Originally Posted by
d2bets
You should make any and every wager in which you have an edge greater the juice. That's it. Whether that's 0, 5, or 100. And of course, the more different things you wager on, the less variance and the faster you will get to your true result.
Yesterday? Basically broke eve, slightly up. But the last few weeks have been very good, even though I had 2 very bad days mixed in. It happens. Unavoidable. You cannot win every day. That's what variance is all about. But you just chart your results over time and you'll see where you are headed.
And be realistic. You are not going to hit on 65% of your -110 bets. You simply won't. Period and end of story. Pretty safe to say that you won't hit 60% if you are betting market plays either. Shoot for 55-56%, multiply your volume and then you'll know what you expect to win.
If you wager $110/100 and you make 10 bets per day, be realistic. That's $55/day profit. If you do that every single day for the year you'll make about 20k.
But now let's make that 20 bets of $550/500 each every day. Now you're making $200k.
Better yet, try to get down 10x that and make 20x as much.
Of course it's not entirely scalable because of limits.
If you're not betting limits, then you either don't have the edge you think or you're leaving a lot of money on the table.