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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Newsflash to the forum
    I have a 62% hit rate in football right now through 44 plays. That means that for anyone who decides to blindly tail me, you have a 38% chance of losing. If you can do better -- and many can -- then go do better and leave me the hell alone. I was 4-0 on lock plays until tonight. If you tailed and lost, I'm sorry to hear it. But I will post other locks in the future if I see one. So if you decide to blindly tail it, then you have at least a 20% chance of losing and likely more.

    In other words, don't be going all-in and then cursing me if it loses. You know the risks.

    I have said repeatedly that blindly tailing me is not effective unless you do it every day. I tend to get hot then average, but rarely ice cold. I have an aggressive yet smart money management system that has me up $1,400 so far in football. I won 10 in a row three weeks ago but those are quickly forgotten. That's okay, I accept that.

    Just don't blame me if you tail and lose. Hey, I lost $244 tonight. But because of Heavn's Gate, there's always the chance of a new streak.

    Good night
  • jspectyper
    SBR MVP
    • 02-25-09
    • 1842

    #2
    Don't let the losers get to you machine, its not like you force them to tail you. If they had started from the beginning then there would be no reason to b*tch.
    Comment
    • BobbyD914
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-11-11
      • 484

      #3
      You're still the man machine...you've won me lots of cash...no worries we'll get em tomorrow...keep them coming
      Comment
      • riffraff24
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-20-11
        • 7234

        #4
        I didnt go all in...so ill be here with you tomorrow budddddddy
        Comment
        • beg154860
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-26-11
          • 964

          #5
          Machine thanks to you I'll be eating hot pockets and jose ole frozen taquitos for 5 years. If I develop diabetes you will be paying for my insulin
          Comment
          • Machine Choice
            SBR MVP
            • 12-12-08
            • 3997

            #6
            Originally posted by beg154860
            Machine thanks to you I'll be eating hot pockets and jose ole frozen taquitos for 5 years. If I develop diabetes you will be paying for my insulin
            Go take out a loan for $4K and get serious and quit screwing around. Make an investment in this. Use money management and you won't be eating hot pockets.
            Comment
            • salvador_7764
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-17-10
              • 743

              #7
              Sir I ask you earlier if my bankroll was $200 and you told me to divided by 11 I didn't do what you told me what I did was to put all the $200 on the canes stupid me.but why is everyone blaming you.I'm not because I know in my heart that your a good person and just trying to help everyone else.but sir just forget everyone and just do your thing will you help me with my bankroll sir I promise to just tail you.please need your help.
              Comment
              • beg154860
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-26-11
                • 964

                #8
                But what if I like them
                Comment
                • Maddhatter
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-12-09
                  • 4350

                  #9
                  I've been on tilt before myself and I had nobody to blame but myself. A large portion of someone's bankroll shouldn't ever be played on one game anyway, especially a game on Thurs night with a weekend full of other opportunities. Of coursse, I've done it before and so have many others. Own up to your own mistakes or quit gambling. I haven't tailed you but I have a lot of respect for what you do for this forum. Keep it up bro.
                  Comment
                  • thfootball
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-16-11
                    • 1771

                    #10
                    i read your posting on miami, but then did my own research. I didn't bet on this game, but would've chosen viriginia to cover. I had money on houston to cover, even then i had doubts with the way things were going on in the 1st quarter in houston. scary shit gambling, knowing we all want big paydays.
                    Comment
                    • salvador_7764
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-17-10
                      • 743

                      #11
                      I think that machinechoice is one of the best crapper in this site.
                      Comment
                      • jonathon1995
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 245

                        #12
                        Is it just me but if you hit 62% then you lose 38%.....not 48..........
                        Comment
                        • ManBearPig
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-04-08
                          • 2473

                          #13
                          M...C... you should go back to the days when you posted pics and when you won it was ...Game Over. I don't remember too much drama back then when you were playing the part. I'm not going to try and understand the psychology of gambles when they lose...instead of blaming others except it and move on...jesus fukc!!
                          Comment
                          • paranoyd androyd
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-01-11
                            • 6459

                            #14
                            nothing against the OP but 100 - 62 = 38
                            Comment
                            • jaeguyoon
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-27-11
                              • 992

                              #15
                              I can't believe someone tailed u and lost....then went to make a thread calling u out. what an idiot.
                              Comment
                              • jonathon1995
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 245

                                #16
                                Im sure the other 10% is the juice.
                                Comment
                                • lesterdymond
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-25-11
                                  • 2360

                                  #17
                                  Machine don't sweat it.. Your arguing with guys who are asking for advice on this forum on how to get a BJ

                                  Its obvious they have no confidence in themselves let alone choose their own wager.

                                  I will see you at Heaven's Gate
                                  Comment
                                  • MendozaLine
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-11-10
                                    • 4088

                                    #18
                                    do you really think you're gonna get people to eventually start paying for your picks?
                                    Comment
                                    • Sunde91
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 8325

                                      #19
                                      44 plays and you're going to tout a % Howtobeatout101

                                      So I went 9-1 this means I'm a 90% capper?

