1. #1
    BGboothA
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    Finding the Overlays

    You have all heard it from me before, but the key to this game is finding overlays and false favorites. I have been sharing my FF report for a while, now to look at some of the overlays that could be out there.

    These are the horses that could produce a positive overlay when I compare my fair odds line to their ML odds.

    *How to read this*
    R5 - 4 CLOCK STOPPER - 5-1
    In race 5 I like the 4 as a possible Overlay, but I have a condition of 5-1. If the horse is not going to go off at 5-1 or better I will not bet it. (Fair odds line) If there are two horses that could produce overlay in same race, I will bet them in order, if the first horse qualifies, there is no bet on the 2nd horse, unless I am getting crazy overlay then I will play both.

    *How I bet them*
    99% of the time I am betting some kind of WPS wheel on these horses. The baseline that I like to use is a $20 wheel, $4 win / $6 place / $10 show.

    I have had some luck with these over the past few weeks, so lets jinx myself by posting some of them...LOL


    BELMONT 7/9
    R5 - 4 CLOCK STOPPER - 5-1
    R6 - 7 MILLS - 3-1
    R8 - 5 PREAETEREO - 5-1
    R9 - 2 DIXIE GEM - 4-1 *BEST BET*

    GULFSTREAM 7/9
    R1 - 7 UFEELTHISCORNELIUS - 3-1
    R1 - 3 WOV - 4-1
    R3 - 6 CAME UP ROSIE - 6-1
    R4 - 10 MINI ASHLEY - 8-1
    R7 - 6 COLORMEPOMPOM - 4-1
    R8 - 10 BRIDLES HOLIDAY - 5-1

    Again, I am only playing these if I can get the odds listed or better. Good luck out there.

  2. #2
    BGboothA
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    Quote Originally Posted by BGboothA View Post
    BELMONT 7/9
    R5 - 4 CLOCK STOPPER - 5-1 (Did not qualify finished 3rd)
    R6 - 7 MILLS - 3-1 (Did not qualify finished 1st)
    R8 - 5 PREAETEREO - 5-1 (Scratched, Vet)
    R9 - 2 DIXIE GEM - 4-1 *BEST BET* -$20.00

    GULFSTREAM 7/9
    R1 - 7 UFEELTHISCORNELIUS - 3-1 -9.50
    R1 - 3 WOV - 4-1 +$13.00
    R3 - 6 CAME UP ROSIE - 6-1 +$9.00
    R4 - 10 MINI ASHLEY - 8-1 -$20.00
    R7 - 6 COLORMEPOMPOM - 4-1 +$64.80
    R8 - 10 BRIDLES HOLIDAY - 5-1 -$20.00

    Again, I am only playing these if I can get the odds listed or better. Good luck out there.
    Not a great day, but a positive day.

    +$17.30
    +12% ROI

  3. #3
    BGboothA
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    Alright here we go for FRIDAY 7/10


    GULFSTREAM
    R1 - 2 JUSTCALLMEMONI - 4-1
    R1 - 4 OXIDIENNE - 6-1
    R3 - 4 SECRET FASCINATION - 3-1
    R4 - 1 LA PARCELA - 6-1
    R7 - 7 DO THE ROAR - 6-1
    R8 - 4 FRONT COVER DREAM - 6-1

    BELMONT
    R3 - 4 NIMBLE FOOT - 4-1
    R5 - 10 MEET IN KHARTOUM 4-1
    R6 - 1 TIZGALE - 5-1
    R7 - 7 GOODTIMEHADBYALL - 5-1
    R9 - 10 APOLLO ELEVEN - 4-1

    EMERALD DOWNS
    R2 - 6 SWINGSHIFT DEPUTY - 3-1
    R3 - 1 GET WELL - 4-1
    R6 - 9 TALE SPINNER - 5-1
    R6 - 3 DOCTOR BRUCE S - 6-1
    R7 - 2 DONT TELL ABBEY 5-1

  4. #4
    BGboothA
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    There we go, nice win for LA PARCELA in GPCr4!

    39.80 profit!

