Albeit there is no such thing as a lock, here is as close as it gets...
Mr. Doughnut's
Pick of the Week!
SPREAD: SMU -3
This Saturday we have UCF visiting the Lone Star State to play the SMU Mustangs.
UCF has made a living this year with DEFENSE. They rank 7th in the nation yielding a paltry 12.5 points per game! Furthermore, UCF ranks NUMERO UNO (#1) giving up only 3.7 yards per pass this season. In addition, they are allowing a lowly 3.2 Yards per Carry (#24) this year....however, this is the key stat in this game and is quite misleading. UCF HASN'T PLAYED A TEAM THAT CAN RUN THE BALL WORTH A DAMN! Here are UCF's opponents and where they rank offensively in yards per carry
BC- #82
FIU- #48
BYU- #81
Marshall- #107
When the best rushing team you have gone up against is the FIU runnin' 'n gunnin' T.Y. Hilton's, then that points toward an inflated rushing D statistic.
On the flip side, SMU has won 4 straight since the surprising blowout loss to Texas A&M to open the season. Nonetheless, SMU boasts a high quality offense that can hurt you either through the air, or on the ground with the bulldozer Zach Line. Nearly top 40 across the board, SMU ranks #39 in points per game, #39 in yards per carry, and #42 in yards per pass. Furthermore, the D is no slouch either, ranking in the top 40 in the same 3 categories defensively (#38 Opp Pts/Game, #22 Opp Yards/Rush, #34 Opp Yards/Pass)
Furthermore, UCF's two losses on the year have come on the road (0-2 on the road), whereas SMU's one loss was on the road and to a far superior opponent than either of UCF's opponents (UCF losses- @BYU, @FIU / SMU loss- @Texas A@M). Plus SMU has just won consecutive road games, beating Memphis and TCU, so look for SMU to get a little HOME COOKIN' going Saturday.
KEY: The key to this match-up will be Zach Line and the SMU run game. Watch for Line to continue his dominance on the year (585 Yards, 5.9 Yards/Carry, 11 TDs), and to expose the UCF rush defense for what it is...statistically overhyped.
So if you're lookin' for a pick to fill up that bet slip this weekend, Mr. Dougnut suggests you
TAKE THE 'STANGS -TRES (-3) MIS COMPADRES!
Mr. Doughnut's
Pick of the Week!SPREAD: SMU -3
This Saturday we have UCF visiting the Lone Star State to play the SMU Mustangs.
UCF has made a living this year with DEFENSE. They rank 7th in the nation yielding a paltry 12.5 points per game! Furthermore, UCF ranks NUMERO UNO (#1) giving up only 3.7 yards per pass this season. In addition, they are allowing a lowly 3.2 Yards per Carry (#24) this year....however, this is the key stat in this game and is quite misleading. UCF HASN'T PLAYED A TEAM THAT CAN RUN THE BALL WORTH A DAMN! Here are UCF's opponents and where they rank offensively in yards per carry
BC- #82
FIU- #48
BYU- #81
Marshall- #107
When the best rushing team you have gone up against is the FIU runnin' 'n gunnin' T.Y. Hilton's, then that points toward an inflated rushing D statistic.
On the flip side, SMU has won 4 straight since the surprising blowout loss to Texas A&M to open the season. Nonetheless, SMU boasts a high quality offense that can hurt you either through the air, or on the ground with the bulldozer Zach Line. Nearly top 40 across the board, SMU ranks #39 in points per game, #39 in yards per carry, and #42 in yards per pass. Furthermore, the D is no slouch either, ranking in the top 40 in the same 3 categories defensively (#38 Opp Pts/Game, #22 Opp Yards/Rush, #34 Opp Yards/Pass)
Furthermore, UCF's two losses on the year have come on the road (0-2 on the road), whereas SMU's one loss was on the road and to a far superior opponent than either of UCF's opponents (UCF losses- @BYU, @FIU / SMU loss- @Texas A@M). Plus SMU has just won consecutive road games, beating Memphis and TCU, so look for SMU to get a little HOME COOKIN' going Saturday.
KEY: The key to this match-up will be Zach Line and the SMU run game. Watch for Line to continue his dominance on the year (585 Yards, 5.9 Yards/Carry, 11 TDs), and to expose the UCF rush defense for what it is...statistically overhyped.
So if you're lookin' for a pick to fill up that bet slip this weekend, Mr. Dougnut suggests you
TAKE THE 'STANGS -TRES (-3) MIS COMPADRES!
