Originally posted by leafsfan19
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your not kidding, whats going on with detroit lately?3-0 nowComment -
Bruins won
only 2 to go now 
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Detroit?????? La kings?????? Cross your fingers.Comment -
No i am talking locks.. Leans are just leans. His record is not built on leans but locks. Thats why you should focus on playing the locks games if you ask me
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There goes detroit with the win. good call and good luck kgb!Comment -
First post and it got a double, my bad.Comment -
Hey, im pretty new to the whole betting thing, been doing it for about a week now. But i have to ask if doing single games is really the best way to earn money? For me it seems like you have to bet alot, for a small gain. My bankroll started at about 400$, not much but its a start. The way i went is that i bet 4 parlays(im from sweden so im not sure if i understand it right, but parlays is a combo right?) and i do about 8-12 of them per night. Right now im at 1000$ and i have won every night except 1, but since i bet very low, about 2$ per game, i dont lose much. Got one parlay last week at 135x my bet, where i doubled my roll at that moment.
Im not bashing anything here, im just going for some advice, is this a good way to go? Im from Sweden and im very intrested in hockey. My view on nhl is that you get ALOT of wierd scores, which gives alot of odds, as we say in sweden. Right now im doing about half of my bets on "sure" combos, but with with a few ties and so on, and the other half is where the $ is at if it goes that way. Where i bet on the not so good team and so on.
I have only followed this forum for a few days, the thing im doing might have been tried a 1000 times and i could have hit a lucky streak with winnings the last week.
Whats your idea about it?
Edit, in todays 4 game parleys i have 2 tickets still going strong, one with kings as winners and one with a tie, so lets hope for that! kings took it, 31 times the bet, would rather have gotten the tie, but you cant have everything!Comment -
I'm not sure if it's a language issue, but I struggled a bit to understand exactly what you are saying/asking (and if you don't mind me asking, what was your parlay that you got 135x on?)
As far as strategies, the general practice on this thread seems to be to parlay a couple of the higher odds games. So if you like a couple of heavy favorites, instead of betting $200 to win $100 on each, you could bet $100 to win $125. Obviously you need both of them to hit in that case though. A -200 favorite would be expected to win about 2 out of every 3 games. So you would expect to win the above mentioned parlay 4 out of every 9 times. If you add another game to the card, you're odds of winning are about 8 out of 27, and so on. If you're an incredible handicapper and you pick those games correctly 80% of the time (not really even in the realm of possibility, but just to show an example), you get the first parlay wrong 36% of the time, and the 2nd one wrong almost half the time. Forgive me if you already understand how this all works, but I wanted to start with the basics. The point is, the larger the parlay payout, obviously the less chance you have to win. If you exclude the juice, and say the sportsbook just look to break even, you'd expect to win your 135x parlay once every 135 times you bet it, and lose it the other 134 times. If you add in juice, the ratio is even lower.
So if your basic questions was "Can I do a whole bunch of small dollar parlays with long odds and expect to hit one for 135x my money every week", the answer is an emphatic no.
If you really doubled your money in a week, I'd take the winnings out and basically play with house money, and even if you lose it all you're no worse off than you were last week.
Best of luck to you!Comment -
As far as tonight's card, just wanted to say thanks to KGB for his "locks". I parlayed the 3, but just decided to cancel out the 3rd leg by betting SJ -1.5 (+200) to lock in the winnings (minus juice) for the first two. Didn't have much on it, but thanks anyway.Comment -
Yeah i have to excuse my language. The main thing i wanted to know is if the thing im doing is not going to work out in a long stretch? If what im doing has been done before and proving the wrong way to go. My 135x bet was
27.03.2011 20:05 Atlanta Thrashers - Ottawa Senators (1X2)
4 - 4 X
3.80
Vinst
27.03.2011 19:05 Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers (1X2)
1 - 1 X
4.30
Vinst
27.03.2011 16:00 AIK - Färjestad (1X2)
1 - 2 2
2.10
Vinst
27.03.2011 16:00 Luleå - Skellefteå AIK (1X2)
1 - 1 X
3.95
Vinst
135.54 15.0 = 2.033,10
Vinst = Win and the two lower teams are playing for the swedish title. And that 15 in the end is about 2$.
I also hit a 83.75x 1/4, so a few days after.
"So if your basic questions was "Can I do a whole bunch of small dollar parlays with long odds and expect to hit one for 135x my money every week", the answer is an emphatic no."
Thats not the whole truth though, half of my bets are on my "secure" plays. I try to do half on a few combos that could play out from what i read here and my own feeling of what could happen, so if we have a 4 ml parlay here i do a few ties and stuff like that. The thing is that if i dont win high, like the 83 or 135 i mostly get double or abit less then the money i bet back on a more "secure" bet.