  5. #5
    BGboothA
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    Boom another winner at the Belmont!!!! 8-1

  6. #6
    BGboothA
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    lets add another 8-1 winner!!! GPr7

  7. #7
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Good job today. Mike Beer from TF also liked the 2 Belmont winners. Wished I would have tailed.

  8. #8
    BGboothA
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    Man I wish all days where like this...

    $280 bet total return of $495.10...not bad...even EMD was good to me again...

  9. #9
    BGboothA
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    So far we are up $232.40 with an ROI of 55%


    Going to play a few more for Saturday


    Belmont (looks pretty chalky)
    R6 - 1 HUSHHUSHMUSHMUSH - 5-1
    R10 - 2 BROCKOLINI - 5-1
    R10 - 12 WILLIAMSLUCKYGRAY - 5-1


    Gulfstream Park
    R1 - 3 G P RICKY - 5-1
    R4 - 3 OUR SISTER ANIA - 6-1
    R5 - 6 DOS DE BASTOS - 5-1
    R10 - 7 SPARKY BEE - 5-1
    R11 - 10 SOLFATARA - 5-1


    Monmouth
    R9 - 6 VILLAGE WARRIOR - 4-1
    R10 - 9 PERFECT TRIPPI - 5-1
    R10 - 3 NINEINTHENINE - 5-1


    Emerald Downs
    R4 - 4 CASH GAMING - 4-1
    R5 - 6 CHEEKY STONE - 3-1
    R7 - 7 ZIPPINAROUNDTOWN - 4-1
    R8 - 9 KISS SIN GOODBYE - 4-1 *BEST BET*
    R9 - 7 HORNFEL - 4-1

  10. #10
    BGboothA
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    Another good day,

    5 horses either scratched or didn't qualify bets.
    11 qualified bets
    $254.80 PROFIT on the day!

    Total profit after three days = $487.20!!!!

    BOOM!!!

    I will post more up tomorrow....just need to pick some tracks to focus on.

  11. #11
    BGboothA
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    Alright here we go for Sunday


    BELMONT
    R2 - 6 SHIMMY TINJO - 5-1
    R3 - 1 DON DULCE - 4-1
    R4 - 2 SARATOGA KARAOKE - 5-1
    R6 - KITAI - 7-1 *FTS usually means skip*
    R8 - 5 BROADWAY BAY - 5-1


    GULFSTREAM PARK
    R1 - 3 DREAM OF DERBY - 5-1
    R2 - 4 COQUETONA - 5-1
    R3 - 8 PHOEBE MOON - 3-1
    R4 - 10 SILVIKOVA - 4-1
    R8 - 7 IMAGE OF RACHEL - 6-1
    R9 - 1 FOUR ZEES - 9-1


    LONESTAR
    R1 - 5 EXPECTATIONSGALORE - 4-1
    R8 - 3 BLONDE FLYER - 5-1
    R8 - 2 MONSTER HOUSE - 5-1
    R9 - 7 CABALLO CORREDOR - 4-1


    EMERALD DOWNS
    R3 - RAESBEAUTIFUL HOPE - 4-1
    R6 - 4 CHARLIES GOLD - 5-1
    R7 - 7 MYLAST SWEET PEA - 4-1
    R8 - 7 O B HARBOR - 5-1

  12. #12
    BGboothA
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    **I had a few of the race numbers wrong on the earlier post, here is Sunday with the corrected info**

    BELMONT
    R2 - 6 SHIMMY TINJO - 5-1
    R3 - 1 DON DULCE - 4-1
    R4 - 2 SARATOGA KARAOKE - 5-1
    R6 - 6 - KITAI - 7-1 *FTS usually means skip*
    R8 - 5 BROADWAY BAY - 5-1

    GULFSTREAM PARK
    R1 - 3 DREAM OF DERBY - 5-1
    R2 - 4 COQUETONA - 5-1
    R3 - 8 PHOEBE MOON - 3-1
    R4 - 10 SILVIKOVA - 4-1
    R8 - 7 IMAGE OF RACHEL - 6-1
    R9 - 1 FOUR ZEES - 9-1

