DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

[DennisGreen]

LIVE BET : OTT/WPG Over 7.5 (+185)

[DennisGreen]

LIVE BET : OTT/WPG Over 7.5 (+185)

Of course I hit the hero live bets but not the chalky ones

[dugdogg]

grand salami under once again was the way to go...caps burned you a lot last year i remember DG...too inconsistent...like the hawks...they're getting crushed now at home by phoenix

[DennisGreen]

grand salami under once again was the way to go...caps burned you a lot last year i remember DG...too inconsistent...like the hawks...they're getting crushed now at home by phoenix

Yup they pretty much made me 5k two years ago with 1st period
overs. Guess I still have a hard time believing they're not the same team

[philliesfinest]

thanks guys and you're right. Feel stupid even posting another play tonight after that travesty Cbj/van under 5.5 (-119)

best of luck,remember its a grind buddy people get greedy thats what the house wants!!!!!!!!

[dodgerblue]

Just regroup Dennis. I didn't follow today, mainly b/c I suspected that 10x was a chase bet - let's face it.

My only feedback is that youre paying like a degenerate gambler vs intelligent investor. Chases, lots of canucks action, prop bets, hero bets, live stuff. Doesnt make sense to me, given how much you know. The way back to even is slow and steady. Cap the card early, no prop bets or live bets. Discipline for rest of season gets it done. For sure you are the best NHL guy out there.

[DennisGreen]

best of luck,remember its a grind buddy people get greedy thats what the house wants!!!!!!!!

Yup you are right my friend.

[mebaran]

[odog11]

Just regroup Dennis. I didn't follow today, mainly b/c I suspected that 10x was a chase bet - let's face it. My only feedback is that youre paying like a degenerate gambler vs intelligent investor. Chases, lots of canucks action, prop bets, hero bets, live stuff. Doesnt make sense to me, given how much you know. The way back to even is slow and steady. Cap the card early, no prop bets or live bets. Discipline for rest of season gets it done. For sure you are the best NHL guy out there.

I agree with this, though I would say don't rule out the live bets, you seem to have a good feel for them most of the time.

[DennisGreen]

Just regroup Dennis. I didn't follow today, mainly b/c I suspected that 10x was a chase bet - let's face it.

My only feedback is that youre paying like a degenerate gambler vs intelligent investor. Chases, lots of canucks action, prop bets, hero bets, live stuff. Doesnt make sense to me, given how much you know. The way back to even is slow and
steady. Cap the card early, no prop bets or live bets. Discipline for rest of season gets it done. For sure you are the best NHL guy out there.

I did really like the play today and the spot but bet a bit over my head clearly. See the main problem is knowing I'm down a bunch on the year.

I agree with most of what you're saying but disagree on the live bets. There's lots of value in live bets and as you see my live bets aren't always chases of earlier bets. When I do live bet an over that isn't looking good after the 1st most of the time it's a bet to break even. If it were a true chase I would be doubling up.

[dugdogg]

take a STRONG look at the ducks/canadiens under 5.5 tomorrow...for some reason it's at 5.5...thought that would be 5 for sure. i doubt even 3 goals will be scored in that one

[DennisGreen]

take a STRONG look at the ducks/canadiens under 5.5 tomorrow...for some reason it's at 5.5...thought that would be 5 for sure. i doubt even 3 goals will be scored in that one

Ducks will give up 3 minimum but probably score 2 or less.

[gigicash]

: fkd up loss tnight DG, good bet overall liked caps in regulation myself, didn't take em or any game tnight - but sht like this happens to everyone .. and too often I would say - your mind is somwhere else, you want to believe it will happen, bet big and after a couple of minutes of placing your bet you wonder if you've made a mistake or not - then the result pops up - and then it kicks in - you just fkd up - I don't know what to say man, it happend to me, I got out of it not once, many times, but you gotta stick with what works for you - bet small if you have to 0.5/1u max just for the fk of it - you will at worst break even at the end of the week - get your confidence back up.. and move on - start fresh, the right way.

[gigicash]

sometimes I feel like betting the whole board, but I realized it's not going to work long term.. and I can't do that.. that's why I started my "Prediction" section.. to get that feeling out of the way, you know what I mean ? and go for the best and it's working out just fine for me - not making much now, but I am not rushing either - will push later, my bankroll is ready.

go over your picks, see what works and set up a limit for each bet from now on, and you will be fine. gl

[DennisGreen]

Thanks for the pick me up.

: fkd up loss tnight DG, good bet overall liked caps in regulation myself, didn't take em or any game tnight - but sht like this happens to everyone .. and too often I would say - your mind is somwhere else, you want to believe it will happen, bet big and after a couple of minutes of placing your bet you wonder if you've made a mistake or not - then the result pops up - and then it kicks in - you just fkd up - I don't know what to say man, it happend to me, I got out of it not once, many times, but you gotta stick with what works for you - bet small if you have to 0.5/1u max just for the fk of it - you will at worst break even at the end of the week - get your confidence back up.. and move on - start fresh, the right way.

