2018 baseball rotisserie

[darrell74]

^
Thanks(Ian Kinsler rec.)

OVi gets one, finally, against Marc Andre-Fleury of all people. Good for them and ALLCAPS
OF course, as a Vegas fan, wish I could cry it out, but my ballsack is too big. IDK, maybe I'll cry later. I just got done throwing away my Vegas Golden Knights wagers.
Sad night for me.

[darrell74]

Cole Hamels was worthless, save 5 strikeouts

Anyways, pickup Marco Gonzalez for Seattle, immediately Seattle Mariners.
20% owned last night, now 46% owned, hurry the hell up and pick him up, he's going against the Rays.

[darrell74]

I would bet on Zack Greinke of the Diamondbacks against the Colorado Rockies and German Marquez
Marquez should get hit very often.
However, Outfielder Carlos Gonzalez has 5 home runs lifetime against Grienkie, and is only 20% owned

[hotcross]

pretty much your player analysis held true once again Friday night

[darrell74]

^
Thanks, Hotcross.

Joc Pederson hitting is hot lately. Dodgers outfielder
7% owned. Five home runs in the last week alone.
Course this guy has a reputation of catching lightning in a bottle. Very hard to catch him when he's good.
Maybe he's worth a stream while he's hot.

[darrell74]

Live dog Matt Koch Arizona Diamondbacks
Decent numbers lately, however not overly impressive.
But Chad Bettis of the Colorado Rockies sucks when it comes to the Arizona Diamondbacks
This is the only Underdog I saw value in

Favorites don't have really good value. You might have to Parlay 2 teamers, but do it only on the moneyline.
Nationals Indians Red Sox Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays Houston, some favorites that should definitely win but I wouldn't parlay more than two. Nothing invincible

[darrell74]

Shortstop outfielder Charlie Culberson for the Atlanta Braves S7 RBIs and nearly 400 batting average in the last 7 days

Randal grichuk for the Toronto Blue Jays normally sucks but not this week he's batting 389 with seven RBIs in the past week
Both 1% owned

Max Muncy( Los Angeles Dodgers) is 18% owned. He had another home run last night and they walked him in his other three at-bats that he had. They can't figure him out, yet.

[darrell74]

Wei YenChen has awful road numbers. But hes at home where he hasnt given up more than a run.
Has good numbers against the Giants
Madison Bumgarner has bad lifetime numbers against the Marlins. Even though it's only his second start
Marlins +1 1/2 doesn't seem crazy to me

[darrell74]

^
Good on me
Anyways
We might still be waiting for Clay Buchholz's arm to fall off but it's still there. he`s 38% owned and it is Rising rapidly and I trust him to take out the Pittsburgh Pirates tomorrow

[hotcross]

I hear you about Buchholz, but it just feels too gross trying to back him, feeling like any game could be the blowup. The total 8.5 o/u offered on this game feels a little strange to me, because Trevor Williams for Pittsburgh has been really bad in recent starts....plus Arizona won 9-5 yesterday after the Pirates had a 5-0 early lead, but then Arizona came roaring back with 9 unanswered runs. So I'd expect to see the 9 o/u line tonight in Arizona. Perhaps books feel Buchholz will shut 'em down as you mentioned. I'm gonna pass on this game.

My play tonight will be on Oakland as a +133 dog. Daniel Mengden at home against the Astros. He has been more than decent on the year, but did get hammered in his June 6 start on the road at Texas, but has good BvP numbers against most of the Astros batters, with the exceptions being Altuve and Correa on decent sample size, along with Bregman on less of a prior history. Meantime Lance McCullers has also had a good year, but Righties are batting .273 against him on the year.....and Oakland has a predominantly right-handed lineup. Oakland is 6-4 W/L in their past 10-games, after recent success in Kansas City. Somewhat of a hunch that I'm going with them to continue the momentum at least for one game with one of their better starters going tonight.

[hotcross]

dammit, shoulda played the Over in Arizona, knew that line was BS.

10-6 in the top of 5th so far

[darrell74]

^
Seems like they're going over in Arizona, a lot more, lately.

Minnesota shortstop Ehire Adrianza less than 1% owned as a 500 batting average in the last week with a couple of home runs
Worth a look

[darrell74]

Mid reliever Justin Miller for the Washington Nationals has been lights out
He's 4-0 and piles up strikeouts, since his call up on May 26th
He's off Thursday but I recommend finding room for him for Friday he will be used at least twice this weekend
Possible cheap win

[hotcross]

Carlos Rodon LHP starting today for the White Sox is an interesting dude. This is the 4th year in the Bigs for the 25-year-old. His issue has been control and 'learning to pitch' but has a high strikeout potential, had 7 in his last start in 5 innings at Boston, along with 2 walks and 2 homeruns.

[darrell74]

Carlos Rodon LHP starting today for the White Sox is an interesting dude. This is the 4th year in the Bigs for the 25-year-old. His issue has been control and 'learning to pitch' but has a high strikeout potential, had 7 in his last start in 5 innings at Boston, along with 2 walks and 2 homeruns.

Well, if some knucklehead in Monmouth New Jersey didn't jinx them(tout 5k wager), maybe a better outcome.

