Your beloved team saved my ass today!!! Tigers woohoooo!
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Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#773
Looks like everyone had a good weekend. I'd forgotten I'd chucked $5 on Goldsack kicking the first goal, so put me well up. Finally a big weekend
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#774
Shyzen. What were Goldsacks odds?
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Lookingtostart
SBR MVP
04-25-11
1584
#775
Monday's release, 7-5-12
...
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kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#776
Geelong
Gold Coast
Sydney - Over reaction with Goodes out
Nth Melb
These stand out to me at first glimpse.
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Lookingtostart
SBR MVP
04-25-11
1584
#777
Adelaide ML against Geelong. Will have to look into it more, but as it stands, inside knowledge has often proven to be a winner. Adelaide starting to play more and more like Geelong in their recent years.
Goodes isn't as consistently good as people might think, Sydney can hold their own without him. Tigers beating Port was nothing. I like Sydney with this one.
Port/Freemantle will be interesting, Port are always competitive in the West. But who would be BRAVE enough to bet Port to cover? They are so unpredictable on the spreads.
There's a guy on bigfooty forum who writes in-depth previews for every port game, he obviously puts in his time to do so. Everyone agrees with him and thanks him for a good write up. I'm not going to mention his username out of respect, but his write-ups are massive fade material! With everything he writes, the opposite is true.
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#778
LTS! It's you on bigfooty don't be hard on yourself!
I am shocked richmond are favourite, obviously to the reaction of goodes but they also don't have mumford so we are going to dominate in the ruck. The Josh kennedy guy who became brownlow favourite from nowhere, I had never heard of him till last week and i have watched some sydney games! Obviously not paying attention to the swans.
Richmond have upset sydney twice in a row playing in melbourne, when we were a shit team too and they were a finals team then too obviously.
I think Sydney should be favourite but I'm not going to say they will win either. I think Richmond can win it again.
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Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#779
Goldy was 40-1. I hate backing those markets usually, but knew we'd play him up forward this week. Didn't think he'd start on the bench though, didn't really deserve to win that one but I'll take it!
Looking at this week, and I think there is good early value. Taking Gold Coast at -19.5 ($2.10) and West Coast -1.5 ($2.10), both are slightly better on IAS than those above. I'll double them up, and play the West Coast one again. The bombers are playing good footy, but does Kennedy being out really make them favourites against the current front-runner for the premiership? I think they've got that one very wrong.
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johno35
SBR MVP
10-19-11
1123
#780
Originally posted by Coopertrooper
Goldy was 40-1. I hate backing those markets usually, but knew we'd play him up forward this week. Didn't think he'd start on the bench though, didn't really deserve to win that one but I'll take it!
Looking at this week, and I think there is good early value. Taking Gold Coast at -19.5 ($2.10) and West Coast -1.5 ($2.10), both are slightly better on IAS than those above. I'll double them up, and play the West Coast one again. The bombers are playing good footy, but does Kennedy being out really make them favourites against the current front-runner for the premiership? I think they've got that one very wrong.
Good stuff mate, you didn't happen to get an inside tip from Heath Shaw did you? LOL
Not too sure on this week yet, I like Freo to cover but with the way Freo play these days its hard to beat teams convincingly, I would like the under in that one whatever it is. I like West Coast +2.5 and North -16.5
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#781
I think GWS are a very good chance to take the win this weekend. Bock is out and I think David swallow is gone too, not 100% sure on David swallow!
That is 2 leaders of GC now out, really unstable for the suns including a couple others!
Be careful!
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Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#782
Originally posted by johno35
Good stuff mate, you didn't happen to get an inside tip from Heath Shaw did you? LOL
Not too sure on this week yet, I like Freo to cover but with the way Freo play these days its hard to beat teams convincingly, I would like the under in that one whatever it is. I like West Coast +2.5 and North -16.5
You'd know if Shaw liked it too, because it would have come into about 10-1
Also like the look of the roos, but might wait until later in the week on that one.
