Quality Hockey Handicappers

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  • AdamStock1983
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-15-11
    • 387

    #1
    Quality Hockey Handicappers
    I know Baseball/Basketball/Football but I know nothing about hockey or hockey betting. I do know that there is value to be had there. I was wondering if anyone could give me some insight on the best hockey handicappers either free or pay. If you could steer me toward the bests ones I would appreciate it.
  • AdamStock1983
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-15-11
    • 387

    #2
    Anyone have any advice?
    Comment
    • leafs_ducks
      SBR MVP
      • 10-22-09
      • 3147

      #3
      Cappers goes on hot n cold streaks all the time. I follow whoever is hot in the every sport except hockey. I love capping hockey. I'm fairly new here too so can't really answer ur question. I would check other cappers picks n compare them to mines. Hope that helps. Lolz
      Comment
      • AdamStock1983
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-15-11
        • 387

        #4
        Yeah I know its a grind somewhat like Baseball. I am just looking for someone I can tail all year with no NBA looming this winter I need to make some money somehow. I was looking and Maddux sports looked decent as a pay service, other than that ??? Thanks for the post though
        Comment
        • AdamStock1983
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-15-11
          • 387

          #5
          Got a few PM but would like to hear more peoples takes on who to use and who they would recommend both free and pay
          Comment
          • bobbyk1133
            SBR MVP
            • 08-05-10
            • 2245

            #6
            Cap hockey yourself. Following other people is a waste of time in this sport.

            You only need to know the sport well, manage your $$, and know how to spot value and you'll do just as well as anyone else.

            Anyone who tells you otherwise is full of shiznit.
            Comment
            • Sawyer
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-01-09
              • 7761

              #7
              * Home advantage is overrated in hockey.
              * Never bet on a -200 (or higher) fav.
              * Focus on dogs. You can find much better value.
              * Goalie is very important.

              I wish you a profitable hockey season..
              Comment
              • NHL Pro Capper
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-06-11
                • 604

                #8
                Originally posted by Sawyer
                * Home advantage is overrated in hockey.
                * Never bet on a -200 (or higher) fav.
                * Focus on dogs. You can find much better value.
                * Goalie is very important.

                I wish you a profitable hockey season..
                Excellent. I follow these rules as well, also:
                -watch division travel schedules, teams in the south east sometimes have to fly to Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver and now also Winnipeg. They are always gased
                -US teams with lots of CDN players on them do very well vs. CDN home teams on Sat night due to national broadcast
                -Always check goalie vs top 6 players of opposing team, goalie is the key
                Comment
                • aznbluff
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-24-08
                  • 892

                  #9
                  Home ice in hockey is not overrated at all.
                  There are inherent advantages to being at home built into the rules of the game, unlike any other sport.

                  You get a matchup advantage with last change. You can choose to match power on power or checking line vs scoring line, etc, depending on your (and their) personnel. You can get favorable scoring matchups for your offensive stars (this is why the Sedins score a lot, 75% Offensive zone start, highest in the league). You can create bad situations for theirs, etc...

                  Also, you get a slight advantage in overall puck possession due to a faceoff advantage. Home team gets to put their stick on the ice last. Its not noticeable over small sample size but it leads to a slight increase in overall puck possession throughout the year at home vs away. Puck possesion leads to more goals for and less goals against in the long run.

                  No other sport has rules built into the game that give an inherent advantage to the home side.

                  Of course these advantages are not overwhelmingly large, but they are a slight edge over the long run to the home side

                  Also, goalie is pretty overrated to look at as long as the starters are both starting. There is a 0.014SV% difference between the best goalie in the league and the 30th best.
                  Thomas on average will stop 27.66/30 shots a game
                  Scott Clemmenson (career backup) will stop 27.27/30 shots a game

                  Overall team defense matters a lot more than goaltending at NHL level. Every goalie in the league is a really good goalie, despite what anyone says. If you can limit a team to 26 shots/game on average, you will do a lot better with Clemmenson than if you allow 30 shots a game with Thomas in net

                  This is why the Wings dominate year in year out with a revolving door of below average goaltenders. They built Chris Osgood a Hall of Fame worthy resume despite being, at best, average his whole career.

                  Edit: also, something like 80% of the league is Canadian. Every US team will have a lot of Canadians. Every Canadian team will have lots of Canadians. There is nothing to see in that stat there.
                  Comment
                  • bobbyk1133
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-05-10
                    • 2245

                    #10
                    Originally posted by aznbluff
                    . Edit: also, something like 80% of the league is Canadian. Every US team will have a lot of Canadians. Every Canadian team will have lots of Canadians. There is nothing to see in that stat there.
                    Actually that number is WAY off unless you have schizophrenia and still believe it's 1990. There's about 55% of Canadian players in the NHL (source Quanthockey.com).

                    The better question to ask these so-called hockey capping geniuses is whether or not they have any data to back any of the smoke they're blowin'.
                    Comment
                    • aznbluff
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-24-08
                      • 892

                      #11
                      Just guessed the number yea, its pretty ridiculously high nonetheless. 55% means every team in the league is going to be mostly Canadian.
                      Comment
                      • mrlegend28
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-07-11
                        • 252

                        #12
                        Goalie / Defense is first and foremost. Back to back games. Traveling. All that. I live in Toronto so I breathe hockey. I am going to hopefully handicap this year. I can bet the Leafs well. Im a fan but I know when to bet against them. Hopefully I'll help people win some money this year
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61527

                          #13
                          How much notice do you guys take of teams on winning/losing streaks in NHL?

                          Seems to have been a lot of teams that went on longish streaks last year. (my first year betting it)
                          .
                          Comment
                          • a4u2fear
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-29-10
                            • 8147

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mrlegend28
                            Goalie / Defense is first and foremost. Back to back games. Traveling. All that. I live in Toronto so I breathe hockey. I am going to hopefully handicap this year. I can bet the Leafs well. Im a fan but I know when to bet against them. Hopefully I'll help people win some money this year
                            Bet against them often, they blow.
                            Comment
                            • sfi50
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 05-06-10
                              • 370

                              #15
                              alot said with nothing being said oh well so is sports handicapping
                              Comment
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