[darrell74]

Utility man for the San Diego Padres Cory Spangenberg, he's hot he's cold he's hot he's cold. Well right now, he's only 2% owned and he's on a hitting streak so I guess right now he's hot
Today, he's going against a right-handed pitcher, a useful stream when he swings from the left side

[darrell74]

^
worthless, not even starting

Picked up Jason Kipnis, 15% owned, good batting numbers versus Kyle Gibson

[hotcross]

I'm loading up on the game in Cincinnati. I'm seeing the public consensus leaning more on Detroit as the visitors in this game, and I disagree with that assessment. It appears to be a game where a lot of runs should be scored, weather permitting as it's hot and humid with a light breeze blowing out for tonight's game. There is also a chance of a rain delay. Matt Boyd the lefty starting ofr Detroit has not been as effective in his road starts. Couple that with it being an interleague game in the Reds home park, and I think it gives distinct advantages to the Reds.

Detroit has won an impressive 5 games in a row, coming off a road sweep of the hapless White Sox. Tigers have not played an interleague series since early in the season - 2 series in fact against the Pirates, but they did not fare well in those games, losing 5 out of 6, and the total went Over in 4 out of 6 of those games.

Cincinnati meantime has won 4 out of 5 interleague games on this season, although only 2 of the 5 went Over.

[darrell74]

Good call on the Reds with a blowout

[hotcross]

Texas Rangers starting pitcher Mike Minor.... Rangers come in to Minnesota after winning 5 in a row. But the reason I really like the Rangers to win the first five innings pick is because the Twins lineup looks extremely weak with a bunch of left-handed batters going against the lefty starter Mike Minor. What causes me to lack extreme confidence with the play is because it IS the Rangers after all, who are not world beaters themselves.

[darrell74]

Texas Rangers starting pitcher Mike Minor.... Rangers come in to Minnesota after winning 5 in a row. But the reason I really like the Rangers to win the first five innings pick is because the Twins lineup looks extremely weak with a bunch of left-handed batters going against the lefty starter Mike Minor. What causes me to lack extreme confidence with the play is because it IS the Rangers after all, who are not world beaters themselves.

Good call^

Been working too much.
Can't remember the last day I had off. Haven't paid a lot of attention to baseball rotisserie lately.
Keep up the great work , Hotcross .

[hotcross]

yes Darrell, I was getting the impression your life been busy recently.

I don't play baseball rotisserie league nor fantasy, but I do pick games, as you know.

The trouble in posting info here is that often my decisions come after lineups been released, get a late check of the weather, and anything else about the players I can pick up, so it's all too close to gametime to make it very useful for anybody reading.

My picks thread is more for me to stay disciplined and have a public record to stand on. I believe some people either follow or fade my picks also, so it has that use.

[hotcross]

Chad Bettis starting tonight for the Rockies in San Francisco.

2-0 W/L in his last 9 starts, but ERA has climbed from 2.05 up to 5.23 during that time

However a lot of that has come on his home starts. He's been much better on the road, except a game at Texas where it was hot and humid, so was similar poor pitching conditions to what he sees at home. I wonder if he'll be good tonight in SF.

[darrell74]

Mark Trumbo's is on a 10 game hitting streak with five home runs and the Baltimore Orioles are playing a little bit better

[hotcross]

Camden Yards the home ballpark for Baltimore Orioles is a great place to hit during the hot summer months, the ball really carries out

[darrell74]

Camden Yards the home ballpark for Baltimore Orioles is a great place to hit during the hot summer months, the ball really carries out

True. Same with Washington.
I just dropped Gio Gonzalez last week. Some knucklehead claims him off waivers and Gio gets pounded for six runs in the second inning and his last start.
Unless if you got Max Scherzer, you don't need any pitcher from Washington or Baltimore unless if they are an established closer, this time of year.

[darrell74]

Trevor Richards would be my spot start Play for tomorrow if I had to pick one
Miami Marlins
His last two home starts have been very good and his very last start on the road against the Rockies went very well
Justin Bour and Starling Castro has very good hitting numbers against Zack Greinke for the Arizona Diamondbacks

If you got time check out the shortstop for the Los Angeles Dodgers named Enrique Hernandez I think they nickname Kiki
He's a right-handed batter going against the cold left-handed Jose Quintana. You could also use him as a second baseman or an outfielder


... unrelated. I worked 13 days straight, I finally had a day off so now I've had some time to actually analyze some statistics. I feel like I haven't really been doing a good job. A little burned out.
Today I told myself that I need to force myself to stay home and just relax.
Funny thing is I'm still broke. After I paid my bills and all the sports were done after I would get off work and Rush down to the sports book I would blow it all on video poker and craps.
It feels kind of good just to sit around. My legs were tired.

[hotcross]

man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.

[darrell74]

man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.

Went to the casino and put 20 bucks on Houston and the under in a 2 teamer. Won 40 bucks
Bet 50 bucks on 3 different horse bets, lost all 3.
lost 20 bucks on video poker
Did all of that while waiting on a movie with a buddy from work.
Down 30 bucks for the day, not as bad as some others.
I still love this town.

[darrell74]

Relief pitcher Lou Trevino (Oakland Athletics)has a couple of wins and a couple of saves in the last couple of weeks with a decent era and whip to boot
4%owned, might be worth inserting while you got starters on the bench.

[ApricotSinner32]

man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.

[darrell74]

Relief pitcher Lou Trevino (Oakland Athletics)has a couple of wins and a couple of saves in the last couple of weeks with a decent era and whip to boot
4%owned, might be worth inserting while you got starters on the bench.

Got a two out save with a 5 run lead

[darrell74]

Jesse Winkler of the Cincinnati Reds Reds outfielder has had pretty good numbers, today he has a good lefties vs righties matchup

[darrell74]

Assail Garcia came off the dl on June 22nd, and he has a hitting streak since his return. 4 home runs in the last week

[hotcross]

yeah but the White Sox just cannot compete. Even when they play a good game, the bullpen blows the game. Now Jose Abreu got hurt last night and went on the DL