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Will PM later.Comment -
Can you post the spreadsheet my pm don't work. I'll give pointsDO WORK + KROW OD
do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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Here it is. Calendar had to be split up so it didnt get too confusing, thats why theres two tabs for each month. It has multiple systems. NBA/NHL Totals system, Chase 110 (not on the calendar), NBA Road Halves. For the NBA/NHL Totals system i have more plays than what is in this thread. Feel free to skip those extra plays at your own discretion.Comment -
thanks jas19illiniDO WORK + KROW OD
do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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which (best) book does offer under/over per team and not team goals?Comment -
No, we're not betting TEAM Totals, we're betting GAME Totals.Comment -
Just wanted to say thanks for the spreadsheet jas and thanks for the thread JW.
I started using SBR for daily lines and stumbled into the forums, some fascinating info here. I Have been flat betting and capping my own games, some ups, some downs. Looking to expand my arsenal and try out some of the under plays in this thread using a labby. Still not confident on some of the finer points and had some noob questions to throw out there.
If i set up a 2 line labby, how do the game sequences mentioned in this thread play into it? Do you run a unique labby for each team? or do you run all teams on the same set of lines. Do you have to wait for a sequence of 3 consecutive home (or road) games to start a line, or do you play every road or home game that fits.
For example, Today the plays are NSH under, NYI Over, and ATL Over. So do i set up a 2 line 5-5-5-5 and put all the outcomes against the top line? then tomorrow play mtl and wsh under against the 2nd line?
Thanks
Have a good oneComment -
Im doing my "system" a bit differently. I have more plays than JW has officially listed in this thread. He has listed the best plays on the board, but i found some other plays that were still really good, just not quite at the level of the plays he listed. So think of it as 2 tiers. The lower tier (the additional plays) im playing on Line 1, the upper tier (JWs plays) im playing on Line 2. If i lose a Line 1 game, im keeping 40% of the loss on Line 1 and dropping 60% of the loss down to Line 2. Conversely, if i lose a game on Line 2 then im keeping 60% on Line 2 and moving 40% up to Line 1. The reason being is that the 60% will be going to the Line that has more consistent winners (Line 2), so in theory i should be able to recoup my losses a little faster.
So my plays today were Atlanta Over on Line 1, and Nashville Under and NY Islanders Over on Line 2. If that makes sense.....Comment -
Just a question what lines do you guys have on the islanders and nashville games?Comment -
Nyi 5.5
nash 5Comment -
good luck with the plays
hope to see everyone at the bank
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I think i got that part, so JW play wagers are constructed off line 2 values only and wins are crossed out against line 2.
Where i get lost is how to run a 2 (or 3 ) line labby in conjunction with playing multiple teams. So, lets say i chose to play all Mon away Under, Nsh home under and NYI home over.
Based on the schedule, 2 plays today on line 1, losses get split 40/60 across 2 lines, wins crossed off of line 1. MTL away under play tomorrow would be constructed from line 1 because its a game 1 of a sequence (MTL unders)? or do you play it off of line 2 values because its now the 3rd game of all the teams im playing.
From my understanding having multiple lines splits the losses to another line where the next game has a higher probability of hitting. Would it not be best to run a unique 2 line labby for each team your are tracking? or do the odds say having multiple teams playing against 1, 2 line labby will have less of chance of a "dry spell"
Hope that makes sense
ThanksComment -
From want JW to chime in here to answer your question.Comment -
Ok heres what i do....
I have the Series Results in a 3 Game Chase format because most
people can identify with that because JM and SBP uses that format....
BUT WE DONT EVER, EVER CHASE...........
I use a 2 Line Labby.....
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
I play ALL A Bets on Line 1
I play ALL B Bets on Line 2
I play ALL C Bets on Line 1
When a A Bet loses....you can ....
Divide the loss equally between the 2 lines
Divide the loss by percentage and put 60% on Line 2 and leave 40% on Line 1 or use any percentage that you like.......
I use a slightly aggressive 2 Line Labby.....
