Horse Racing questions and answers

[batt33]

He looks good! I did say it earlier... But Dan Blacker is super happy and confident..... He is normally more reserved....
Straight No Chaser Draws Post 9



Straight No Chaser drew post nine of 13 Wednesday for Saturday’s G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen. Note that post time was pushed back an hour due to expected hot temperatures on race day, so the Golden Shaheen will go as the 6th with a post time of 11:40 a.m. ET/8:40 a.m. PT.

FS1 will broadcast the race in the States.

Your champion had another great morning of training as well, and a sizable group of owners who made the journey got to watch him train and then attend the draw.

See the accompanying video for sights and sounds from the day, including an interview with trainer Dan Blacker.

https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...3592072509.mp4

[JBEX]

friday (opening day) and saturday's keeneland cards are canceled due to heavy rain there over the next few days ..opening day now will be sunday ,conditions permitting , while friday and saturday's cards will be made up on monday and tuesday respectively ..so the bluegrass will be next tuesday

[JBEX]

aqu 6..has the box (if a 1 turn mile counts for that and hoping i described it right using box), 2nd off long layoff,stretching out and blinks off..could see him potentially getting an easy lead and like that pleasant colony blood on the bottom to go longer ..if he does wind up on the lead do you think not wearing the blinkers might help him str ?

gulfstream 6 is a first time starter .. AM one of the better debut sires and works are very steady and sharp imo .. not bad at potentially large odds

will take a look!

just moving forward

[JBEX]

He looks good! I did say it earlier... But Dan Blacker is super happy and confident..... He is normally more reserved....
Straight No Chaser Draws Post 9



Straight No Chaser drew post nine of 13 Wednesday for Saturday’s G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen. Note that post time was pushed back an hour due to expected hot temperatures on race day, so the Golden Shaheen will go as the 6th with a post time of 11:40 a.m. ET/8:40 a.m. PT.

FS1 will broadcast the race in the States.

Your champion had another great morning of training as well, and a sizable group of owners who made the journey got to watch him train and then attend the draw.

See the accompanying video for sights and sounds from the day, including an interview with trainer Dan Blacker.

https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...3592072509.mp4

9 is not a bad post..not too far outside and less chances they'll be a horse outside to press him early .. his next race in the states will really be something to look forward to if he can get this one

[str]

aqu 6..has the box (if a 1 turn mile counts for that and hoping i described it right using box), 2nd off long layoff,stretching out and blinks off..could see him potentially getting an easy lead and like that pleasant colony blood on the bottom to go longer ..if he does wind up on the lead do you think not wearing the blinkers might help him str ?

gulfstream 6 is a first time starter .. AM one of the better debut sires and works are very steady and sharp imo .. not bad at potentially large odds

It absolutely counts as the "box". Probably more so than normal because the horse has the opportunity to control the outside pressure on others while having no outside pressure on itself from the gate and all the way around the track.
And the blinkers OFF should help the horse settle and not get too hyper early and instead relax and work WITH the rider instead of against the rider. A perfect setup if the horse cooperates . I LOVE these angles JBEX.

[str]

He looks good! I did say it earlier... But Dan Blacker is super happy and confident..... He is normally more reserved....
Straight No Chaser Draws Post 9



Straight No Chaser drew post nine of 13 Wednesday for Saturday’s G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen. Note that post time was pushed back an hour due to expected hot temperatures on race day, so the Golden Shaheen will go as the 6th with a post time of 11:40 a.m. ET/8:40 a.m. PT.

FS1 will broadcast the race in the States.

Your champion had another great morning of training as well, and a sizable group of owners who made the journey got to watch him train and then attend the draw.

See the accompanying video for sights and sounds from the day, including an interview with trainer Dan Blacker.

https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...3592072509.mp4

9 out of 13 is a great spot to start IMO. If he relaxes like last race, the others better have their running shoes on.