    LONESTAR
    R1 - 5 EXPECTATIONSGALORE - 4-1
    R8 - 3 BLONDE FLYER - 5-1
    R8 - 2 MONSTER HOUSE - 5-1
    R9 - 7 CABALLO CORREDOR - 4-1

    EMERALD DOWNS
    R2 - RAESBEAUTIFUL HOPE - 4-1
    R6 - 4 CHARLIES GOLD - 5-1
    R8 - 7 MYLAST SWEET PEA - 4-1
    R9 - 7 O B HARBOR - 5-1

  13. #13
    BGboothA
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    19 races listed
    3 races didn't qualify
    16 races bet @ $20 ea.
    $320 in bets, returned...$406.60
    Total profit today = +$86.60

    Four straight positive days.....

    so far we are up $573.80 w. ROI sitting at even 60%

  14. #14
    BGboothA
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    Alright here we go for Monday.

    Parx
    R1 - 1 DR WESLEY - 4-1
    R3 - CANTONA - 5-1
    R4 - 6 MINE O MINE - 4-1
    R6 - 1 SCORPION ALY - 5-1
    R6 - 8 WAVY NEEDLE - 5-1
    R7 - 7 KIZUNA - 4-1
    R7 - 3 KINDA SEXY - 4-1
    R8 - 7 BULLY SONG - 5-1

    Finger Lakes
    R1 - 2 QUIET POWER - 4-1
    R2 - 2 BROOKLYN RED - 4-1
    R4 - 10 AWESOME LUTE - 5-1
    R6 - 4 MOVE OVER - 4-1
    R7 - 4 MAJESTIC DESERT - 4-1

    Delaware
    R2 - 5 CORINTHIAN SUMMER - 4-1
    R3 - 2 LORD BALTIMORE - 3-1
    R4 - 5 LUVIN BULLIES - 5-1
    R6 - 7 ROAD AGENT - 5-1
    R7 - 4 FIVE STAR PRINCE - 5-1

    Mountaineer
    R3 - 3 SUNDAY HAT - 4-1
    R4 - 1 SUMMER SECRET - 5-1
    R5 - 1 NO PUSSY CAT HERE - 4-1

  15. #15
    gembo12
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    Quote Originally Posted by BGboothA View Post
    Alright here we go for Monday.

    Parx
    R1 - 1 DR WESLEY - 4-1
    R3 - CANTONA - 5-1
    R4 - 6 MINE O MINE - 4-1
    R6 - 1 SCORPION ALY - 5-1
    R6 - 8 WAVY NEEDLE - 5-1
    R7 - 7 KIZUNA - 4-1
    R7 - 3 KINDA SEXY - 4-1
    R8 - 7 BULLY SONG - 5-1

    Finger Lakes
    R1 - 2 QUIET POWER - 4-1
    R2 - 2 BROOKLYN RED - 4-1
    R4 - 10 AWESOME LUTE - 5-1
    R6 - 4 MOVE OVER - 4-1
    R7 - 4 MAJESTIC DESERT - 4-1

    Delaware
    R2 - 5 CORINTHIAN SUMMER - 4-1
    R3 - 2 LORD BALTIMORE - 3-1
    R4 - 5 LUVIN BULLIES - 5-1
    R6 - 7 ROAD AGENT - 5-1
    R7 - 4 FIVE STAR PRINCE - 5-1

    Mountaineer
    R3 - 3 SUNDAY HAT - 4-1
    R4 - 1 SUMMER SECRET - 5-1
    R5 - 1 NO PUSSY CAT HERE - 4-1
    Thanks. Keep up the good work.

  16. #16
    BGboothA
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    In the end it was a good Monday....

    21 races, 10 cancellations due to scratches or odds not qualifying...

    11 total bets..7 losers and 4 winners, but the winners were good!!

    200.40 profit, bringing 5 day total up to $774.20, with an ROI of 66%
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Let's play TUESDAY....

