Ganch,
I use the log5 formula to calculate win probability for NCAAB. This formula is very accurate at predicting straight up winner/loser.
I want to convert the probability to a moneyline and spread.
I'm not sure how to do that. Any suggestions?
Here is a game to use as an example.
For today, Tuesday, Dec 9 I for the San Fransisco / Pacific game I have a win probability for San Fransicso of 68.35%
and for Pacific the win probability is 31.65%.
How would I convert these into moneyline and spread?