Afl 2012

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  • brettels
    SBR MVP
    • 11-04-10
    • 3376

    #771
    Originally posted by brettels
    Tigers -9.5 @2.10 sportsbet


    A positive weekend!
    Comment
    • kingsr
      SBR MVP
      • 01-23-10
      • 1983

      #772
      Your beloved team saved my ass today!!! Tigers woohoooo!
      Comment
      • Coopertrooper
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-20-12
        • 925

        #773
        Looks like everyone had a good weekend. I'd forgotten I'd chucked $5 on Goldsack kicking the first goal, so put me well up. Finally a big weekend
        Comment
        • brettels
          SBR MVP
          • 11-04-10
          • 3376

          #774
          Shyzen. What were Goldsacks odds?
          Comment
          • Lookingtostart
            SBR MVP
            • 04-25-11
            • 1584

            #775
            Monday's release, 7-5-12

            ...
            Comment
            • kingsr
              SBR MVP
              • 01-23-10
              • 1983

              #776
              Geelong
              Gold Coast
              Sydney - Over reaction with Goodes out
              Nth Melb

              These stand out to me at first glimpse.
              Comment
              • Lookingtostart
                SBR MVP
                • 04-25-11
                • 1584

                #777
                Adelaide ML against Geelong. Will have to look into it more, but as it stands, inside knowledge has often proven to be a winner. Adelaide starting to play more and more like Geelong in their recent years.

                Goodes isn't as consistently good as people might think, Sydney can hold their own without him. Tigers beating Port was nothing. I like Sydney with this one.

                Port/Freemantle will be interesting, Port are always competitive in the West. But who would be BRAVE enough to bet Port to cover? They are so unpredictable on the spreads.

                There's a guy on bigfooty forum who writes in-depth previews for every port game, he obviously puts in his time to do so. Everyone agrees with him and thanks him for a good write up. I'm not going to mention his username out of respect, but his write-ups are massive fade material! With everything he writes, the opposite is true.
                Comment
                • brettels
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-04-10
                  • 3376

                  #778
                  LTS! It's you on bigfooty don't be hard on yourself!

                  I am shocked richmond are favourite, obviously to the reaction of goodes but they also don't have mumford so we are going to dominate in the ruck. The Josh kennedy guy who became brownlow favourite from nowhere, I had never heard of him till last week and i have watched some sydney games! Obviously not paying attention to the swans.

                  Richmond have upset sydney twice in a row playing in melbourne, when we were a shit team too and they were a finals team then too obviously.

                  I think Sydney should be favourite but I'm not going to say they will win either. I think Richmond can win it again.
                  Comment
                  • Coopertrooper
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-20-12
                    • 925

                    #779
                    Goldy was 40-1. I hate backing those markets usually, but knew we'd play him up forward this week. Didn't think he'd start on the bench though, didn't really deserve to win that one but I'll take it!

                    Looking at this week, and I think there is good early value. Taking Gold Coast at -19.5 ($2.10) and West Coast -1.5 ($2.10), both are slightly better on IAS than those above. I'll double them up, and play the West Coast one again. The bombers are playing good footy, but does Kennedy being out really make them favourites against the current front-runner for the premiership? I think they've got that one very wrong.
                    Comment
                    • johno35
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-19-11
                      • 1123

                      #780
                      Originally posted by Coopertrooper
                      Goldy was 40-1. I hate backing those markets usually, but knew we'd play him up forward this week. Didn't think he'd start on the bench though, didn't really deserve to win that one but I'll take it!

                      Looking at this week, and I think there is good early value. Taking Gold Coast at -19.5 ($2.10) and West Coast -1.5 ($2.10), both are slightly better on IAS than those above. I'll double them up, and play the West Coast one again. The bombers are playing good footy, but does Kennedy being out really make them favourites against the current front-runner for the premiership? I think they've got that one very wrong.
                      Good stuff mate, you didn't happen to get an inside tip from Heath Shaw did you? LOL

                      Not too sure on this week yet, I like Freo to cover but with the way Freo play these days its hard to beat teams convincingly, I would like the under in that one whatever it is. I like West Coast +2.5 and North -16.5
                      Comment
                      • brettels
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-04-10
                        • 3376

                        #781
                        I think GWS are a very good chance to take the win this weekend. Bock is out and I think David swallow is gone too, not 100% sure on David swallow!

                        That is 2 leaders of GC now out, really unstable for the suns including a couple others!

                        Be careful!
                        Comment
                        • Coopertrooper
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-20-12
                          • 925

                          #782
                          Originally posted by johno35
                          Good stuff mate, you didn't happen to get an inside tip from Heath Shaw did you? LOL

                          Not too sure on this week yet, I like Freo to cover but with the way Freo play these days its hard to beat teams convincingly, I would like the under in that one whatever it is. I like West Coast +2.5 and North -16.5
                          You'd know if Shaw liked it too, because it would have come into about 10-1


                          Also like the look of the roos, but might wait until later in the week on that one.

                          Also Brettels, I can see your angle on that one, but I think after the past few weeks the GC have come so close to getting a win and just haven't quite got there. They will be hungry for a win, and their kids have filled the shoes of Ablett/Rischitelli/Harbrow well. Bock is a big loss for them for sure, not sure whether Swallow will play or not. Of course, GWS have been competitive in recent weeks too, but they've only been doing it for 1 or 2 quarters, and then falling away. I think GC will blow it out in the last quarter.