    Delaware
    R2 - 7 MY MAN DAN - 4-1
    R2 - 3 MINNIE PUNT - 4-1
    R3 - 6 OVER THE CLIFF - 5-2
    R5 - 4 TECHWOOD - 4-1
    R5 - 8 NOON SHADOW - 4-1
    R6 - 5 HAWFEE FA MARFA - 4-1
    R7 - 6 EYE OF THE MOON - 3-1

    Indiana Downs
    R1 - 2 DIAMOND HEIST - 4-1
    R1 - 6 CODY's PARADE - 4-1
    R5 - 9 VBREEZE - 7-1
    R7 - 2 KALAMOS - 5-1
    R8 - 10 MISS OMEARA - 5-1
    R8 - 5 ROCKING CITYWEEKEND - 6-1

    Moutnaineer
    R1 - 2 ET ECHO - 5-1
    R2 - 10 TARIFF - 4-1
    R4 - 4 COLONIAL LEGACY - 5-1
    R7 - 6 EMKANAAT - 3-1
    R8 - 3 HOT IN ANY WAY - 4-1

    Finger Lakes
    R4 - 3 GOLDSOME - 4-1
    R5 - 10 PARIS SUNSHINE - 4-1
    R6 - 2 UNBLUSHING - 5-1
    R8 - 4 HAIL MARYS GOLD - 5-1
    R9 - 4 YELLOW CELLO - 5-1

  17. #17
    trytrytry
    All I do is trytrytry
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    u keep organized records.

    any idea if its easy what the overall record and ROI so far early would be if you played them all
    at off track prices anyway. ie did you leave some money on the table or did you cancel off some ?

    ------------

  18. #18
    BGboothA
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    Quote Originally Posted by trytrytry View Post
    u keep organized records.

    any idea if its easy what the overall record and ROI so far early would be if you played them all
    at off track prices anyway. ie did you leave some money on the table or did you cancel off some ?

    ------------
    I am not sure if this is what you are asking....

    If I were to play all the picks regardless of post time odds, it would have decreased my ROI, not significantly, but through yesterday, my ROI with the picks as they stood was 66%, while if I had played them all regardless of PTO it was closer to 50%.

    So I saved myself, although today has been a tough day, I am down about $100 with MNR pending.

  19. #19
    trytrytry
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    Quote Originally Posted by BGboothA View Post
    I am not sure if this is what you are asking....

    If I were to play all the picks regardless of post time odds, it would have decreased my ROI, not significantly, but through yesterday, my ROI with the picks as they stood was 66%, while if I had played them all regardless of PTO it was closer to 50%.

    So I saved myself, although today has been a tough day, I am down about $100 with MNR pending.
    yes that is exactly what I meant.

  20. #20
    BGboothA
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    Not a great Tuesday, finished the day down -$101.60, lots of cancellations and small fields with weird scratches all day.


    Here's hoping for a better day with some real tracks back in the mix.


    Delaware
    R1 - 3 PURE ANTICIPATION - 3-1
    R2 - 8 GOLDEN RIVET - 4-1
    R2 - 3 HERES TO MIKE - 4-1
    R4 - 4 FAR OUT WEST - 5-1
    R7 - 2 COMPULSIVE - 4-1
    R8 - 6 GOLDLAND - 4-1


    Belmont
    R2 - 3 CHOW FUN - 5-1
    R2 - 6 STARSHIP PLEASANT - 5-1
    R4 - 6 ACCORD - 5-1
    R7 - 9 BLACKTYPE - 5-1
    R8 - 10 GREYWALLS - 7-1


    Louisiana Downs
    R1 - 3 KEYSTONES STRIKE - 4-1
    R2 - 5 THOUSAND EDENS - 4-1
    R5 - 9 SOUPERLICIOUS - 4-1
    R6 - 4 CONCHO - 5-1


    Charlestown
    R2 - 3 PANDORAS KISS - 4-1
    R2 - 12 BARAKS SWEET PEA - 5-1
    R4 - 13 FLEETING FLOSSIE - 6-1
    R5 - 11 CHARITABLE FLIGHT - 5-1
    R6 - 5 MORE FOR YOUR BUCK - 5-1

  21. #21
    BGboothA
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    Lets get back to some of the real tracks!!!!

