are sweatheart teasers profitable?

[spongerat]

It would seem so, getting 10 or 13 points in NFL is huge, especially when you can put it on totals. at -120 or -130 you need to hit around 56% to break even, I don't have a large sample size but this doesn't seem all that difficult to achieve. Just casually betting these for fun over the years I have hit the large majority of them, so is there something i'm missing

[RickySteve]

They're just like any other teaser in that they can be profitable in certain spots but it's difficult to find enough good lines at the same book in the same week to make them playable. This is even more of a problem with monster teasers because no place that I'm aware of allows open spots in them.

[spongerat]

i don't have too hard a time finding plays for them as nfl lines seem to be pretty sharp so 13 points is huge. I usually bet a couple a week

[RickySteve]

Post an example.

[The Bishop]

If it is profitable I would have to think that it is going from +1.5 to +11.5 and +2.5 to +12.5 and vice versa on 3 team/10 pointers and from +1.5 to +14.5 and +2.5 to +15.5 and vice versa on 4 team/13 pointers.

Gotta cross the key numbers of 3, 7, 10 on 10 pointers and 3, 7, 10, and 14 on 13 pointers.

Only way to know for sure is to find out how often a +1.5 dog covers +11.5, etc.

If a +1.5 dog covers +10.5 80% of the time, the chances of 3 +1.5 dogs all covering +10.5 is 0.8^3 = 51.2% for a true line of -105.

I wouldn't think this would work for totals, but maybe.

[Ace_of_Spades]

13 point teasers are awsome.

[The Bishop]

3 team/10 pointers
at -110 each leg must cover 80.61% of the time
at -120 each leg must cover 81.71% of the time

4 team/13 pointers
at -120 each leg must cover 85.94% of the time
at -130 each leg must cover 86.71% of the time

[hillardoh]

3 team/10 pointers at -110 each leg must cover 80.61% of the time at -120 each leg must cover 81.71% of the time 4 team/13 pointers at -120 each leg must cover 85.94% of the time at -130 each leg must cover 86.71% of the time

This good info I dont like blindley chossing teasers

[OSUCOWBOYS]

If it is profitable I would have to think that it is going from +1.5 to +11.5 and +2.5 to +12.5 and vice versa on 3 team/10 pointers and from +1.5 to +14.5 and +2.5 to +15.5 and vice versa on 4 team/13 pointers.

Gotta cross the key numbers of 3, 7, 10 on 10 pointers and 3, 7, 10, and 14 on 13 pointers.

Only way to know for sure is to find out how often a +1.5 dog covers +11.5, etc.

If a +1.5 dog covers +10.5 80% of the time, the chances of 3 +1.5 dogs all covering +10.5 is 0.8^3 = 51.2% for a true line of -105.

I wouldn't think this would work for totals, but maybe.

Including any total would make the teaser garbage.

[acarmelo1]

I like to include totals when the total is 36 for example you put a that over 26 that just 4 TD

[RickySteve]

I've never seen a total worth teasing but I admit I haven't researched it exhaustively.

[The Bishop]

Including any total would make the teaser garbage.

Yeah that's what I figured.

[durito]

There is one time where teasing totals has been profitable historically.

[OSUCOWBOYS]

There is one time where teasing totals has been profitable historically.

Would love to hear more about this.

[The Bishop]

There is one time where teasing totals has been profitable historically.

What about pleasing totals?

[kevol80]

Teasing totals is more shaky, but I've found some success teasing the outliers (unusually low or high) up or down 10 or 13 points.

[shantystar]

If it is profitable I would have to think that it is going from +1.5 to +11.5 and +2.5 to +12.5 and vice versa on 3 team/10 pointers and from +1.5 to +14.5 and +2.5 to +15.5 and vice versa on 4 team/13 pointers.

Gotta cross the key numbers of 3, 7, 10 on 10 pointers and 3, 7, 10, and 14 on 13 pointers.

Only way to know for sure is to find out how often a +1.5 dog covers +11.5, etc.

If a +1.5 dog covers +10.5 80% of the time, the chances of 3 +1.5 dogs all covering +10.5 is 0.8^3 = 51.2% for a true line of -105.

I wouldn't think this would work for totals, but maybe.

you are very right !

[Blargh]

I try to play a 13pt teaser every week.
So far Favs are ripping it up this year. 5 of the 7 weeks the favs combined for over 87.5% win pct on the 13pt treaser. 87.4% is what each leg needs to be to cover at -140 odds. The worst they did was 4 losses in 14 games in Week 6 so far this season. I think they have potential.

[TheLock]

There is one time where teasing totals has been profitable historically.

A teasing post for a teasing thread!


Weeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!

[rkelly110]

I used a 2 team 6 pt teaser last night in the NBA and won. Utah +5 (+11) and Houston
+5.5 (+11.5) Utah 105 +11 won by 2, Houston won outright by 1. The odds were 1.67.

[investor]

I used to do them a lot, but i find that making single bets are the most profitable. However i think using a 13pt teaser in the NFL can be very handy. Sometimes there are 33 point over and unders.... tease that down to go over 20 points... it'll pretty much hit. But the bad part is you have to win all 4 parts of your teaser, which is why i like making single bets more.

[OSUCOWBOYS]

I used a 2 team 6 pt teaser last night in the NBA and won. Utah +5 (+11) and Houston
+5.5 (+11.5) Utah 105 +11 won by 2, Houston won outright by 1. The odds were 1.67.

Please stop while you are ahead. Please.

[aggieshawn]

i like them for fun bets when just watching a game. usually lots of room to cheer around