Value of half runs in baseball team totals

[crysbreeze]

Hi,

I was wondering about the values of a half run in baseball team totals, and if there is a way they can be calculated taking the full game total and moneyline into effect. For example, on Pinnacle the Dodgers team total is 4.5 (o)+102 / -118 with the full game total at 8.5 (o)-112 / +102 and a ml fave of -121 / +113. The D'Backs team total is 4.5 (o) +105 / -121 with the full game total at 8 (o) -112 / +102 and a ml fave of -157 / +149. Would the fair line for under 5 runs for both teams just be adding ~30-40 cents, or would one become significantly more valuable taking the ml and game total into consideration? If the former, what would be the approximate value in cents going from 3 runs to 3.5 to 4 etc.

Thank you for any help.

[Ganchrow]

I was wondering about the values of a half run in baseball team totals, and if there is a way they can be calculated taking the full game total and moneyline into effect. For example, on Pinnacle the Dodgers team total is 4.5 (o)+102 / -118 with the full game total at 8.5 (o)-112 / +102 and a ml fave of -121 / +113. The D'Backs team total is 4.5 (o) +105 / -121 with the full game total at 8 (o) -112 / +102 and a ml fave of -157 / +149. Would the fair line for under 5 runs for both teams just be adding ~30-40 cents, or would one become significantly more valuable taking the ml and game total into consideration? If the former, what would be the approximate value in cents going from 3 runs to 3.5 to 4 etc.

Well, do you have a theory on this?

How have you gone about testing it?

If you haven't tested it yet, have you given any thought to how you might do so?