Playing the day's biggest ML underdog on the PL

[rkelly110]

Thanks for the input guys. I would rather get info from guys who are doing this kind of stuff.

I set up 3 lab lines for NHL big dogs, NBA big dogs and NCAAB +13 for experimentation.

I did my research on the NCAAB +13 PS. From what I have available, it's 17 of 27 63%.

[chizzy]

Thanks for the input guys. I would rather get info from guys who are doing this kind of stuff. I set up 3 lab lines for NHL big dogs, NBA big dogs and NCAAB +13 for experimentation. I did my research on the NCAAB +13 PS. From what I have available, it's 17 of 27 63%.

sounds good. youll be knocking down lines in no time.

[chizzy]

well the big dog of the day (Flyers) wins SU. always nice.

[rkelly110]

Way to go! I laid off, none fit my system.

NHL Phila wins SU.

NBA big dog, Memphis won SU.

Should've bet the big dogs in NFL. The biggest dog, Carolina (8.5) lost.
The other games @ 5.00 decimal, betting on +PS won. Cincinnatti, Tennessee, and Chicago.

A 5 of 6 big dog day.

[bombCanada]

Last night as I played it, PHI and DAL won, CBJ lost.

Tonight is our old friends the Islanders. good luck!

[rkelly110]

A little late posting. +PL @1.45 and over is Florida and Islanders.
Big dog is Islanders.

NBA big dog is Golden St.

NCAAB +13, I picked Auburn.

GL boys, let's get 'em!

[JW Cash]

Is that JW you're referring to? He does have a handle on lab lines and so do you.
From the discussions on labby's, I'm seeing most people say, whatever works for you.
Using a money management strategy. I want to keep my bets at a max of 10% of
my roll. So, if my bets get too big, spread out my losses in the line? Like my 2nd
example from above?

Believe me, after the shellacking I took last month, I'm happy to win $10 from a labby.

I do a 2 line labby for every 3 game chase sequence I use......


I play the A Bet on Line 1

if the A bet loses I divide the loss and put 65% on Line 2
and the other 35% on Line 1

The reason is that the B Bet has a higher pct to win...

I also divide a loss into all 4 variables of the line....

i.e.


10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10



If the A bet loses ....I have a $22 loss....
And 65% of the $22 loss goes to Line 2 and 35% goes to Line 1

12-12-12-12
13.57-13.57-13.57-13.57



If B Bet loses I have a loss of $29.85

I simply divide that loss by 50% and add it to the 2 lines
and they look like this...

15.73-15.73-15.73-15.73
17.47-17.47-17.47-17.47

You can round those numbers up or down if you like....

My goal is to clear Line 1 TWICE before I increase my base wager....
So to clear Line 1 TWICE..means a Profit of $80.....so as I am
playing my lines each day....and I see a profit of $80 after a day's
games are tabulated...then I quit that particular labby regardless
of how the lines look.......

I start a NEW labby at

15-15-15-15
15-15-15-15

and you just ...wash..rinse..repeat...

A labby is just a great way to use different bet sizes to accumulate a
pre-determined profit goal...


And yes.....if you are doing

JM
Crusher
SBP
Solaman.....etc...


You should have a 2 line labby for each system you use...


Hope This Helps....

[rkelly110]

Thanks JW, I've read your posts and with everyone giving their take, I get confused.

I was wondering on how to do a 3 game chase labby, because I get picks from JM
and SBP. And the key word again is, PROFIT GOAL. I made it big so I don't forget.

I need to get a handle on my losses and at the same time, capitalize on making
a profit. That's why I want to try labby's this year.

Thanks again JW and GL this year.

[bombCanada]

Not only did NYI win outright but so did 4 of 5 dogs, and all 5 covered the PL. This is fun!

[rkelly110]

Keep the fun coming!

NHL 2 for 2 +PL @1.45 and over. SU.

NBA big dog, G. St. lost.

NCAAB +13 Auburn won. ( cleared a 4# line )

[fjordo]

Haven't been following this thread often. How often does the largest ML underdog win SU?

[rkelly110]

I don't have the numbers on just the biggest dog, bomb might.
The 1.45 and over hit around 50% last month on ML.

[bombCanada]

Tampa Bay tonight is the official play, tho Edmonton is a close second.

[bombCanada]

Haven't been following this thread often. How often does the largest ML underdog win SU?

somewhere between 40-45%.

