I've decided to post my picks for the rest of the season in one spot. I'll give you a rundown of the symbology I'll be using, which will pretty much be unchanged from what I've used so far:
=Low Confidence: I'll lean with these close calls, but there's a few factors I don't like (ie backup goaltender)
=Medium Confidence: These shouldn't be close at all, but again a factor may be against it (ie high ML)
=High Confidence: These are what I see as the no-brainers, having nothing counting against them (or such high value it outweighs any negatives)
I will actually wager on all three types, and you'll see why when you see my records below. I'll be placing asterisks (*) next to the picks I play, one for each base unit. However, I'll be using different base units for each confidence level. In real-world terms, for example:
*=$5; *=$10; *=$20
**=$10; **=$20; **=$40
And so on. The * amount (how many-- how much per is all about bankroll management) has nothing to do with confidence. I base it on the unit distribution of past similar circumstances/numbers. Sounds convoluted, but it's worked so far.
A few more symbols:
(1)=1st Period
(r) or (R)=Regulation
u=Units (NOT monetary)
I'll keep posting daily and cumulative results, probably the same way I have been:
2/14 (-.01u)
1-0
1-1
0-1
YTD
153-106-12
105-57-1
114-111-5
Sorry for no YTD u total; I didn't start keeping track until January. From Jan 1 I am +27.96u; from Jan 17 (changed my criteria a bit) I am +44.17u.
Speaking of changing criteria, that's something I do somewhat frequently. If things aren't going well and haven't been, why keep doing it? I'll always say when I'm trying something new, so anyone who tails (or fades
) will be "warned". I am currently in the process of tracking how each type of wager fares, unit-wise, broken down into the following categories: ML, PL, O/U, ML(R), PL(R), ML(1), PL(1), O/U(1), and betting Draws (which has been profitable for me so far).
Well, I think that's enough info (or way too much
) for now. Busy the next few days so figured I'd get this in while I had the time. Good luck to all, and I hope everyone has a profitable rest-of-the season. 
See you in March!
PS: "USA! USA! USA!"
=Low Confidence: I'll lean with these close calls, but there's a few factors I don't like (ie backup goaltender)=Medium Confidence: These shouldn't be close at all, but again a factor may be against it (ie high ML)=High Confidence: These are what I see as the no-brainers, having nothing counting against them (or such high value it outweighs any negatives)I will actually wager on all three types, and you'll see why when you see my records below. I'll be placing asterisks (*) next to the picks I play, one for each base unit. However, I'll be using different base units for each confidence level. In real-world terms, for example:
*=$5; *=$10; *=$20**=$10; **=$20; **=$40And so on. The * amount (how many-- how much per is all about bankroll management) has nothing to do with confidence. I base it on the unit distribution of past similar circumstances/numbers. Sounds convoluted, but it's worked so far.
A few more symbols:
(1)=1st Period
(r) or (R)=Regulation
u=Units (NOT monetary)
I'll keep posting daily and cumulative results, probably the same way I have been:
2/14 (-.01u)
1-01-10-1YTD
153-106-12105-57-1114-111-5Sorry for no YTD u total; I didn't start keeping track until January. From Jan 1 I am +27.96u; from Jan 17 (changed my criteria a bit) I am +44.17u.
Speaking of changing criteria, that's something I do somewhat frequently. If things aren't going well and haven't been, why keep doing it? I'll always say when I'm trying something new, so anyone who tails (or fades
) will be "warned". I am currently in the process of tracking how each type of wager fares, unit-wise, broken down into the following categories: ML, PL, O/U, ML(R), PL(R), ML(1), PL(1), O/U(1), and betting Draws (which has been profitable for me so far).Well, I think that's enough info (or way too much
) for now. Busy the next few days so figured I'd get this in while I had the time. Good luck to all, and I hope everyone has a profitable rest-of-the season. See you in March!PS: "USA! USA! USA!"
.
Short and sweet version: my opinions lately have sucked, but it's the 4th straight day of +$ on * plays.