Thanks Gigi. Appreciate the advice. I let my emotions get in the way still sometimes unfortunately. These big plays of mine rarely work out anyways. All about a slow grind.

[DennisGreen]

2-1 on the night ............Unfortunately the loss was a 10 unit play Happy my two late plays hit at least to start the rebuild. You won't see a 10 unit play from me again this year unless it is a playoff series bet, that's it.

This was a good lesson for everyone never bet big like this, it ends badly 90% of the time. All about bankroll management. I learned that again the hard way for about the 5th time in my life Stupid play by me today. Can't believe I do stupid shit like this still. I talk myself into it seeing the fast cash and a way to wipe out a majority of my "debt" on the year and then a few minutes after you place your bet you ask yourself wtf am I doing? I won't be going anywhere though I'm in it for the long haul

[mike-dub]

it happens to everybody, well, i at least know it happens to me ALL the fkin time! if i bet small, its a straight 50/50 shot, but if i go big it becomes a 10/90. sadly, i never learn and i do it over and over again and im now in rebuilding mode too. im pretty sure there must be some kinda curse or jinx going way back to the early days of sportsbetting that keeps people from winning big! maybe if we sacrifice a goat or something...

or it could just be how weird this season has been, even today with blues beating caps, coyotes beating hawks and even isles beating sabres.

[DennisGreen]

it happens to everybody, well, i at least know it happens to me ALL the fkin time! if i bet small, its a straight 50/50 shot, but if i go big it becomes a 10/90. sadly, i never learn and i do it over and over again and im now in rebuilding mode too. im pretty sure there must be some kinda curse or jinx going way back to the early days of sportsbetting

that keeps people from winning big! maybe if we sacrifice a goat or something...

or it could just be how weird this season has been, even today with blues beating caps, coyotes beating hawks and even isles beating sabres.

Totally agree. Seems like the gambling gods or whoever is responsible punishes those who get greedy. Karma somehow fcuks you for going for the big score. I guess this was how Vegas was built and continues to thrive


Yeah lots of weird shit tonight. Did not expect Islanders to win and definitely didn't think Phoenix would shit kick the Hawks in their barn

[a4u2fear]

Dennis, I guess we were foolish for thinking a couple of players who rarely show up or try hard would. like the books say, usually player intensity doesn't affect the outcome by much

[DennisGreen]

Dennis, I guess we were foolish for thinking a couple of players who rarely show up or try hard would. like the books say, usually player intensity doesn't affect the outcome by much

Yup I guess so. I figured they would play hard at least for a few games to impress their new coach but nope

[DennisGreen]

Wednesday Plays

BOS/TOR Over 5.5 (-101)

DET -0.5 (-110)

[Just Enough]

good luck tonight DG!! looks good.

[investing4us]

Good luck DG tailed you on both picks.

[xraygord]

Good luck tonight DG!

I'm on DET ML x4. Hope this one hits tonight!

[Vortexx00]

Best of luck today DG

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Good luck tonight DG.

[MJG24]

I'd lean under in TO, its Tim Thomas we're talking about. Love the Detroit play, Wings are 12-2 lifetime at home to TB.

[MJG24]

AND this is why I don't bet over/under's!

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

AND this is why I don't bet over/under's!

Not trying to be a smartass and to comment after 2 periods of play in the Bruins/Leafs game but there wasn't any edge whether to play the over or under in this game. These 2 teams can easily play to a 2-1 final or like we see tonight a 4-3 type game. Just my 2 cents and words of advice to not play the total in this game for next time.

One thing I have realized though and I don't know how accurate this really is. But these two teams tend to play more tight defensively when these 2 meet in Boston. Vice versa when they play in Toronto. Just something I've noticed after years of watching the Leafs play.

[fly fisher]

Wednesday Plays

BOS/TOR Over 5.5 (-101)

Nice hit. Congrats DG. I tailed this one.

[gottiboy19]

Wednesday Plays

BOS/TOR Over 5.5 (-101)

DET -0.5 (-110)

You know I loved this play I played it last night, I forgot to put on here though! Well at least you know I was on this 100%

[DennisGreen]

4-0 run since the Caps disaster last night

Got 75% of that loss back now at least.

[jose21_us]

very nice!!!

[philliesfinest]

4-0 run since the caps disaster last night Got 75% of that loss back now at least.

slow grind brother keep your head,but admit over my lifetime all my large plays seemed to lose but i learned from experience no more large plays just bet to enjoy!!!!!!!!you cant make aliving off gambling but the house makes a living OFF gamblers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[DennisGreen]

slow grind brother keep your head,but admit over my lifetime all my large plays seemed to lose but i learned from experience no more large plays just bet to enjoy!!!!!!!!you cant make aliving off gambling but the house makes a living OFF gamblers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yup you are right. Sometimes I forget to be happy with gambling just supplementing my income
An extra tax-free 3-5k a year can go a long way in the grand scheme of things