How heavy do teams get favored for NHL games? (moneyline) I watch a lot of hockey but I don't bet on it that much. I'm guessing around -200 for big favorites, does it go much higher?
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Goes over -300 occasionally but pretty rare. Most cap out around -200 to -250.Comment -
Really? Over -300? The most I remember from last season was -230. But Then again I'm new and haven't been around much.Originally posted by DennisGreenComment -
Have all the games on a spreadsheet and eight times there was a favorite >=-300, all home teams.Originally posted by leafs_ducksComment -
Can I see that spread sheet? I am doing a stat study kind of thingOriginally posted by a4u2fearComment -
doesnt normally go over -250. for it to go to -300, would have to be a huge nhl powerhouse playing worst team in league, and playing at home.Comment -
I would say a typical game is about -145 to -190.Comment -
The best value is finding games and playing the puckline on the visiting team. You can make some serious cash if you have a good grasp of the teams.Comment -
It actually depends on the books and differs from one to another... sometimes the difference is so huge that it pays off to have opened accounts with many various books to get the best price. Eh... sorry to say such a trivial thing known to almost everyone around here... but I somehow felt it sort of relates to this topic.Originally posted by sanchezComment -
Sorry dude, has all 1232 games and all the lines, took me way to long to put together to be giving it away.Originally posted by sanchezComment -
Not sure how giving it away hurts you in any way.... Are you planning on selling it?Originally posted by a4u2fearComment -
I really don't understand why not give it away either. I guess sometimes people feel like they put so much time and effort into something and they feel if they give it away they're being Santa Claus. The other thing too is that one season will not give you enough data to find groundbreaking trends. I think you need at least 5 seasons of data before you can find any useful trends, and even then they must be 60% + or else they will all too quickly be hitting 50% again.Comment -
Its called it took multiple weeks of time spent and I don't want to just give it away. Sorry, but I can't do it..Comment -
Give and you shall be given
Life is too poor without sharing 
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I hear this type of thinking and it doesn't really make sense. 5 years? Players change. Coaches change. Styles change. Rules change. One season, the previous season specifically, can show some trends which could be useful in the next season of bets. The books would most likely catch onto any trend if it has been going on for 5 years.Originally posted by hels
Also, I totally understand why this guy would not want to give out all his information he has worked at.
But at the same time if he is looking to give it away I would love to take a look!!Comment -
Ok man, I get that it took time, but still doesn't make any sense to me how it hurts you to give it away. It's not like I'm asking you to give me something physical you've built like a car or chair. You can multiply your product for free and unless you are planning on selling it I don't see any reason to hold it to yourself.Originally posted by a4u2fear
That's like someone throwing their food in the trash instead of giving it to a homeless man.
I don't even want the information for betting purposes, was just looking to do some kind of hockey pick games contest and needed to know odds averages.Comment -
Five years might be too much, but the larger the sample the better. I believe a reliable system can be built upon 3 years of stats. If something happens one or two times (seasons), it can still be an anomaly of some sort. 3 times provide more certainty. As you say, some trends from the previous season might occur again in the next, but some might also reappear only after two years or even more. Therefore, to reveal and identify all types of long-term and generally valid trends, you need more than just one or two consecutive seasons. From this point of view, the leagues such as NFL should be the most difficult to create a working system, while in NHL or MLB, you get a much greater portion of games and stats from each team to work with.Originally posted by Inkwell77Comment -
I remember back in the 05-06 season, back when Pittsburgh was dreadful, Pitt were consistently +300 to +600 dogs on most of their road games. I remember Ottawa being somewhere around a -700 favorite ML one game against Pitt.Comment -
Originally posted by 70kgman
Wow really -700 never seen that be4 highest line last season was Col @ Van-350 it was sick and first time seeing a team Col+1.5 +100 for a pucklineComment -
depends on the gameComment -
wow that is crazy for an NHL gameOriginally posted by 70kgmanComment -
After the Wings won the stanley cup 4 years ago? the next season they played there first game in toronto and were a -300 fav and lost lmfao!Comment
