My plan - start with Wild

a4u2fear · 07-15-12, 11:08 AM

They are not going to have good odds. The public will totally inflate their value with their two new free agents (similarly to how you think they will do). If you plan on betting them, plan on paying some juice. I'll find the value on the other side.

DwightShrute · 07-15-12, 11:51 AM

I doubt the Wild make the playoffs

aznbluff · 07-15-12, 01:45 PM

Agree that Wild will be overrated and overpriced at the start of the season

a4u2fear · 07-15-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by aznbluff

Agree that Wild will be overrated and overpriced at the start of the season

You making a comeback next year?, working on some theories?

aznbluff · 07-16-12, 03:12 AM

Nah hockey season lines up exactly with school so no time for anything other than betting and watching the games.

I am currently working on some season previews that I may or may not finish this summer. It's a good reference point for me to check back on a few months into the season and see how perceptions have changed.

Betting is all about perceptions, so I feel it's very important to try my best to stay unbiased and not get caught up in teams/players in slumps or on hot streaks.

Griffey4Ever · 07-16-12, 01:10 PM

The Wild will not make the playoffs. Despite adding Parise and Suter, are they really better than any of these teams???

Canucks, Blues, Sharks, Red Wings, Blackhawks, Predators, Sharks, Coyotes, Kings?

They missed the playoffs by 14 points last season and were behind the Flames, Stars and Avalanche etc... I don't think the Wild can contend for the #8 seed this season, but maybe in 2-3 years they can start make a run.

a4u2fear · 07-16-12, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by Griffey4Ever

The Wild will not make the playoffs. Despite adding Parise and Suter, are they really better than any of these teams???

Canucks, Blues, Sharks, Red Wings, Blackhawks, Predators, Sharks, Coyotes, Kings?

They missed the playoffs by 14 points last season and were behind the Flames, Stars and Avalanche etc... I don't think the Wild can contend for the #8 seed this season, but maybe in 2-3 years they can start make a run.

Preds and Coyotes can easily fall out

aznbluff · 07-16-12, 06:06 PM

I think the Preds will still be competitive. I still like the Coyotes team but I think they will definitely be on the 7-12th bubble. Teams like the Avs and Oilers are getting better and should make the NW a little more competitive, taking away some easy points from the Wild (remember 6 games/year against each). I also like what Anaheim has done to their blueline. I think they are much improved and their recent first rounder, Hampus Lindholm I really like. He's going to be given a chance to crack a vet D core but will probably not make it (if he does, it will be as a 7th Dman, which they may not want to carry a young rookie as). If he makes it, expect a similar development path as Ekman-Larsson, potentially becoming their #1 D in as little as 3 seasons.

The West is very competitive. There are about 3 or 4 elite teams and then about 8 to 9 teams that can legitimately compete for a playoff spot. Even, dare I saw, Columbus I think will surprise some people this year. I'm starting to like what they are building there and I feel they will be underrated (definitely at the start of the season at least), which makes for good betting opportunities.

bach · 07-20-12, 01:35 PM

Yes for sure, the Wild make the playoffs.

hockey216 · 07-22-12, 01:48 PM

wild aren't going nowhere

Vegas39 · 07-22-12, 03:11 PM

Think mn still misses playoffs as others have said west so competitive. Still not sold on their goaltending

easyliving · 08-12-12, 06:02 PM

fade wild early, overvalued and need time to adjust.

lunchbawks · 08-12-12, 08:53 PM

bad idea these new teams with big signings always take time to mesh

plus minnesota has goaltending issues

PMcG012 · 08-15-12, 10:51 AM

The Blue Jackets should make for good fade material again. I doubt very much that Ryan Murray and Nick Foligno are going to dramatically improve the team.