But like i said, this is not to show off anything, i just wanted to know if this has been done and i might have gotten a lucky roll lately. It just feels bad somehow to bet lets say 50$ with the chance of winning the same amount, but seeing your win/loss it sure seems to be working aswell. I just have to take the step to do some singles i guess.
Got 3 parlays where i only have the canucks left and 1 single with -1.5, lets hope for some Sedin love tonight, so he can secure his Art Ross. But with 0-1 now and how the canucks are playing its goint to be hard. Lets make that 5, missed one game, got 2 of the games requiring a 5.5+ on Ana/Sjs, 2-0 is looking good so far.
This is why im playing parleys, nhl can be such a bitch sometimes and the best team can be schooled by the worst team with their best players traded/injured. Im not a tin foil hat guy, but sometimes it feels like its made up. How come the best offensive team has to work their ass off to get a decent shot, when Edm has great chance to score every damn time they cross the blue line.
Time to hit the sack, its 06 in the morning here afterall, sucks to loose 4 parleys because of the canucks, but ive hit 2 4 game parleys today and will hit another one if ANA/SJS goes above 5.5 so its a good night anyway.
Thanks for todays picks!Comment -
these are winners and ur best plays for the day, hope u played them seperately ....Originally posted by xkgbBoston(ml)/over in isles
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All 5 parlays lost xkgb.. I only played your locks as single games, which gave profit. I dont think you need all those parlays, they are very difficult to hit!
Thx for the plays i went 2-1 = money
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I agree KGB..You should play games separately until you get hot. Don't chase it will come to you.Comment -
Did Oilers win 4-1? Hockey is so predictable
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Two games today sunday:
1.Detroit(ml)
2.over 5.5 colorado/calgary
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Originally posted by xkgbTwo games today sunday:
1.Detroit(ml)
2.over 5.5 colorado/calgary
Thats what im talking about
Hopefully u arent betting several 4 teamers with these locks now lol
Best of luck today !!
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Good strategy KGB. GL today man.Comment -
Originally posted by Pete0Thats what im talking about
Hopefully u arent betting several 4 teamers with these locks now lol
Best of luck today !!
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Thanks for doing what you do xkgb. And my suggestion is if you want to build your roll faster just bet a lil more on your locks. Obviously your locks are money. GLOriginally posted by xkgbTwo games today sunday: 1.Detroit(ml) 2.over 5.5 colorado/calgary 
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I remember the last time Detroit was a lock..... lol kidding they got this one
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I took Carolina. Staying away from that heavy juice. Gl though, detroit just isn't playing all that well.Comment -
2-0 detroit, looking good!
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Just walked in....i took each one for couple units a piece, and a hundred parlay...just looking to double up tonight...bol everyoneOriginally posted by carmeloso80
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I took Carolina too and actually went to the game - I forgot my first rule of attending games - BET ON THE TEAM YOU'RE CHEERING AGAINST! That way if you win, you just paid a bit more money to see it, and if you lose, you still wind up with some green to soothe the pain.Originally posted by carmeloso80
Carolina just couldn't get it done on their power plays. I don't think they had one decent shot on goal during any of them.Comment -
enroth was awesomeOriginally posted by ncsubowen
what a beastComment -
Agreed he had a hell of a game.Originally posted by gambler CKComment -
Detroit pick. At least, we cash. Gl allComment -
I took det-1.5. So a little profit
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Keep em coming brotherComment -
Too bad the over didnt hit for my parlay....but keep doing wat u do best, giving out winners!Comment -
That's what Im saying. Parlay is way to dangerous as a stabil source of profit.
Sports betting is all about being patient. You need to slowly build up your bankroll.. In the long run this is the only safe way to get huge profit on.
But i also do get why you guys love parlays I just don't see it as a smart way to make money if you are really serious about getting a lot of money from sports betting.
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KGB
sorry 2 not get back 2 u more promptly ,,
allergies have had me besieged lately
anyway
2 answer ur question i typically follow THE GREEK ..
& actually in my approach i retrieve the opening odds
from whichever sport`s SCORES & ODDS on this website
& of the books they offer 4 comparison GREEK is the 1 i like
good luck 2nite .. & if it means anything
i like BOS (ml) unders & SJ (ats) unders
.. & like the fat kid in dodgeball
I
AM
OUT !Comment -
Grand salami under 10 1/2 is my call tonight, lots of good goalies and "playoff like" hockey tonight.Comment -
hmmmm....veery light card...And i only have couple of leans
I am going to parlay it, but only for $100
1.Boston+1.5(pl)
2.SanJose(ml)
$100 to win$ $140
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