Afl 2012

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  • johno35
    SBR MVP
    • 10-19-11
    • 1123

    #666
    Originally posted by kingsr
    I like this opportunity. The rain presents a great opportunity to slow ess down and coll midfield can dominate.
    Yeah totally agree with that, if it was dry I would back Essendon's run but I think the skills of Pendlebury and Co will be the difference today. No Hurley will hurt Essendon also, I'm on Pies and under 174.5
    Comment
    • brettels
      SBR MVP
      • 11-04-10
      • 3376

      #667
      Going small on pies h2h... Don't know where they are at but think they may have some real fight in them to try and prove a point that they may still be contenders but if they lose I think it's the real sign of the fall of collingwood.
      Comment
      • Lookingtostart
        SBR MVP
        • 04-25-11
        • 1584

        #668
        Regarding O/U, what would be a good be if Collingwood were to play like Port?
        Comment
        • johno35
          SBR MVP
          • 10-19-11
          • 1123

          #669
          This MCG ground is awesome, its been raining for 3 solid days here in Melb and the ground is in perfect nik. Under still looking good though
          Comment
          • brettels
            SBR MVP
            • 11-04-10
            • 3376

            #670
            Thank jebus for refund offers on these big games ! If collingwood lose, im getting a refund(leading at half time).
            Comment
            • brettels
              SBR MVP
              • 11-04-10
              • 3376

              #671
              80-79 collingwood win!

              good game i thought!
              Comment
              • Lookingtostart
                SBR MVP
                • 04-25-11
                • 1584

                #672
                I missed the play, waited too long to place a bet! Well done Essendon line backers!

                Does anyone remember the closing line?
                Comment
                • kingsr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-23-10
                  • 1983

                  #673
                  Originally posted by kingsr
                  $1200 on collingwood ML $1.75!
                  Oh yeah! What a way to win! Swan best indivual performance I have ever seen from him!

                  Gimme the cash!
                  Comment
                  • Coopertrooper
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-20-12
                    • 925

                    #674
                    Originally posted by kingsr
                    Oh yeah! What a way to win! Swan best indivual performance I have ever seen from him!

                    Gimme the cash!
                    Nicely done!

                    Yeah, probably Swannies best game, dragged us over the line in the end.
                    Comment
                    • brettels
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-04-10
                      • 3376

                      #675
                      Well done kingsr

                      I think carlton bounce back this week and will be too good for freo!
                      Comment
                      • kingsr
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-10
                        • 1983

                        #676
                        Thanks boys. Let's keep making that ca$h!
                        Comment
                        • brettels
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-04-10
                          • 3376

                          #677
                          Big drop on the carlton odds
                          Comment
                          • Coopertrooper
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-20-12
                            • 925

                            #678
                            Originally posted by brettels
                            Big drop on the carlton odds
                            No doubt due to Sandilands missing... but I still feel they'll be a little too good for the blues. They'll be tough to beat over there... have a free bet on the game for the points market, so took freo 1-39 @2.85
                            Comment
                            • brettels
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 3376

                              #679
                              currently the only total is at b365 @180.5 so as an indicator how do the aussie books open? around the same or sometimes a big difference? i rarely check 365 but now i try to get a feel of what the aussie books might open the total with.

                              carlton and freo over 180.5 on a good day, hows the weather in perth for tonight?

                              I'm having a crack at the line/o&u double when it comes out in favour of carltons line
                              Comment
                              • brettels
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-04-10
                                • 3376

                                #680
                                carlton at the points -11.5 @2.10 (sportsbet)

                                Carlton -8.5/over 185.5 double @3.45 (TAB vic)
                                Comment
                                • kingsr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-23-10
                                  • 1983

                                  #681
                                  I think the value on Freemantle is amazing. $2.30 at home in what seems to be a toss of the coin job...
                                  Comment
                                  • Domestic
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-10-09
                                    • 6323

                                    #682
                                    Originally posted by kingsr
                                    I think the value on Freemantle is amazing. $2.30 at home in what seems to be a toss of the coin job...
                                    I'm thinking the same way, love the western teams at home in the AFL.
                                    Comment
                                    • MatI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5200

                                      #683
                                      I just read this comment in a sportal article, this is from a sportingbet spokesman -

                                      "There has been twice the money on Fremantle to win as there has been on Carlton," he said. "And there has also been a lot of interest on the Dockers to win by 1-39 points (at $2.55)."

                                      Can this comment be trusted? If double the amount of bets are going on Freo, why are odds drifting out against them?