    Belmont
    R1 - 7 HOLY INVADER - 5-1
    R5 - 4 FORENSIC - 5-2
    R6 - 6 MOON MEDAL - 4-1
    R7 - 1A LETS WRAP IT UP (AE)
    R9 - 13 VIOLET ROAD - 5-1 (AE)

    Gulfstream
    R1 - 9 DANLY'S DREAM - 6-1
    R3 - 5 GUARIMBERO - 5-1
    R7 - 6 - MY EASTERN BEAUTY - 4-1
    R7 - 2 DANNIE - 5-1
    R7 - 4 STARSHIP TAMMY - 4-1
    R8 - 3 GOODBOYCHARLIE - 5-1
    R9 - 2 BLESSEDWITHPRAYER - 8-1

    Del Mar (WOOHOO)
    R1 - 13 OLYMPIC BLUE - 5-1
    R8 - 9 ANYTIME ANYPLACE - 5-1
    R8 - 3 TRIED AND TRUE - 5-1
    R10 - 1 IT IS LIVING WATER - 5-1

  22. #22
    usernametaken
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    Well done. Hopefully, you will post every day.

  23. #23
    BGboothA
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    BOOOOOOOM!!!!!


    Came home up $176 for the day, not bad at all! Man I love that Del Mar is back on the dirt!


    I will have Friday's up at some point tonight

  24. #24
    BGboothA
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    Friday!!!

    Gulfstream Park
    R3 - 4 ENIGMA - 5-1
    R4 - 6 AFLEET ACCOMPLI - 4-1
    R6 - 4 MADAKET MILLIE - 4-1
    R7 - 10 BROWNS GAP - 5-1
    R8 - 4 OVER THE LIMIT - 3-1

    Belmont
    R3 - 6 ANNIE WALKER - 3-1
    R5 - 10 JOSHANS GIANT - 5-1
    R8 - 3 VIVA MALALA - 4-1

    Monmouth
    R4 - 8 READY NOW - 3-1
    R4 - 7 PHANTOM FLIGHT - 4-1
    R10 - 3 SOUPARION - 5-1

    Del Mar (WooHoo)
    R2 - 7 BIG SUGAR SODA - 4-1
    R5 - 6 RAMONAS WILDCAT - 5-1

    Emerald Downs
    R2 - 4 PLATINUM KISSES - 4-1
    R4 - 6 BIG BLACK CAT - 5-1

    Lot of FTS out there tomorrow, killed a lot of races. Good luck.

  25. #25
    gembo12
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    Great job!

  26. #26
    Heppy10
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    Tailed you in race 8 at Del mar then went off and tried to win the tri in race 10 and you give a 10-1 winner, I've got some bad luck

  27. #27
    Buckandadime
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    Good luck Sir.. Gonna tail some today.. Lately everything I choose ends up floating..

  28. #28
    bullheaddad
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    Thanks for posting. Keep up the good work. I just got into this sport after visiting Santa Anita for a weekend and I think its great.

  29. #29
    bullheaddad
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    We were supposed to play these to win, place or even show right?? Damn, this is a rough sport on humans..

  30. #30
    balls2wall
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    Quote Originally Posted by bullheaddad View Post
    Thanks for posting. Keep up the good work. I just got into this sport after visiting Santa Anita for a weekend and I think its great.

    glad you got into horse racing

    if more people would give it a try they would like it too

  31. #31
    BGboothA
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    Sorry for missing today, had a decent day, but Del Mar was sloppy so no plays there was a bummer. Going to change up the format a little and make it easier on myself from here on out.



  32. #32
    JJJ
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    thanks booth any others besides gulfstream good luck

  33. #33
    BGboothA
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    Quote Originally Posted by JJJ View Post
    thanks booth any others besides gulfstream good luck
    I run every decent sized track in the US, what are you looking for?

  34. #34
    JJJ
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    Belmont or monmouth or anything that sticks out to you thanks booth

  35. #35
    BGboothA
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    BELr3 1 MUTASAAWY 4-1
    MTHr9 4 OFFLEE SHEIKH 6-1


    Both Belmont and Monmouth produced really chalky reports today. Only two races popped as false favorites with overlays for me on my reports, the two races above are both bets I have in this morning.

    Crazy thing is with 17 track reports today, I only have 20ish plays...thats pretty low for a Sunday during this time of the year.

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