Afl 2012

[nocode1]

Jack Ziebell 26 disposals or more @1.90 I'm hitting this for 1 unit

[johno35]

Its only light rain in Brisbane, if it was belting down I would avoid.

Anyone watching the GWS game? GWS going great, keeping the Dogs goaless in first quarter. Also why does Mark Ricciuto sound like his balls haven't dropped? His sounds like a 13 year old, haha

[brettels]

haven't come out at aussie books yet and i think they will bring it out a bit higher, will wait and see, rain may make me avoid.

[kingsr]

Rain in Brisbane...that's why total is low.

[kingsr]

Which book is offering totals for few game this early?

[Lookingtostart]

Good luck today Brett, I think there are some good opportunities today, my best bet is Lions/Cats over 168.5

I like it, seems too good though. What's the catch? Maybe the weather?

[brettels]

Good luck today Brett, I think there are some good opportunities today, my best bet is Lions/Cats over 168.5

Tailing this, looks the goods. Will make it best bet for today.

[Coopertrooper]

I'm trying to stay away from those 2 games, except some of the exotic markets, but certainy GC look like they'll cop a belting. GL!

[johno35]

Good luck today Brett, I think there are some good opportunities today, my best bet is Lions/Cats over 168.5

[Domestic]

Good luck brettels, hard to see GC keeping in touch with the roos with no Ablett and also playing away. Look like strong plays.

[brettels]

North Melbourne QT Line -20.5

North Melbourne Line -85.5

[brettels]

LTS Pinnacle might often have good odds but they have stuff all markets for my liking! We will get on top of the books very very soon.

[Coopertrooper]

Got going too late the dockers! Was surprised the total points figure was so high, easiest bet of the year so far!

[Lookingtostart]

Bookies been very sharp this year, got the line at +9.5 so I'm relieved, I need to keep line shopping.

There's been a number of game lines decided by .5 or 1.5 points this year, I encourage everyone to do some line shopping for these games, get on Pinnacle for a start.

[brettels]

That was such a cruel finish

[brettels]

Agree there johno, freo are the new saints, where ever ross lyon will be its going to be an unders team. Lesson learned tonight.

[johno35]

It's becoming clear what Ross Lyon is going to do with this team, its all about defence. How many ball ups in this game?? So many players around the stoppages, takes all the run out of the game. This is exactly what happened at the saints, we couldn't score, and that's what going to happen to Freo. Hopefully Carlton can cover for us Brett

[brettels]

As long as the blues cover the points i pretty much break even

[brettels]

Hey guys going over 183.5 in the freo/Carlton game

Also having a multi

Carlton +18.5
north -46.5
brisbane +55.5
hawthorn +14.5
adelaide +19.5

@2.52

Im putting 2 units on this one, really like it

Awesome let's cash it

[brettels]

I'm with you Brett, got Carl -7.5 and over 183.5 on bet365

Good stuff just did a bit more on the double with sportsbet same 183 total with 6.5 line.

[johno35]

carlton at the points -11.5 @2.10 (sportsbet)

Carlton -8.5/over 185.5 double @3.45 (TAB vic)

I'm with you Brett, got Carl -7.5 and over 183.5 on bet365

[Coopertrooper]

And not long after I said that, the over is now down to about $1.90 on betfair, and the under is $2.10. Very sudden change, but looks like there could be some juicy odds there.

[nocode1]

Hey guys going over 183.5 in the freo/Carlton game

Also having a multi

Carlton +18.5
north -46.5
brisbane +55.5
hawthorn +14.5
adelaide +19.5

@2.52

Im putting 2 units on this one, really like it

[Coopertrooper]

Warm over in Perth, so don't think it'll break open, and both sides could tire a bit. Like the under, will hit it for 1 unit. Early days on betfair, but most money seems to be for the under (their market has 185.5 up)

[brettels]

And it would be one of judds favourite grounds

[MatI]

I just read this comment in a sportal article, this is from a sportingbet spokesman -

"There has been twice the money on Fremantle to win as there has been on Carlton," he said. "And there has also been a lot of interest on the Dockers to win by 1-39 points (at $2.55)."

Can this comment be trusted? If double the amount of bets are going on Freo, why are odds drifting out against them?

I am already pretty keen on taking Carlton in this one, but if the above is true, then even more so IMO.

Also, Carlton have the speed on Freo, and on such a big ground, they should be able to create plenty of space for themselves. The concern I think, for Blues, is they will miss the speed provided by Yarran, but the introduction of Walker & Garlett should be able to cover this. Sandilands out is going to be a big blow I think. Carlton can win out of the centre and should have plenty of options due to space and their speed.

[Domestic]

I think the value on Freemantle is amazing. $2.30 at home in what seems to be a toss of the coin job...

I'm thinking the same way, love the western teams at home in the AFL.

[kingsr]

I think the value on Freemantle is amazing. $2.30 at home in what seems to be a toss of the coin job...

[brettels]

carlton at the points -11.5 @2.10 (sportsbet)

Carlton -8.5/over 185.5 double @3.45 (TAB vic)

[brettels]

currently the only total is at b365 @180.5 so as an indicator how do the aussie books open? around the same or sometimes a big difference? i rarely check 365 but now i try to get a feel of what the aussie books might open the total with.

carlton and freo over 180.5 on a good day, hows the weather in perth for tonight?

I'm having a crack at the line/o&u double when it comes out in favour of carltons line

[Coopertrooper]

Big drop on the carlton odds

No doubt due to Sandilands missing... but I still feel they'll be a little too good for the blues. They'll be tough to beat over there... have a free bet on the game for the points market, so took freo 1-39 @2.85

[brettels]

Big drop on the carlton odds

[kingsr]

Thanks boys. Let's keep making that ca$h!

[brettels]

Well done kingsr

I think carlton bounce back this week and will be too good for freo!

[Coopertrooper]

Oh yeah! What a way to win! Swan best indivual performance I have ever seen from him!

Gimme the cash!

Nicely done!

Yeah, probably Swannies best game, dragged us over the line in the end.