line movement

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  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #1
    line movement
    a lot of sharps like to jump on the overnight lines when the book first post them up. that makes me thinking. when you study line movement, do you put more weight on movement aroudn the opening lines or the closing lines? closiing line movement usually indicates new information released before the start of the game.

    how would you feel if the line movement is one directional? for example, lions +5...moved to lions +5.5 to lions +6.5 at the close.

    how would you feel if there is a reversal? for example, lions opened at +5.5...moved down to +3.5 then came back to +4.5 right before the start of the game.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Opinions vary, but personally I think early movement is more important. I think that a lot more sharps bet early than late.
    Comment
    • SexyMit
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-12-06
      • 6139

      #3
      So for instance on tonights game. I see that clevland opened at -7 and quickly jumped to -2. I take it that SHARPS ate up that +7 in a heartbeat.
      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        This game never under any legitimate circumstance opened at Cleveland -7.

        That's clearly bad data from pinnacle. It opened at cris at -2
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #5
          I thought it was kinda weird also... but I thinks sportsbook and pinnacle is where the lines are showing opening up that high.
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • pokernut9999
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-25-07
            • 12757

            #6
            scoresandodds.com always has some opening lines that I never see anywhere else.
            Comment
            • The HG
              SBR MVP
              • 11-01-06
              • 3566

              #7
              pico, what do you mean by "putting weight on" line movement? There is certain movement that is clearly a reaction to an injury. And when I see strong movement that isn't a reaction to an injury that surprises me, I do look into what might have caused that movement.

              If I don't understand strong movement at any time, I want to know why. But I would say that in general, strong early movement is sharper than strong late movement.
              Last edited by The HG; 05-12-08, 04:54 PM.
              Comment
              • SexyMit
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-06
                • 6139

                #8
                Originally posted by pokernut9999
                scoresandodds.com always has some opening lines that I never see anywhere else.
                Thanks Pokernutt
                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                Comment
                • flyingillini
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 41219

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  Opinions vary, but personally I think early movement is more important. I think that a lot more sharps bet early than late.
                  Couldn't of said it better.
                  המוסד‎
                  המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                  Comment
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