[rkelly110]

Tampa's playing your Caps, BC. What are you going to do? Do you have separate lines?

NBA big dog is Detroit +12
NCAAB is Iowa +13

Buy the hooks or more.

GL let's get 'em!

[bombCanada]

Tampa's playing your Caps, BC. What are you going to do? Do you have separate lines?

Don't wager the caps unless they fit my systems. Makes for mostly stress free watching.

[easywinner]

Damn this should be a good game, Tampa and the Caps are both pretty high powered teams. I'm going to the casino so i hope they have it on one of the TVs. Good luck everybody.

[rkelly110]

I went yesterday, easy. Won $30 in 4 spins and quit. Had to wait around for the wife to get done on the slots. Come back with lots of money$$$$.

[bombCanada]

Tampa Bay wins... Dude!

[bombCanada]

Great game last night. Calgary tonight. System continues to perform.

[rkelly110]

Tampa big dog Winner!

1 of 2 on 1.45

NBA big dog lost.

+13 Iowa won.

[spongerat]

whats the +13 ncaab system?

[rkelly110]

spongerat, see posts 139 and 141 above.

I bought Sports Betting Professor's ( Rich Allen ) NCAAB package last year. The picks
were a disaster except the +13 part of it. According to his research, +13 @ home
hits at 63.6%. Away +13 hits @ 58.2%. He doesn't send plays for that system, it's
a stand alone product he sold.

I've been seeking out +13 @ home games and started using a labby this year.
I cleared a 4# line and 1/2 of another in 4 days. +3 units.

Todays play is Elon College +13 @ home. Buy the hook or more if you want. I've
been buying a point to be safe.

[bombCanada]

Calgary lost and didn't cover. But we just had 4 in a row I think. Tonights pick later today.

[rkelly110]

1 of 3 +PL @1.45 and over.

NBA big dog Milwaukee won.

NCAAB +13 PS, Elon lost.

[thefonzo]

Another area worth exploring is playing 2nd and/or 3rd period overs on labby lines. 2nd period overs are hitting at 58% this year, and 3rd periods are hitting 56%. This is on all games. Just a bit of capping would have you hitting over 60%

[rkelly110]

Thanks for your input, fonzo. A little hint on capping?

NHL big dog is Minnesota. 3, 1.45 and over odds plays today. Let's get 'em!
(I bet all 3 ML)

No NBA.

No NCAAB.

[JW Cash]

spongerat, see posts 139 and 141 above.

I bought Sports Betting Professor's ( Rich Allen ) NCAAB package last year. The picks
were a disaster except the +13 part of it. According to his research, +13 @ home
hits at 63.6%. Away +13 hits @ 58.2%. He doesn't send plays for that system, it's
a stand alone product he sold.

I've been seeking out +13 @ home games and started using a labby this year.
I cleared a 4# line and 1/2 of another in 4 days. +3 units.

Todays play is Elon College +13 @ home. Buy the hook or more if you want. I've
been buying a point to be safe.

Sounds good...I use SBP on the NBA and I just got his new College
pdf on the Service Play forum and think I will give it a try...

[rkelly110]

Thanks for the heads up, JW. I'm on it.

[bombCanada]

And Minnesota wins outright, ending the losing streak at 1 ! Pucklines > 1.44 were 3-0 both on PL and SU (BUF, NAS, and MIN). Nifty!

[thefonzo]

Thanks for your input, fonzo. A little hint on capping?

NHL big dog is Minnesota. 3, 1.45 and over odds plays today. Let's get 'em!
(I bet all 3 ML)

No NBA.

No NCAAB.

Find the lowest scoring teams and don't play their home games. I haven't checked the numbers in about a month. But a few teams like Montreal and Minnesota were only hitting 2nd period overs at about 50%. Eliminate these few teams, and your overall win % goes up a bit.

[rkelly110]

Yeah, baby! Keep 'em coming!

Cleared my 4 # line.

[Axis]

somewhere between 40-45%.

In the NHL!?

My number is 33% from the first game of the season...only counting those days with at least 4 games being played.

27 - 53

[bombCanada]

Edmonton tonight.

[bombCanada]

In the NHL!?

My number is 33% from the first game of the season...only counting those days with at least 4 games being played.

27 - 53

some nights had more than 1 play if I couldn't easily distinguish a single dog. it's an area of immaturity for the system... and maybe the guy who's running it.