                                      I am already pretty keen on taking Carlton in this one, but if the above is true, then even more so IMO.

                                      Also, Carlton have the speed on Freo, and on such a big ground, they should be able to create plenty of space for themselves. The concern I think, for Blues, is they will miss the speed provided by Yarran, but the introduction of Walker & Garlett should be able to cover this. Sandilands out is going to be a big blow I think. Carlton can win out of the centre and should have plenty of options due to space and their speed.
                                      Comment
                                      • brettels
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-04-10
                                        • 3376

                                        #684
                                        And it would be one of judds favourite grounds
                                        Comment
                                        • Coopertrooper
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-20-12
                                          • 925

                                          #685
                                          Warm over in Perth, so don't think it'll break open, and both sides could tire a bit. Like the under, will hit it for 1 unit. Early days on betfair, but most money seems to be for the under (their market has 185.5 up)
                                          Comment
                                          • nocode1
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-01-10
                                            • 1002

                                            #686
                                            Hey guys going over 183.5 in the freo/Carlton game

                                            Also having a multi

                                            Carlton +18.5
                                            north -46.5
                                            brisbane +55.5
                                            hawthorn +14.5
                                            adelaide +19.5

                                            @2.52

                                            Im putting 2 units on this one, really like it
                                            Comment
                                            • Coopertrooper
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-20-12
                                              • 925

                                              #687
                                              And not long after I said that, the over is now down to about $1.90 on betfair, and the under is $2.10. Very sudden change, but looks like there could be some juicy odds there.
                                              Comment
                                              • johno35
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-19-11
                                                • 1123

                                                #688
                                                Originally posted by brettels
                                                carlton at the points -11.5 @2.10 (sportsbet)

                                                Carlton -8.5/over 185.5 double @3.45 (TAB vic)
                                                I'm with you Brett, got Carl -7.5 and over 183.5 on bet365
                                                Comment
                                                • brettels
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-04-10
                                                  • 3376

                                                  #689
                                                  Originally posted by johno35
                                                  I'm with you Brett, got Carl -7.5 and over 183.5 on bet365
                                                  Good stuff just did a bit more on the double with sportsbet same 183 total with 6.5 line.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brettels
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-04-10
                                                    • 3376

                                                    #690
                                                    Originally posted by nocode1
                                                    Hey guys going over 183.5 in the freo/Carlton game

                                                    Also having a multi

                                                    Carlton +18.5
                                                    north -46.5
                                                    brisbane +55.5
                                                    hawthorn +14.5
                                                    adelaide +19.5

                                                    @2.52

                                                    Im putting 2 units on this one, really like it
                                                    Awesome let's cash it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brettels
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-04-10
                                                      • 3376

                                                      #691
                                                      As long as the blues cover the points i pretty much break even
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johno35
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                        • 1123

                                                        #692
                                                        It's becoming clear what Ross Lyon is going to do with this team, its all about defence. How many ball ups in this game?? So many players around the stoppages, takes all the run out of the game. This is exactly what happened at the saints, we couldn't score, and that's what going to happen to Freo. Hopefully Carlton can cover for us Brett
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brettels
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-04-10
                                                          • 3376

                                                          #693
                                                          Agree there johno, freo are the new saints, where ever ross lyon will be its going to be an unders team. Lesson learned tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brettels
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-04-10
                                                            • 3376

                                                            #694
                                                            That was such a cruel finish
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lookingtostart
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-25-11
                                                              • 1584

                                                              #695
                                                              Bookies been very sharp this year, got the line at +9.5 so I'm relieved, I need to keep line shopping.

                                                              There's been a number of game lines decided by .5 or 1.5 points this year, I encourage everyone to do some line shopping for these games, get on Pinnacle for a start.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Coopertrooper
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-20-12
                                                                • 925

                                                                #696
                                                                Got going too late the dockers! Was surprised the total points figure was so high, easiest bet of the year so far!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • brettels
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-04-10
                                                                  • 3376

                                                                  #697
                                                                  LTS Pinnacle might often have good odds but they have stuff all markets for my liking! We will get on top of the books very very soon.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brettels
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-04-10
                                                                    • 3376

                                                                    #698
                                                                    North Melbourne QT Line -20.5

                                                                    North Melbourne Line -85.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Domestic
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-10-09
                                                                      • 6323

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Good luck brettels, hard to see GC keeping in touch with the roos with no Ablett and also playing away. Look like strong plays.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • johno35
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                                        • 1123

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Good luck today Brett, I think there are some good opportunities today, my best bet is Lions/Cats over 168.5
                                                                        Comment
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