[batt33]

friday (opening day) and saturday's keeneland cards are canceled due to heavy rain there over the next few days ..opening day now will be sunday ,conditions permitting , while friday and saturday's cards will be made up on monday and tuesday respectively ..so the bluegrass will be next tuesday

Tuesday wow that's kinda strange , But I get it if they want space between now and the derby.

[batt33]

It absolutely counts as the "box". Probably more so than normal because the horse has the opportunity to control the outside pressure on others while having no outside pressure on itself from the gate and all the way around the track.
And the blinkers OFF should help the horse settle and not get too hyper early and instead relax and work WITH the rider instead of against the rider. A perfect setup if the horse cooperates . I LOVE these angles JBEX.

Wow I never heard the term "box" as a betting angle thanks you 2 for pointing it out! Always learning!

[batt33]

aqu 6..has the box (if a 1 turn mile counts for that and hoping i described it right using box), 2nd off long layoff,stretching out and blinks off..could see him potentially getting an easy lead and like that pleasant colony blood on the bottom to go longer ..if he does wind up on the lead do you think not wearing the blinkers might help him str ?

gulfstream 6 is a first time starter .. AM one of the better debut sires and works are very steady and sharp imo .. not bad at potentially large odds

I thought I had you and str's post linked together.... but it was on 2 different pages.... I guess that makes a difference. good info JBEX!

[str]

Wow I never heard the term "box" as a betting angle thanks you 2 for pointing it out! Always learning!

If and when the search function works, I went into a ton of detail about the box years ago.

It is a tremendous angle for finding bets with great opportunities for trips. Well worth finding it Batt. It not only makes perfect sense once you see it, it allows you to understand What the jockey is going to do and what the jock is doing and thinking during the race as it takes shape.

[str]

I never saw a speed horse who had a chance to be solo, breaking from the outside post especially out of a chute, and the longer the run down the backside the better, going 1 turn, that I did not heavily consider. It is as close to an unfair advantage as you will see Batt.
One of the best kept handicapping secrets there is out there.

[JBEX]

Wow I never heard the term "box" as a betting angle thanks you 2 for pointing it out! Always learning!

I learned it from str .. had never heard of it before

[JBEX]

It absolutely counts as the "box". Probably more so than normal because the horse has the opportunity to control the outside pressure on others while having no outside pressure on itself from the gate and all the way around the track.
And the blinkers OFF should help the horse settle and not get too hyper early and instead relax and work WITH the rider instead of against the rider. A perfect setup if the horse cooperates . I LOVE these angles JBEX.

good to know I used it right .. thx str

[JBEX]

chad browns 2nd and 3rd place finishers behind the extremely slow pace in the tampa bay derby are scheduled to run in the wood memorial and blue grass
..latter I mentioned is postponed till tuesday and chancer mcpatrick is the one there..in the wood memorial it's hill road..lots of pace in the wood and coming off that even run behind that crawling pace in the TBD think he's primed for a good effort..his run in the bc juvenile would make him tough .. classy distance pedigree so he should love the extra ground

[batt33]

If and when the search function works, I went into a ton of detail about the box years ago.

It is a tremendous angle for finding bets with great opportunities for trips. Well worth finding it Batt. It not only makes perfect sense once you see it, it allows you to understand What the jockey is going to do and what the jock is doing and thinking during the race as it takes shape.

I never saw a speed horse who had a chance to be solo, breaking from the outside post especially out of a chute, and the longer the run down the backside the better, going 1 turn, that I did not heavily consider. It is as close to an unfair advantage as you will see Batt.
One of the best kept handicapping secrets there is out there.

Copy that STR!