When a A Bet loses......I will put the entire A Bet loss on Line 2 and I add the loss to the 4 numerical
varibles and divide by 4....
If the B Bet loses I put that loss on Line 1.....
Then just rinse and repeat....So a line of
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
When A Bet loses......my labby looks like
10-10-10-10
15-15-15-15
If the B Bet Loses.....we have
18-18-18-18
15-15-15-15
If the lines get too big you can always add more numerical varibles to the 2 Lines
or add another Line.....
That being said ...When I attain my profit goal for that labby ( equivalent of Line 1 cleared twice)
I dropped that labby no matter what the lines look like....
I have ONE 2 Line labby for the NHL plays.....
Both NY Islanders HOME OVER and Nashville HOME UNDER are A Bets tonight.....Comment -
In case you are interested....
The culmulative W/L record of the 6 teams we are investing in is listed below....
Whether we want the OVER or UNDER .....the record is...
127-60........ 67.9%
Bear in mind.....you can make a profit with labby when you are at 50% Win Percentage....
Doing labby with a 67.9% is just Sick........
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Hey JW thanks for your generous help and explanation. Guys like you make the forums a better place. Do you see these 6 team trends holding up for the rest of the season?DO WORK + KROW OD
do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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See, thats the great thing about a Labby, everyone has their own way of using it. Its very customizable which is great. And as JW stated, even though its called a chase series, we're not really chasing. Bc of that fact, it allows us even more flexibility with our Labby. Good post JW.Comment -
JW. Thanks for taking the time and all the helpful information.Comment -
I am sure there will be some regression but as long
you use the right money management ( labby ) there
should still be some easy money to be made....
Tonight, the Islanders were on a 6 game HOME OVER and actually
10 out of their last 11 were HOME OVER....so they were due a Home Under
Then you got the Rangers...going AWAY UNDER the last 15 Away Games...
For whatever reasons ...teams play the style that allows these incredible..
opportunities....
I remember a few years back where the LA Dodgers went HOME UNDER
a huge percentage ALL season ....just easy money.......
And so far...I havent even touched on the records of teams when
they have 1 HOME UNDER/HOME OVER...etc....and how they respond
in the next game.....
Stay tuned.....and thanks for the points......Comment -
Thanks JW, great explanation in your last post. Im almost there, I believe I understand the 2 lines concept now.
Im not sure if this matters at all but how do you determine an "A,B, or C" bet? I read through the JM thread and others so i get that he picks out the first 3 games of a road trip and plays those games as A, B, C. So lets say the NYI goes under tonight, there next home game would be a B bet, but if if goes over, the next home game becomes an A again? Because a "C" bet means go back to the 1st line, im not sure its relevant. And because its not a chase, a D bet is played, and an E bet and on and on.
So its possible to obtain the profit you were looking for without clearing both lines? So in the case of a 10-10-10-10 2 line, 80 units profit can be obtained while the lines might still not be cleared?That being said ...When I attain my profit goal for that labby ( equivalent of Line 1 cleared twice)
I dropped that labby no matter what the lines look like....
Thanks for your replies and patience.Comment -
I have a Profit Goal attached to my labby spreadsheet....
i.e. say EVERY labby starts out with a $100 balance....
When my labby balance is $180 ...I drop that labby and start
a new one with an increased opening balance amount ( compounding)
With the nature of adding volume to the labby as plays are decided....that profit goal
really can be reached at any time......
That is how I do my Labourchere........
Thanks for asking............Comment -
nashville under 5 was a push tonight.
so if we bet under 5 and 5.5 it woulda been a winner right?
mtl is available at under 5 right now at +115 odds (pinnacle)
JW, do you think its a good idea to wait and get it at under 5 and 5.5?Comment -
Pinny allows the option to change it, +115 could be changed to somewhere between -120 to -140 area for the 5 and 5.5 but they make you wait til a few hours before the puck drops to do it.
so I guess then you're gonna take the 5 and always take the listed number without buying the extra .5Comment
Thanks in advance. Cheers!
