95% of the Public on OVER in Wash/Pitt Tonight

mikmik · 03-10-14, 06:24 PM

Looks like public on right side

remeedella · 03-10-14, 06:31 PM

im gonna start observing those statistics more often lolll

Bettahs · 03-10-14, 07:17 PM

I was feeling an under, still could happen. Pens missing some scoring power, plus Halak in net. Fluery isn't even there to collapse.

remeedella · 03-10-14, 08:31 PM

see ladies, that is why I decide on the over 4.5 on my main bet

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-11-14, 07:57 AM

5 goals after the 2nd and this one somehow loses!

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-11-14, 01:53 PM

aaaaaand it looks like the public is chasing after this total AGAIN as these teams for some weird reason are playing each other within 24 hours:
http://www.wunderdog.com/public-consensus/NHL.html

95% on the over 5.5

seeing it at -125 tonight, saw it at -115 last night

hockey216 · 03-11-14, 09:39 PM

shows what public knows

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-12-14, 08:30 AM

I'm going to keep this thread going to track 90%+ public hockey picks for the rest of the season.

vitruvian_nhlmlb · 03-12-14, 11:58 AM

crazy how it was 3-2 after second period and no goals in third. lot of money lost that day.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-12-14, 04:01 PM

tonight; on the Puckline, Anaheim is juuuust barely pulling 90% of the public's action

thus far Public is 0-2 on these

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-13-14, 08:04 AM

and Calgary puts up a touchdown on the Ducks, brining the public's record on 90%+ consensus plays this week to a book-lovin 0-3

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-13-14, 02:59 PM

both puckline plays for the public tonight over 90%:
Boston
&
St. Louis

King/Leafs over 5.5 is hovering at 87%, not quite there.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-14-14, 08:14 AM

Public goes 1-1 last night on these plays, 1-4 on the week

not counting the under in Kings/Leafs as a loss

mrginandtonic · 03-14-14, 10:52 AM

I have been noticing that out of all the sports, the public is most often on the wrong side. I wonder why that is??

Bettahs · 03-14-14, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

I have been noticing that out of all the sports, the public is most often on the wrong side. I wonder why that is??

Pens vs Caps for example:
Public 95% over 5.5 both games, myself under both games

Why? Public fails to take into consideration things such as recent history. Games had gone under in like 5 straight meetings between them before these two.

Public didn't most likely take into considerations of Halak was just traded to Washington, much much improvement in net, and that Penguins have tons of injuries to key guys who can score.

People still are thinking about the Crosby vs Ovechkin games where each would score a hat trick and it would end 7-6 or so, those days have been gone for a long time, as has the Crosby and Ovechkin rivalry that used to be.

People compare picks to their thoughts or blindly choose them because the publics swaying that way, thats why.

mrginandtonic · 03-14-14, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by Bettahs

Pens vs Caps for example:
Public 95% over 5.5 both games, myself under both games

Why? Public fails to take into consideration things such as recent history. Games had gone under in like 5 straight meetings between them before these two.

Public didn't most likely take into considerations of Halak was just traded to Washington, much much improvement in net, and that Penguins have tons of injuries to key guys who can score.

People still are thinking about the Crosby vs Ovechkin games where each would score a hat trick and it would end 7-6 or so, those days have been gone for a long time, as has the Crosby and Ovechkin rivalry that used to be.

People compare picks to their thoughts or blindly choose them because the publics swaying that way, thats why.

I understand that, but I am wonding why Hockey is the sport that the public fails the most. is it because most people don't really follow much??

Bettahs · 03-14-14, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

I understand that, but I am wonding why Hockey is the sport that the public fails the most. is it because most people don't really follow much??

I've said this a million times already, but it's so true. Hockeys the most unpredictable sport, all you need is a super hot goalie on one end, and a goalie on the other end to let one in.

Good teams can come out sluggish and slow some nights, and the bottom feeders come out and randomly play great hockey, block everything, and find a way to win.

Teams may score 1 goal one game and 7 the next, thats why I don't like point spread or over unders much, teams also change strategies when playing different teams, example more defensive, and hope for a chance to capitalize and score against a great team.

Backup goalies in some cases effect things as well, teams take others lightly and bam.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-14-14, 03:38 PM

ok, 2 public 90%+ plays tonight:
San Jose/NYI over 5.5
&
Caps puckline

above 80% but below 90% tonight is Chicago puckline & moneyline and also Rangers/'Peg under 5.5

good luck!

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-14-14, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

I understand that, but I am wonding why Hockey is the sport that the public fails the most.

I am not sure if that is the case. Perhaps that distinction falls to the NFL.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-15-14, 08:50 AM

1-1 last night, making the public 2-5 on the week.
Early public 90%+ play, over 5.5 pens/flyers

mikmik · 03-15-14, 10:02 AM

Thanks for posting. Been tailing and it's been profitable soon far.

Marquee · 03-15-14, 03:09 PM

Pounded under in the penguins game. Fleury performance had me worried tho lol.

Penguins were banged up

Bettahs · 03-15-14, 03:16 PM

Public sucks. Pens had half their scorers injured, game between these two teams hasn't gone over in a long long time, yet 90% picked over lol.

Another win for us who didn't follow the public.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-16-14, 09:09 AM

Public is now 2-6, today just one at 90%+, caps/leafs over 5.5

husky · 03-16-14, 09:19 AM

I like this idea. However, how do we know that these percentages are correct?

Marquee · 03-16-14, 10:14 AM

How has the public played the flyers game?

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-16-14, 02:02 PM

2 more today have creeped over 90%; san Jose and chicago puckline on both

mikmik · 03-16-14, 08:53 PM

Public right about both

husky · 03-17-14, 07:25 AM

I think the 80-90% fade rule is a good place to start, but then look for static or reverse movement. Are these percentages from a pick em site or where are the percentages coming from?

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-17-14, 08:16 AM

public went 2-1 yesterday on these, now at 4-7.
I take the numbers from wunderdog, see link in the first post.

husky · 03-17-14, 11:56 AM

Thanks Bruce. And you do 90% or higher only?

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-17-14, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by husky

Thanks Bruce. And you do 90% or higher only?

I like to look at what #s and %s the public is on every day just to get a feel for what's happening in the market(s).

I've never been swayed either way when I truly like a play.

I liked the under in both of the Pens/Caps games mentioned in the first few posts, and was wowed by the masses being on the over.

I've never tracked these, and there's only 20 games or so left in the season, but it appears as though fading the public when they are overwhelmingly on a game is profitable.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-17-14, 03:50 PM

tonight; Kings puckline is a 93% public play
St. Louis money line is just under, at 88%

bruceBRUCEbruce · 03-18-14, 08:11 AM

public 0-1 last night, overall record is now 4-8 on these plays