[batt33]

aqu 6..has the box (if a 1 turn mile counts for that and hoping i described it right using box), 2nd off long layoff,stretching out and blinks off..could see him potentially getting an easy lead and like that pleasant colony blood on the bottom to go longer ..if he does wind up on the lead do you think not wearing the blinkers might help him str ?

gulfstream 6 is a first time starter .. AM one of the better debut sires and works are very steady and sharp imo .. not bad at potentially large odds

Following the AQ race
Agree with you at Gulfstream with the workouts JBEX

[JBEX]

don't get remember the chief..maybe the full view of horses breaking inside of him (vs blinkers) made him less aggressive ? on pp's he was the speed of the race imo

[batt33]

[QUOTE=JBEX;n29864785]don't get remember the chief..maybe the full view of horses breaking inside of him (vs blinkers) made him less aggressive ? on pp's he was the speed of the race imo [/QUOTE

it looked like his head was moving a little bit from side to side and wasn't quite ready for the break.

[JBEX]

[QUOTE=batt33;n29864804]

don't get remember the chief..maybe the full view of horses breaking inside of him (vs blinkers) made him less aggressive ? on pp's he was the speed of the race imo [/QUOTE

it looked like his head was moving a little bit from side to side and wasn't quite ready for the break.

yeah he did move his head to the left just before the gate opened..maybe that had to do with not being used to having no blinkers in the gate and was just unlucky when they sprung it open

[str]

don't get remember the chief..maybe the full view of horses breaking inside of him (vs blinkers) made him less aggressive ? on pp's he was the speed of the race imo

I will be sure and watch the race in the morning and see if I can see anything.

[batt33]

Real Savvy Update



Real Savvy continues to train on at Christophe Clement’s winter base at Payson Park, most recently working an easy five furlongs last week in 1:04.20. All seemed to go well in that work, although his throat/breathing will continue to be monitored closely. As previously mentioned and based on the expert opinions of two vets, we have elected to train on with him for now and move towards a 3-year-old debut. The recent inclement weather in Florida has pushed back his next work a bit, but we expect another work here in the next week or so. As always, we will report back with any updates as they come to us.

[batt33]

Ugh... pins and needles..... the MRH /Dan blacker stable people are really amped up over him.... I Hope he runs his "A" game and everyone comes home safely...
He just looks so much the part.... "visually ",training super..... acting like " the boss" cause he knows it.....

One thing I keep thinking about is after his last race the announcers were saying as he jogged by.... he isn't even breathing hard..... okay I'm amped too!
Straight No Chaser Race Overview



Fresh off securing an exciting stud deal, champion Straight No Chaser will look to continue building his bankroll in another one of the most prestigious dirt sprints in the world, the $2-million G1 Dubai Golden Shaheen.

Your son of Speightster is arguably the horse to beat once again, but this is likely the toughest test he’s faced to date as last year’s Golden Shaheen champion Tuz rides a five-race win streak into his title defense at the ripe old age of eight.

Straight No Chaser has looked great in the mornings since traveling from Saudi Arabia to Dubai, and gives every indication that he’s ready to run another big one.His now proven ability to rate gives us slightly less concern about any potential hot paces, and one of the speediest runners in the race—Jasper Krone, who showed the way early in G2 Riyadh Dirt Sprint—has since been ruled out of the race.

The Golden Shaheen will go as the sixth race on the Dubai World Cup card with a post time of 11:40 a.m. ET and 8:40 a.m. PT. It will be broadcast on FS1 and available on most if not all U.S. ADWs.

Click here for a story about Straight No Chaser with quotes from MRH shareholder Will Diaz.

Here’s a look at the competition (note that the numbers below are program numbers and not post positions; Straight No Chaser was assigned #9 for both, but will move one slot in due to the scratch):

#1 Colour Up - Has not been able to run with the better local sprinters and was most recently fourth behind Tuz in the prep for this. Not seeing it.

#2 Drew’s Gold - Winner of his first four starts in the U.S. followed by a runner-up finish in the 2023 G1 Woody Stephens while earning a strong 106 Beyer Speed Figure. His form started to tail off sharply towards the end of his U.S. campaign, however, and he hasn’t shown much since the private purchase and move to the Middle East while breaking very poorly in both tries. Would need a major turnaround.

