series/line predictions if VAN/BOS final?

[hockey216]

what you think series line will be. i'd personally cap it at vancouver -180 bruins +150.. in that neighborhood. boston's only where they're at because they have the best goalie. but i think vancouver will be a little bit too strong for them to handle. Yes, boston beat them in the regular season, but also remember that the western conference is much better than the east. Detroit and San Jose were both really good teams. vancouver's been beating san jose which says a lot. Although, san jose has played decent.

anyway, i took boston at beginning of year at +1700 for the stanley cup and i think at +700 for the eastern conf. Standing to win like 5,500 if they win cup, and like 1500 if they win east. if they do win the east, should i hedge the bet and go for like a guaranteed 2500 in case boston loses, and risk only winning 5,000 if they win cup and get 2,000 less. or should i let it all ride? Does Boston have any chance against the team out west? it looks very slim to me... but heck, they have a good goalie. haha. would like to hear some feedback.(obviously bos haven't won east yet. series is far from over... especially with a team that collapses like the bruins)

[hockey216]

maybe my lines a little high because i overvalue vancouver. but ive really been impressed by the way they've played. and i think western conf is a LOT tougher than the east. maybe like -160/+130 would be more accurate. who knows. would like to hear your projections and advice on whether i should hedge. does boston have any chance against team out west? how much of a chance?

[ColdBeerHere]

Boston has Daniel Paille as a forward whom they have dressed for all 16 playoff games thus far

Nuff' said

[gti175]

Don't hedge, you'll be fine. Boston will punish vancouver over and over again. Vancouver isn't tough enough.

[DennisGreen]

Boston hasn't looked too impressive vs Tampa. If they make the finals I would hedge. My Nucks aren't losing this year. However I would wait to hedge until a few games into the series. If Boston goes up 2-0 hedging might not be necessary and if you choose to hedge then you will get a nice +$ number.

Neither team has made the finals yet so were getting ahead of ourselves here

[odog11]

Boston hasn't looked too impressive vs Tampa. If they make the finals I would hedge. My Nucks aren't losing this year. However I would wait to hedge until a few games into the series. If Boston goes up 2-0 hedging might not be necessary and if you choose to hedge then you will get a nice +$ number. Neither team has made the finals yet so were getting ahead of ourselves here

Yes, I agree, Bruins have not been overly impressive, wait to see who is actually in the Finals and how they got there. I was thinking wait till after game 1 and get a feel for it, but if Vancouver wins it convincingly you will be laying a lot more juice, so maybe a little hedge is in order before the series starts.

[hockey216]

Yes, I agree, Bruins have not been overly impressive, wait to see who is actually in the Finals and how they got there. I was thinking wait till after game 1 and get a feel for it, but if Vancouver wins it convincingly you will be laying a lot more juice, so maybe a little hedge is in order before the series starts.

appreciate the advice. My worry about waiting until after game 1 is that in VAN wins 4-1 or something, now the series price on VAN would be like -240 and would be too hefty to hedge. obviously if bos wins i'd get a better price at hedging/may not need to hedge. But it's definitely a gamble waiting until the middle of series bc if van jumps out to a lead, i wont be able to unless i lay some crazy high juice in -250 or something. Think bruins can win game 1? Think they can beat vancouver? there's no question vancouver's the better team... but will Tim Thomas be able to take over the series like he has every other?

[DennisGreen]

appreciate the advice. My worry about waiting until after game 1 is that in VAN wins 4-1 or something, now the series price on VAN would be like -240 and would be too hefty to hedge. obviously if bos wins i'd get a better price at hedging/may not need to hedge. But it's definitely a gamble waiting until the middle of series bc if van jumps out to a lead, i wont be able to unless i lay some crazy high juice in -250 or something. Think bruins can win game 1? Think they can beat vancouver? there's no question vancouver's the better team... but will Tim Thomas be able to take over the series like he has every other?

I think your best case scenario if you wait is hope that Boston gets a split in the first two games in VAN then you'll get a decent price. All depends what the opening series line is I guess. If it's -130 or less I'd consider a hedge there. Might as well take away some of the risk and guarantee yourself some profit, unless you are a huge degenerate then let it ride

[DwightShrute]

Tampa is better and I still think they will win this series

[phxcoyotes]

Whatever team wins in the west, which is looking like vancouver, is going to take the cup home.

[philliesfinest]

VANC. WILL BE - 200 in the cup final cause they were -170 vs. san jose and the public thinks more of san jose than boston - 200 mark my word!!!!!!!!!!!!

[hockey216]

VANC. WILL BE - 200 in the cup final cause they were -170 vs. san jose and the public thinks more of san jose than boston - 200 mark my word!!!!!!!!!!!!

i could be wrong, but i think that san jose is one of the smaller-market teams. boston is a big-market team. VAN should be -200 probably... but because Boston is a public team and so many people bet them, their lines get inflated. if theres gonna be a lot of public money on boston bc theyre a public team and a big market team, could shift the line. I'd say though, that i wouldnt be surprised to see -200. i was thinking it'd be around -180.

[hockey216]

thats if boston even wins. lightning are better team but thomas is a vezina and conn smythe trophy candidate

[philliesfinest]

yeah but don't you think the price will be higher for t.b. rather than bost?i agree about bost. being a bigger market than sanjose,just thinking san jose matches up better than bost and the price was -170 so thats why i thinking -200!

[pepper60000]

-200 vancouver or something....boston is a little overrated

[hockey216]

-200 vancouver or something....boston is a little overrated

yea thinking about it, i guess that's what i expect to see. im a bruins fan, and even i think they're overrated. they're only where they're at because of tim thomas. but that being said, can thomas continue to single handedly carry the bruins? or will vancouver be such a mismatch that even thomas can't help it? Luongo looked great in net last night i think he had 52 saves. unbelievable. would like to hear more opinions here. obviously if bruins dont beat tampa this is a waste of a conversation haha.

[k13]

Van is -245 to win the cup right now.