Daily Picks

[LUSabres]

Another picks thread. Thought I'd broadcast my daily NHL picks to the sbr world. I use a modified formula that contrasts both teams winning and losing percentages on different areas. If the edge I've calculated is too big, it usually means the line is fishy and has shown to me to bet the opposite of what the math is telling me. If the edge is in a specified range I'll hit it straight up. Plus outside information not easily calculated.

Feb 18th
Atlanta +1.5 [1.337]
New Jersey +1.5 [1.389]
Dallas [2.79]
Phoenix [2.28] - Top Play
Toronto [1.543]
San Jose [1.439]

Low value in most, but expecting much of the lower valued plays to hit in a bizarre week in the NHL.

[LUSabres]

Started off with a very unlucky loss in Atlanta +1.5; 4 straight goals from Edmonton, winning 5-3 with an EN. Play rebounded with a solid Devils +1.5. Toronto being a close game, eventually losing 1-0 in SO. Phoenix winning with a solid game, supplemented by great play from Bryzgalov. Big win by San Jose, no match for the lowly Avalanche. Then in a tight game until the 3rd period, Dallas loses to Vancouver.
All in all, kind of disappointing with 2 near wins.
Today: -0.474U

[LUSabres]

Feb 19th
Washington +1.5 [1.362]
Chicago [1.581]
Montreal [2.290] - Top Play
Detroit -1.5 [3.21]

[xxx]

welcome to the forum LUSabres, am not familiar with decimal odds, how did you come up with -0.474u on the night?

[LUSabres]

I only use decimal odds, so much easier than american or fractional. I came up with -0.474, by adding up by wins and diving by the number of games. So I ****** up. Its -0.892. I usually don't flat bet and transfered the math incorrectly. my bad, but i can't edit my posts for some reason.

[xxx]

thanks,no worries man, GL with your plays today.