Detwiler was changed to the phillies/nationals game 2 starter earlier today and the nationals ML went from +242 to +218. The total was moved at the same time from over 7 -107 to over 7 -117. How is it possible that the pitching change results in a higher chance that the nationals win but also more runs? Shouldn't those be mutually exclusive?
Pitching change pricing
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God1Restricted User
- 07-18-11
- 848
#1Pitching change pricingTags: None -
tomcowleySBR MVP
- 10-01-07
- 1129
#2There could have been other lineup things going on.Comment -
God1Restricted User
- 07-18-11
- 848
#3Originally posted by tomcowleyThere could have been other lineup things going on.
Please give me a scenario where this makes sense, that would have to be quite the lineup change that was discovered in the few minutes the pitching change was off the board and repriced that could move the total UP 10 cents in addition to completely wiping out the less number of runs expected to be scored by the phillies as a result of the pitching changeComment -
tomcowleySBR MVP
- 10-01-07
- 1129
#4Originally posted by God1Can we try and be rational and logical here? The total and ML moves were both made in the same minute at 12:39pm today. Lineups had been out in the first game for hours and obviously not for the 2nd game.
Please give me a scenario where this makes sense, that would have to be quite the lineup change that was discovered in the few minutes the pitching change was off the board and repriced that could move the total UP 10 cents in addition to completely wiping out the less number of runs expected to be scored by the phillies as a result of the pitching changeComment -
God1Restricted User
- 07-18-11
- 848
#5Originally posted by tomcowleyYour line-reading skills are complete shit. Pinny blipped the ML from +218 and o-117 to +242 and o-107, then 2 minutes later back down to +217 and o-117. Given that the pitching change was announced like 6 hours before this, using that as an explanation is pretty damn stupid. It looks like they temporarily thought some good nats weren't going to be in the lineup, then decided that they were again.Comment
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