who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?
*sigh*
dcbt
SBR High Roller
04-04-08
185
#2
Originally posted by Justin7
who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?
*sigh*
you could just fade your model.
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gummo
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-06
6297
#3
it all comes back to even.
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dwaechte
SBR Hall of Famer
08-27-07
5481
#4
No, mine was 82%.
JK. Tough break Justin.
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Data
SBR MVP
11-27-07
2236
#5
Originally posted by Justin7
who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?
*sigh*
Once, I ran MOV regression in Excel and got R Square 0.99. That was VERY unexpected. I quickly realized I accidently set "Constant is Zero".
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MrX
SBR MVP
01-10-06
1540
#6
My MLB model was showing extremely exciting results for totals. It turned out a programming error was dropping the 1/2 runs from the past totals (9.5 turning into 9).
It was interesting how shockingly easy totals that were off by 1/2 run were to beat.
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Dark Horse
SBR Posting Legend
12-14-05
13764
#7
I spent hours, not very long ago, setting up a motivational grid, congratulating myself in the process, only to realize I had been using the SU settings, instead of the ATS ones.
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Peep
SBR MVP
06-23-08
2295
#8
Yeah, on access when I played horses I used to always get the reverse of what I wanted in first, just to excite myself and create hope in the great wilderness.
On a sadder note, one year I lost 12K on RHE's because I added a year wrong in my model (which covers five years). This put my numbers off the books with certain totals. I was losing, over 300 bets, KNEW something was wrong, but the problem was well hidden in early computations of the data.......
That one still pisses me off four years later.
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Art Vandeleigh
SBR MVP
12-31-06
1494
#9
In the real world, they hold design reviews (such as PDR, CDR) before going to prototype and then production. No man is an island?