How would one fair blindly betting MLB dogs of +200..

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    How would one fair blindly betting MLB dogs of +200..
    throughout a season?
  • RickySteve
    Restricted User
    • 01-31-06
    • 3415

    #2
    This question never gets old.
    Comment
    • Wheell
      SBR MVP
      • 01-11-07
      • 1380

      #3
      If you were to line shop and have some basic market timing skills (ie, wait a bit), you would historically make a tiny profit.
      Comment
      • SBR Lou
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-02-07
        • 37863

        #4
        Originally posted by RickySteve
        This question never gets old.
        Just interested to hear what others think, I really am disgusted most of the time at the thought of laying -220 or so in an MLB game.

        Now I don't personally blindly bet dogs in this situation, but I'm curious to hear if others might.
        Comment
        • Wheell
          SBR MVP
          • 01-11-07
          • 1380

          #5
          I one saw a -400 in baseball. I would say that general handicapping matters more than market bias.
          Comment
          • sickler
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-05-08
            • 15006

            #6
            Baseball is way too unpredictable to be laying that much chalk.

            People who are consistently successful with sides in bases rarely lay more than -130
            Comment
            • Wheell
              SBR MVP
              • 01-11-07
              • 1380

              #7
              Sickler: That doesn't happen to be true, but I understand the sentiment. EV is EV though and sometimes a team that should be -180 is only -155.
              Comment
              • sickler
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-05-08
                • 15006

                #8
                Wheell, that might be one of the rare instances of laying more than -130, but playing big faves in bases on a regular basis is a good way to end up in the poorhouse.
                Comment
                • SlickFazzer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-22-08
                  • 20209

                  #9
                  -130 to +150 is where its at. Betting heavy chalk will get you no where, high priced dogs, while often appealing, are often priced at that number for a reason.

                  Baseball is a grind, grind out the small dogs and favorites for a full season, and then collect your $$...
                  Comment
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