Are U Guys Playing LSU - 22 This Week???

[Bennett]

The number is about right given LSU being at home, and how Auburn has played this year. But I agree you have to be careful laying that much chalk. These are things you can count on with LSU...

They will always start slow the first few series. They normally start playing backups somewhere in the third qtr against inferior teams. Miles isn't like Switzer and Spurrier back in the day; he doesn't pile it on.

Flip side you can count on. LSU will always defer, getting the ball starting second half, if they win the toss. They are a much better team in the second half. The backups usually play at a high level, but naturally may give up a play or two when they are in.

So there are alot of games LSU doesn't cover large numbers, mainly because they don't care. Basically what you are counting on is in the 4th quarter, one of the backs breaking a run when they are over midfield to get that last TD. Love LSU, but they are a risk at times laying a large number.

[brahmabull117]

But i do think Auburn is better than Oregon, Tennesee, Florida, and west va. I think LSU wins this game by 10-17 points. .

Oregon and West Va would beat Auburn by at least 14 points on a neutral field

[SugarDaddy]

yeah I have watched most Auburn games and most LSU games. LSU is probably the best team in the country but I don't think they cover the spread here. Just responding to the thread buddy no need to get all bent out of shape. But i do think Auburn is better than Oregon, Tennesee, Florida, and west va. I think LSU wins this game by 10-17 points. This is a big rivalry game and they usually play each other fairly close.

That is a BOLD Statement

[Greyraptor]

Every game I have taken LSU, Stanford, Alabama and Wisconsin on this year (straight up-not counting totals or teasers) have all covered for me. This week, I am taking all four of them to cover. This is the first week I have taken all four of them in the same week. If one of them doesn't cover, no harm. Hell, I may even tease all of them in a four-way nine point teaser but yes, I am taking LSU and laying the points. Until they fail to cover for me, I am going to ride them all the way.

[SilverTongueFox]

Brahmabull - be careful with this one for several reasons, both teams will play to shorten this ballgame.
1. AU and LSU are both running teams - rank #3 & #4 in the conference. AU's plan will be to run Dyer and LSU is a run first offense
2. Hurry up offense - even though both teams like to get to the line of scrimmage quickly, it's usually just to keep the defense from substituting. They'll almost always look to the sideline to get protection/play before snapping which runs the play clock down to the final few seconds. LSU actually huddles more now with Jarrett Lee and AU has slowed down tremendously this year under Malzhan which is surprising. AU has become more of a power running team with Dyer.
3. Three and outs - expect plenty of punts, especially early in this game; both teams rank in the top half in punting leaders, so I expect both teams to have longer drives which chew clock
4. Turnover margin - LSU is tops in country but both teams are plus in turnover margain; this could play a factor but I think AU plays very conserative and will not give LSU a short field.
5. Not a night game - AU has played LSU at night before but luckily this is not a night game, its 230 CST. This might not mean much to a lot of you, but if you ever been to Death Valley at night, then you'd understand what I'm talking about.
6. Familarity - these teams know each other very well, in the last 9 years, with exception of 2009, this game has been decided by fewer than 7pts; throw records out the window, this game is one of those games that just seems to be won in the 4th quarter. It probably wont be the case this weekend, but I dont think LSU will blow them out either. I can see AU getting a few scores and not turning the ballover. Probably a 30-17 type game.

I'm actually planing to tease this game as follows:
4 team 13pt teaser
1. Auburn +22 teased up to +35
2. Tenessee +28.5 teased up to +41
3. Arkansas -17 teased down to -4
4. Texas Tech +28.5 teased up to +41

What do you think? Good luck boys!

[brahmabull117]

Brahmabull - be careful with this one for several reasons, both teams will play to shorten this ballgame. 1. AU and LSU are both running teams - rank #3 & #4 in the conference. AU's plan will be to run Dyer and LSU is a run first offense 2. Hurry up offense - even though both teams like to get to the line of scrimmage quickly, it's usually just to keep the defense from substituting. They'll almost always look to the sideline to get protection/play before snapping which runs the play clock down to the final few seconds. LSU actually huddles more now with Jarrett Lee and AU has slowed down tremendously this year under Malzhan which is surprising. AU has become more of a power running team with Dyer. 3. Three and outs - expect plenty of punts, especially early in this game; both teams rank in the top half in punting leaders, so I expect both teams to have longer drives which chew clock 4. Turnover margin - LSU is tops in country but both teams are plus in turnover margain; this could play a factor but I think AU plays very conserative and will not give LSU a short field. 5. Not a night game - AU has played LSU at night before but luckily this is not a night game, its 230 CST. This might not mean much to a lot of you, but if you ever been to Death Valley at night, then you'd understand what I'm talking about. 6. Familarity - these teams know each other very well, in the last 9 years, with exception of 2009, this game has been decided by fewer than 7pts; throw records out the window, this game is one of those games that just seems to be won in the 4th quarter. It probably wont be the case this weekend, but I dont think LSU will blow them out either. I can see AU getting a few scores and not turning the ballover. Probably a 30-17 type game. I'm actually planing to tease this game as follows: 4 team 13pt teaser 1. Auburn +22 teased up to +35 2. Tenessee +28.5 teased up to +41 3. Arkansas -17 teased down to -4 4. Texas Tech +28.5 teased up to +41 What do you think? Good luck boys!

none of these things scare me at all, Auburn's defense is garbage and their gimmick run offense won't do anything against a ferocious defense loaded with future NFL players



LSU will stack the box with 8 or 9 guys and it's just gonna be punt after punt after punt for Auburn



If LSU can get 28-38 points, they should cover easily because Auburn might get shutout in this game