                          Feel like having something on Friday night, think I'll look at the under/over. Think the range for me is 170-195. Anything outside of that and I'll have a crack! (Unless there is a bit of rain about)
                          Comment
                          • brettels
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-04-10
                            • 3376

                            #783
                            Odds on swans slowly moving into favourites.
                            Comment
                            • Gee
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 4547

                              #784
                              Unreal.

                              Cooper and Johno, I'm very much on the other side of this one. I'm debating taking it now, but I'll wait on teams on Thursday.

                              Line moving toward Bombers though...
                              Comment
                              • Gee
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-08-10
                                • 4547

                                #785
                                If anyone sees a total on GWS game let me know. Maybe bet365 on Friday.

                                I am not holding my breath on anything playable.

                                Scrubs under factor + Manuka + derby factor means this will be low scoring. I'll play anything around 170. Anything less than that for a fair game in good weather has too many variables.
                                Comment
                                • rustie3000
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-15-10
                                  • 1

                                  #786
                                  Thinking of going hawks to score 121+@$1.90
                                  Comment
                                  • brettels
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-04-10
                                    • 3376

                                    #787
                                    Welcome Rustie! Looks good value, field day for Franklin and Rioli.
                                    Comment
                                    • brettels
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-04-10
                                      • 3376

                                      #788
                                      Ablett is back, GCS for the win.
                                      Comment
                                      • Gee
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-08-10
                                        • 4547

                                        #789
                                        Oh for fuks sake. Bombers -8.5 now... really??

                                        Should've gone with my gut.

                                        Hope whoever posted about doubling up on Eagles -1.5 waited.
                                        Comment
                                        • johno35
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-11
                                          • 1123

                                          #790
                                          Why is the money going on the Bombers, I know the Bombers are doing well this year but should they be 8.5 point favourites against the top team? I haven't seen the teams, is Naitanui back in? If he is I'm def liking WC
                                          Comment
                                          • Lookingtostart
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-25-11
                                            • 1584

                                            #791
                                            Originally posted by Gee
                                            Oh for fuks sake. Bombers -8.5 now... really??

                                            Should've gone with my gut.

                                            Hope whoever posted about doubling up on Eagles -1.5 waited.
                                            Could it be the lack of forward fire-power for the Eagles? If they play like they did against North then the line's about right.
                                            Comment
                                            • brettels
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-04-10
                                              • 3376

                                              #792
                                              Looking, please explain your avatar.
                                              Comment
                                              • Lookingtostart
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-25-11
                                                • 1584

                                                #793
                                                Balotelli to West Coast.
                                                Comment
                                                • brettels
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-04-10
                                                  • 3376

                                                  #794
                                                  WAFL player?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MatI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5200

                                                    #795
                                                    Brettels, Balotelli plays for Man City. Not WAFL!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Gee
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-08-10
                                                      • 4547

                                                      #796
                                                      Originally posted by Lookingtostart
                                                      Could it be the lack of forward fire-power for the Eagles? If they play like they did against North then the line's about right.
                                                      Yeh, I know its about right, if not too far out. Thats why I'm annoyed I didn't get it at -2.5 or -3.5. I was about to pull the trigger, but I was hoping to get a better number and wanted to wait on team news...

                                                      I can't play it at -8.5. I'll will probably parlay them with gold coast.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brettels
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-04-10
                                                        • 3376

                                                        #797
                                                        Originally posted by MatI
                                                        Brettels, Balotelli plays for Man City. Not WAFL!
                                                        classic
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johno35
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-19-11
                                                          • 1123

                                                          #798
                                                          I have the over 190.5 tonight, no Hodge and Gibson, plus no one to line up on Clark means could be a few goals kicked at the Demons end. I still think they will get pumped though so thats why I like the over. Anyone else with me?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Coopertrooper
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-20-12
                                                            • 925

                                                            #799
                                                            Originally posted by johno35
                                                            I have the over 190.5 tonight, no Hodge and Gibson, plus no one to line up on Clark means could be a few goals kicked at the Demons end. I still think they will get pumped though so thats why I like the over. Anyone else with me?
                                                            Sorry mate, I'm against you on that one. Think the demons will score about 10 goals, and hawks just need to be kept to 20. Certainly not a lock either way though.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johno35
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-19-11
                                                              • 1123

                                                              #800
                                                              This score line should be another 4 goals more, terrible kicking for goal by both teams
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brettels
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-04-10
                                                                • 3376

                                                                #801
                                                                What will the GWS gcs total be any guesses?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Coopertrooper
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-20-12
                                                                  • 925

                                                                  #802
                                                                  Originally posted by brettels
                                                                  What will the GWS gcs total be any guesses?
                                                                  I'll guess:

                                                                  If little/no rain: 170.5
                                                                  If rain: 155.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • johno35
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-19-11
                                                                    • 1123

                                                                    #803
                                                                    Total is on Bet365 at 185.5, so I'm guessing everyone will be on the under
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Coopertrooper
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-20-12
                                                                      • 925

                                                                      #804
                                                                      Wow, they must figure that each team will have a leaky defence... I'll have a better look at it in the morning I think.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • brettels
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-04-10
                                                                        • 3376

                                                                        #805
                                                                        on tigers and pies today
                                                                        Comment
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