betting any dog/any under

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  • phans3
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-15-10
    • 34

    #1
    betting any dog/any under
    Let's say you now somebody who would offer you vigfree spreads and totals...
    wouldn't it be the simpelst and easiest way to take advantage of this by betting dogs and unders only? sure this would be far from optimal but fading the puplic while you don't have to pay any vig can't be to bad huh?
    you would have to win 50% of the time which would happen if you just bet random... through i have no longterm statistics i would guess we could expeect to win about ~51% of the time?

    do you agree or disagree with me?
  • sharpcat
    Restricted User
    • 12-19-09
    • 4516

    #2
    I disagree taking dogs and unders is not exactly fading the public! and no matter what your fading you will likely hit 50% the idea of handicapping is to increase your odds of a coin landing on heads and the best way to do this is to put in work.

    more importantly nobody in their right mind is offering juice free bets, this is like saying if the pick 3 lotto paid a million dollars would it be smart to play it?

    So is there any point to this thread other than asking if a pig could fly if it had wings?
    Comment
    • Justin7
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-31-06
      • 8577

      #3
      Originally posted by phans3
      Let's say you now somebody who would offer you vigfree spreads and totals...
      wouldn't it be the simpelst and easiest way to take advantage of this by betting dogs and unders only? sure this would be far from optimal but fading the puplic while you don't have to pay any vig can't be to bad huh?
      you would have to win 50% of the time which would happen if you just bet random... through i have no longterm statistics i would guess we could expeect to win about ~51% of the time?

      do you agree or disagree with me?
      What does your database say for 2008-2009?
      Comment
      • Desert Tortoise
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-15-09
        • 14

        #4
        Blindly betting home underdogs in mlb would have made money 2003-2008.

        Betting MLB guide for recreational baseball bettor based on games played over 2016 and 2017 season including runs, hits and errors stats. Make your bet a home run!
        Comment
        • Jaug
          SBR MVP
          • 01-11-09
          • 3087

          #5
          I think it works well in NFL, worst sport to fade public is NBA.
          Comment
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