Also Brettels, I can see your angle on that one, but I think after the past few weeks the GC have come so close to getting a win and just haven't quite got there. They will be hungry for a win, and their kids have filled the shoes of Ablett/Rischitelli/Harbrow well. Bock is a big loss for them for sure, not sure whether Swallow will play or not. Of course, GWS have been competitive in recent weeks too, but they've only been doing it for 1 or 2 quarters, and then falling away. I think GC will blow it out in the last quarter.
Feel like having something on Friday night, think I'll look at the under/over. Think the range for me is 170-195. Anything outside of that and I'll have a crack! (Unless there is a bit of rain about)
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#783
Odds on swans slowly moving into favourites.
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Gee
SBR MVP
04-08-10
4547
#784
Unreal.
Cooper and Johno, I'm very much on the other side of this one. I'm debating taking it now, but I'll wait on teams on Thursday.
Line moving toward Bombers though...
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Gee
SBR MVP
04-08-10
4547
#785
If anyone sees a total on GWS game let me know. Maybe bet365 on Friday.
I am not holding my breath on anything playable.
Scrubs under factor + Manuka + derby factor means this will be low scoring. I'll play anything around 170. Anything less than that for a fair game in good weather has too many variables.
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rustie3000
SBR Rookie
11-15-10
1
#786
Thinking of going hawks to score 121+@$1.90
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#787
Welcome Rustie! Looks good value, field day for Franklin and Rioli.
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#788
Ablett is back, GCS for the win.
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Gee
SBR MVP
04-08-10
4547
#789
Oh for fuks sake. Bombers -8.5 now... really??
Should've gone with my gut.
Hope whoever posted about doubling up on Eagles -1.5 waited.
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johno35
SBR MVP
10-19-11
1123
#790
Why is the money going on the Bombers, I know the Bombers are doing well this year but should they be 8.5 point favourites against the top team? I haven't seen the teams, is Naitanui back in? If he is I'm def liking WC
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Lookingtostart
SBR MVP
04-25-11
1584
#791
Originally posted by Gee
Oh for fuks sake. Bombers -8.5 now... really??
Should've gone with my gut.
Hope whoever posted about doubling up on Eagles -1.5 waited.
Could it be the lack of forward fire-power for the Eagles? If they play like they did against North then the line's about right.
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#792
Looking, please explain your avatar.
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Lookingtostart
SBR MVP
04-25-11
1584
#793
Balotelli to West Coast.
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#794
WAFL player?
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MatI
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5200
#795
Brettels, Balotelli plays for Man City. Not WAFL!
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Gee
SBR MVP
04-08-10
4547
#796
Originally posted by Lookingtostart
Could it be the lack of forward fire-power for the Eagles? If they play like they did against North then the line's about right.
Yeh, I know its about right, if not too far out. Thats why I'm annoyed I didn't get it at -2.5 or -3.5. I was about to pull the trigger, but I was hoping to get a better number and wanted to wait on team news...
I can't play it at -8.5. I'll will probably parlay them with gold coast.
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#797
Originally posted by MatI
Brettels, Balotelli plays for Man City. Not WAFL!
classic
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johno35
SBR MVP
10-19-11
1123
#798
I have the over 190.5 tonight, no Hodge and Gibson, plus no one to line up on Clark means could be a few goals kicked at the Demons end. I still think they will get pumped though so thats why I like the over. Anyone else with me?
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Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#799
Originally posted by johno35
I have the over 190.5 tonight, no Hodge and Gibson, plus no one to line up on Clark means could be a few goals kicked at the Demons end. I still think they will get pumped though so thats why I like the over. Anyone else with me?
Sorry mate, I'm against you on that one. Think the demons will score about 10 goals, and hawks just need to be kept to 20. Certainly not a lock either way though.
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johno35
SBR MVP
10-19-11
1123
#800
This score line should be another 4 goals more, terrible kicking for goal by both teams
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brettels
SBR MVP
11-04-10
3376
#801
What will the GWS gcs total be any guesses?
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Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#802
Originally posted by brettels
What will the GWS gcs total be any guesses?
I'll guess:
If little/no rain: 170.5
If rain: 155.5
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johno35
SBR MVP
10-19-11
1123
#803
Total is on Bet365 at 185.5, so I'm guessing everyone will be on the under
Comment
Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#804
Wow, they must figure that each team will have a leaky defence... I'll have a better look at it in the morning I think.