Spread/Moneyline Converter for NFL?

**SteveRyan** · 10-04-13, 12:49 AM

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**LT Profits** · 10-04-13, 07:37 AM

Originally posted by SteveRyan

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tool...-ml-converter/

That is what TPowell is looking at. And I agree that -700 seems awfully high.

**Cookie Monster** · 10-04-13, 09:01 AM

It is not broken. Just has the setting of keeping the same EV on moneyline and spread (-4.55% at -110). Sportsbooks have smaller hold on MLs, so you will not find -700/+480 lines, more like -620/+490. So, just input reduced juice on the spread (like -106 or less, depending on the spread).

**SteveRyan** · 10-04-13, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

That is what TPowell is looking at. And I agree that -700 seems awfully high.

Ahhh, I see. He's making a good point then because Atlanta is -550 this week.

**TPowell** · 10-04-13, 02:49 PM

anybody have an explanation?

**bubblebuttluv** · 10-04-13, 03:50 PM

Here's a good one:

http://www.sportility.net/nfl/moneyline_points.html

And no, I don't have an explanation for SBR's converter.

**LT Profits** · 10-04-13, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

anybody have an explanation?

Originally posted by bubblebuttluv

Here's a good one:

http://www.sportility.net/nfl/moneyline_points.html

And no, I don't have an explanation for SBR's converter.

Cookie Monster explained it perfectly, the SBR converter is computing straight 4.55% hold across the board, while in the real world the hold percentage gets lower as the odds go up.

**TPowell** · 10-04-13, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Cookie Monster explained it perfectly, the SBR converter is computing straight 4.55% hold across the board, while in the real world the hold percentage gets lower as the odds go up.

ahhh, doesn't make much sense to me but alright

**Zombie Woof** · 10-05-13, 11:11 PM

That's what they want you to think.

**TPowell** · 10-09-13, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Cookie Monster

It is not broken. Just has the setting of keeping the same EV on moneyline and spread (-4.55% at -110). Sportsbooks have smaller hold on MLs, so you will not find -700/+480 lines, more like -620/+490. So, just input reduced juice on the spread (like -106 or less, depending on the spread).

somebody explain this better?