#3 Eastern World - Similar profile to Colour Up—just hasn’t quite shown he’s good enough.

#5 Kurojishi Joe - First of the Japanese contingent was second behind Gabby’s Sister—who was third behind Straight No Chaser in Saudi—two back at Nakayama. Cuts back a furlong off a fifth-place run last month in Tokyo. Six-year-old seems to suffer from a bit of seconditis. Maybe for a piece.

#6 Nakatomi - American invader is probably the third-most likely winner of the race. Third in this race last year, he returned to the States to take the G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt before finishing second in the G2 Phoenix and then sixth at the Breeders’ Cup. Trainer Wesley Ward is one of the best at having a horse primed off the bench, and this one’s off-the-pace style could prove dangerous if the big two tussle early.

#7 Remake - Familiar face from last time as he appeared the main danger to Straight No Chaser in Saudi, but settled for seventh. Didn’t have the cleanest stretch run last out, but it’s also very fair to say he’s not in the form he was last year or anywhere close to it (was also fourth in this race). Seems to be heading in the wrong direction, and all the travel he’s done may be taking its toll.

#8 Royal Commando - Enters off of back-to-back wins going five furlongs at the U.A.E.’s second-tier track, Jebel Ali. Fair to question how he classes up.

#10 Super Chow - A winner of 10 of his 24 tries in the U.S., with 20 on-the-board finishes. Enters off a 3/4-length win in the listed Gulfstream Park Sprint, for which he earned a 97 Beyer but faced a pretty weak group of five rivals. Would need to run the race of his life by far, and not sure that’s in the cards at this stage of his career—he’s extremely consistent, but fairly exposed at this point.

#11 Tuz - Watch last year’s Golden Shaheen victory here—he dueled up front and then absolutely exploded in the lane. This was his prep last time. He’s not the prettiest mover, but he’s a beast for sure. With that being said, he probably hasn’t faced a horse like Straight No Chaser and we do like that he’s drawn inside of us. This should be a real heavyweight battle in the stretch.

#12 American Stage - $500K son of Into Mischief came in from Japan riding a three-race streak to take on Tuz last time, and briefly looked like he might make a race of it before settling for a well-beaten second. Should duke it out with the likes of Nakatomi for third.

#13 Dark Saffron - $120K OBSAPR grad by Flameaway is still relatively lightly raced, but steps up steeply in class off of an allowance win. Only off-the-board finish previously came when he tried group competition, but that was on the turf. Seems to be in a bit tough and isn’t drawn the best.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Hey STR: in looking at the comment section of the form I saw a statement that the horse in question was "Pulled". What does that entail? THX

[JBEX]

by army mule

gulfstream 5

#5 molly's a bullet (4-1)
@2:58





.

[JBEX]

by army mule

gulfstream 5

#5 molly's a bullet (4-1)
@2:58





.

finished out of money @ 7-1


one more by army mule

oaklawn

R10 #1 battleoftheravine (15-1)
@ 6:34

track is muddy




.

[batt33]

[QUOTE=JBEX;n29864987]by army mule

gulfstream 5

#5 molly's a bullet (4-1)
@2:58





.[/QUOTe
watched the replay..... may have not been her day.... no excuses as far as I can tell... ran at the class level in the past.

[str]

Sorry guys. Long day but I'm all over this stuff in the morning.

Should be around all day.

