Trying to estimate value of half points on team totals. Can full game prices be used as a reasonable estimate? Are half points on team totals more valuable, like half versus full game prices?
Half point price on team totals
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turbobetsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-13-06
- 999
#1Half point price on team totalsTags: None -
Waterstpub87SBR MVP
- 09-09-09
- 4102
#2Unfortunately, this would be pretty tough to solve out.
The correct way to do it would be to get tons of historical data on team totals, and figure out how much a half point would be based on how often they flipped a losing bet to a push or win. The challenge is getting this data.
Half points are certainly worth more on a team total, likely very significantly. On a team total half, absolutely even more. Hard to say exactly how much though.
KVB will eventually chime in, and give you a shortcut. See how much heritage or another book will charge you to purchase one. You can get a rough estimate from there.Comment -
Waterstpub87SBR MVP
- 09-09-09
- 4102
#4Not something I intuitively thought of at first. My first step would have been the get all the data step. Because of this, I tend to avoid things like team totals or more exotic stuff. Probably costs me money in the long term, but helps me keep accounts at books.Comment -
TommieGunshotSBR MVP
- 03-27-12
- 1601
#5
Another way that is a little less good is to just look at first half totals. For basketball the value of a half-point on a team total is very close to the value of a half-point on a first half line. Same is true for football through the same numbers, ie moving on or off 24 is about the same on a first half line as it is a team total. Baseball is a little different because it's five innings to eight or nine. Hockey is a little different because of how common overtime is.Comment -
golgolgolSBR Sharp
- 05-05-20
- 416
#6There is this tool. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...nt-calculator/ not sure if it helps your particular requirement though.Comment
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