It is a simple equation.
I took a randomized number of 100 bets with odds at 1.95 and a WP of 54%.
Then i bet each time the percentage of the bank on independent bets.
odds |
1.95 |
1.93 |
1.91 |
pct |
profit |
profit |
profit |
0,01 |
4.94 |
3.83 |
2.72 |
0,02 |
9.1 |
6,81 |
4,57 |
0,03 |
12,34 |
8,85 |
5,48 |
0,04 |
14,59 |
9,91 |
5,43 |
0,05 |
15,77 |
9,95 |
4,42 |
0,06 |
15,86 |
8,97 |
2,48 |
0,07 |
14,84 |
6,98 |
-0,36 |
0,08 |
12,75 |
4,04 |
-4 |
0,09 |
9,63 |
0,23 |
-8,38 |
0,1 |
5,56 |
-4,36 |
-13,37 |
the optimized bet size would be 6% with odds of 1.95
5% with 1.93
2% with 1.91
if you vary the bet size you leave a lot of profit on the table.
so the margin of profit depends on your success rate, the odds AND the unit size.
this seems obvious, but most of the people only think about their success rate and bets and not so much about the amount they are betting.