lean Kiwis 1-12, 8.5 is about right I think however given how strong the Kiwis are on the interchange.

[sando]

Rugby Internationals

Argentina @ Italy
2* Argentina ML (+100/$2.00 Pinnacle)

more to follow...

[sando]

Rugby Internationals

Argentina @ Italy
2* Argentina ML (+100/$2.00 Pinnacle)

more to follow...

South Afrika @ France
1* Springboks (to win by) 1-12 (+150/$2.50 Bet365)