                                      Optimus Prime what is 100 - 62? Is it 48?
                                      Comment
                                      • Balco10
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-11-10
                                        • 5478

                                        #20
                                        You were way off on tonight game! Why did you think the Hurricanes would cover on a week day???
                                        Comment
                                        • DanzeM
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 09-30-11
                                          • 32

                                          #21
                                          Machine, dont dignify those idiots with a reply, keep up the good work
                                          Comment
                                          • NoHero
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-23-11
                                            • 232

                                            #22
                                            Haters gon' hate.
                                            Comment
                                            • hydrosmak
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-13-11
                                              • 1908

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DanzeM
                                              Machine, dont dignify those idiots with a reply, keep up the good work

                                              This!
                                              Comment
                                              • spladle08
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 1488

                                                #24
                                                Keep it up machine!
                                                Comment
                                                • Polly Juice
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 7

                                                  #25
                                                  Machine, this is my first year to bet college football. I'm very careful with my picks and don't bet often. This year, I am 8-2 and have more than doubled my initial bankroll. I only bet teams I feel I know, and whenever you and a few others make this same pick, I feel pretty good about it.

                                                  Keep up the good work, and I'll keep watching. Thanks.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spladle08
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 1488

                                                    #26
                                                    Polly Juice.. be careful betting 17%+ of your Roll per game.. GL though whoop whoop.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jonathon1995
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                      • 245

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Balco10
                                                      You were way off on tonight game! Why did you think the Hurricanes would cover on a week day???
                                                      Maybe because they were undefeated on Thursday nights in the past 10 years.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SugarDaddy
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 10-07-11
                                                        • 61

                                                        #28
                                                        No sweat, u do a great job. I do my own research then see where others(including u Machine) and I like to see when certain folks are on the same page as me. If people are too afraid to lose money Don't freakin bet!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigdaddyQH
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-13-09
                                                          • 19530

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                          I have a 62% hit rate in football right now through 44 plays. That means that for anyone who decides to blindly tail me, you have a 48% chance of losing. If you can do better -- and many can -- then go do better and leave me the hell alone. I was 4-0 on lock plays until tonight. If you tailed and lost, I'm sorry to hear it. But I will post other locks in the future if I see one. So if you decide to blindly tail it, then you have at least a 20% chance of losing and likely more.

                                                          In other words, don't be going all-in and then cursing me if it loses. You know the risks.

                                                          I have said repeatedly that blindly tailing me is not effective unless you do it every day. I tend to get hot then average, but rarely ice cold. I have an aggressive yet smart money management system that has me up $1,400 so far in football. I won 10 in a row three weeks ago but those are quickly forgotten. That's okay, I accept that.

                                                          Just don't blame me if you tail and lose. Hey, I lost $244 tonight. But because of Heavn's Gate, there's always the chance of a new streak.

                                                          Good night
                                                          Learn some math. If you are hitting at 62%, that means that there is a 38% chance at a loss, NOT 48%. Frankly, if you think losing $244.00 on a game is a big deal, you are playing with amateurs to begin with. I agree that people should not blame you because you came up with a loser. They should blame themselves for blindly following you. Still, you did shoot your mouth off, and you have to expect this when you lose. Remember you are dealing with a lot of losers in here who can ill afford to lose their $100.00 wagers. Those are the worst kind of players.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mabst38
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 01-11-10
                                                            • 39

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                            44 plays and you're going to tout a % Howtobeatout101

                                                            So I went 9-1 this means I'm a 90% capper?

                                                            Optimus Prime what is 100 - 62? Is it 48?
                                                            Please tell me what your percentage is if its not 90% for those 10 games Cumde91.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mp5070
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-13-08
                                                              • 5446

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigdaddyQH
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-13-09
                                                                • 19530

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by mabst38
                                                                Please tell me what your percentage is if its not 90% for those 10 games Cumde91.
                                                                I think he was trying to say that just because you hit a hot streak, that does not mean it will last the entire season. You can go 9-1, and then 1-9.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • flocko76
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-01-10
                                                                  • 1447

                                                                  #33
                                                                  how do i divide my 10 sbr points by 11 if my minimum wager has to be 6 points?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mabst38
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 01-11-10
                                                                    • 39

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                                    I think he was trying to say that just because you hit a hot streak, that does not mean it will last the entire season. You can go 9-1, and then 1-9.
                                                                    Is a hot streak 44 plays at 62%?
                                                                    Yes, if he goes 9-1 for 10 plays he is 90%. If he goes 10-10 for 20 plays he is 50%. Either way, its just expressing a percentage for a win/lose ratio.
                                                                    I think he was trying to say that he is only 62% so act accordingly, not "howtobeatout101"...

                                                                    Now, lets see how many people can correctly subtract 62 from 100 and make a big deal about it. What are we at so far?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Machine Choice
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-12-08
                                                                      • 3997

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jonathon1995
                                                                      Is it just me but if you hit 62% then you lose 38%.....not 48..........
                                                                      LOL, you make a good point. If I can't do simple head-math I surely shouldn't be posting on a handicapping site. It was midnight when I typed this last night. I edited the correction.

                                                                      Anyway, I don't like the stupid threads about me, including this one.

                                                                      I'm gonna get back to football...TCU vs BYU ... and I hope everyone else can too.
                                                                      Comment
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