[JBEX]

I didn't see anything either with molly's a bullet trip batt

battleoftheravine went off 5-2 (15-1 ml) and this was a 12 horse field at a major track .. running on the front all the way ,big lead well into the stretch,tired late and just held on for 2nd

look forward to your review str

[JBEX]

chad browns 2nd and 3rd place finishers behind the extremely slow pace in the tampa bay derby are scheduled to run in the wood memorial and blue grass
..latter I mentioned is postponed till tuesday and chancer mcpatrick is the one there..in the wood memorial it's hill road..lots of pace in the wood and coming off that even run behind that crawling pace in the TBD think he's primed for a good effort..his run in the bc juvenile would make him tough .. classy distance pedigree so he should love the extra ground

like a hill rd (9-2WP) with journalism (6-5W) parlay in the two big prep races ..wood memorial and santa anita derby respectively ..wins forward to a WP bet on journalism in the ky derby ..realize if it hit today and hill rd won the derby would be pretty frustrating so I'll leave open switching the ky derby bet but will definitely be one or both of those two

so at ml odds hitting today's parlay +870



generally speaking a WP bet vs a win bet of the same total amount pays about 75% of the win only bet

so say 10W vs 5WP @ 5-1 odds

10W =60
5WP = 30 +15 place (about) 45

so about a $5 profit investing $10 as a consolation ..think that is worth doing vs the straight win bet

[str]

Hey STR: in looking at the comment section of the form I saw a statement that the horse in question was "Pulled". What does that entail? THX

My assumption would be that this is a speed horse that burned up early and faded in the stretch? He was probably
"pulling" the rider out of the saddle early. That would be " running off" and certainly not relaxing and breathing well. Probably spent after 3/8ths or a 1/2?

[str]

Batt.
For your horse Straight No Chaser, I don't think the competition really matters that much. Certainly the race setup and his early position is very important. But if he breaths, relaxes, is awaiting rider commands, THAT, is IMO the key to this race and his future. If we see what we saw last time, it will be impressive.

Good luck Batt. Were all rooting for you.

[str]

by army mule

gulfstream 5

#5 molly's a bullet (4-1)
@2:58





.

Just watched this horse. She was never into the bit and looked disinterested too me. You never know. She might have just not felt well although not showing a temperature yet, or something was bugging her. Don't know but the rider is asking her to get in the game early and she just had no interest. Late switching back to the right lead through the lane as well. More disinterest if that is not the norm.

If she breezes better than normal before her next race, that could be a real key that whatever was not right with her then, is just fine now. And being a filly, they do have menstrual cycles and when they are " horsing" it can certainly affect their performance.

Well worth keeping an eye on her next out. She is much better than she was yesterday.

[JBEX]

like a hill rd (9-2WP) with journalism (6-5W) parlay in the two big prep races ..wood memorial and santa anita derby respectively ..wins forward to a WP bet on journalism in the ky derby ..realize if it hit today and hill rd won the derby would be pretty frustrating so I'll leave open switching the ky derby bet but will definitely be one or both of those two

so at ml odds hitting today's parlay +870



generally speaking a WP bet vs a win bet of the same total amount pays about 75% of the win only bet

so say 10W vs 5WP @ 5-1 odds

10W =60
5WP = 30 +15 place (about) 45

so about a $5 profit investing $10 as a consolation ..think that is worth doing vs the straight win bet

my original parlay number of +1100 was off by a lot as i figured a win vs WP bet.. sharpness is gone and I apologize

so the math since I messed up

9-2 = +450 x .75(WP bet) 3.4 (round off)

100+340 =440 * 2.2 (6-5) = 968 -100
say +870

the struggle to do this for me is scary .. used to be like nothing ..if it's wrong this time it ain't by much..sorry again and corrected above

[str]

[QUOTE=batt33;n29864804]

don't get remember the chief..maybe the full view of horses breaking inside of him (vs blinkers) made him less aggressive ? on pp's he was the speed of the race imo [/QUOTE

it looked like his head was moving a little bit from side to side and wasn't quite ready for the break.

Can you help me with the race, date and track on this one please?

[JBEX]

[QUOTE=str;n29865179]

Can you help me with the race, date and track on this one please?

sure RTC

thu 4/3
aqu R6


terrific Insight on molly's a bullet ..great effort the race before so you know the talent is there ..hopefully her issues can be resolved