Isn't 52 high for tonight's total?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Isn't 52 high for tonight's total?
    I figured it'd be in the 46-48 range. Makes me want to hit the over.
  • Cuse0323
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-09-09
    • 30169

    #2
    I think it's right on, I see it being a 31-21 type game. I would lean towards the over, I think Pitt puts up the 30+.
    Comment
    • Donnie Brasco
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-04-11
      • 862

      #3
      Nc i agree, tonights total is high. South fl allowing 17 ppg, and pitt only 22. We just saw pitt hold a nd offense that was avg something like 450 yds per game to 15 pts, and we know sth fla d means business. I wouldnt b surprised to see a 17-13 kind of game, lean to usf.
      Comment
      • Donnie Brasco
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-04-11
        • 862

        #4
        Why would u hit the over based on ur analysis and the line at 52?
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #5
          any total is high when the field you're playing on is essentially dog food covered in green spray paint.
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52030

            #6
            usf wins this game and i just CANT see this total going anywhere close to 52
            Comment
            • cant call it
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-29-10
              • 8817

              #7
              If you think 52 is high and think the game will be in 46-48 range wouldn't you rather take the under?
              Comment
              • Hall2Collie
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-03-11
                • 462

                #8
                Seems incredibly high especially considering it is being played at Heinz Field.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Donnie Brasco
                  Why would u hit the over based on ur analysis and the line at 52?
                  Because it's a suspicious number.

                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                  any total is high when the field you're playing on is essentially dog food covered in green spray paint.
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    I figured it'd be in the 46-48 range. Makes me want to hit the over.
                    seems right...s.florida's offense is pretty explosive and dave wannstedt teams are usually nfl type running/defensive teams.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by cant call it
                      If you think 52 is high and think the game will be in 46-48 range wouldn't you rather take the under?
                      Because it's a setup.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Dexter
                        seems right...s.florida's offense is pretty explosive and dave wannstedt teams are usually nfl type running/defensive teams.
                        But Tulsa's ex-coach is there now, and he runs a spread doesn't he? Graham I think is his name.
                        Comment
                        • Vin_vermillion
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-24-11
                          • 1537

                          #13
                          Hienz field is no longer the crap turf that used to be there. it is the new semi artificial stuff. dont base your play on the turf.
                          Comment
                          • ebbearsfb1
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 18815

                            #14
                            Yeah..its hhigh cause 2 of south florida game have reached 70s already.. yeah its graham... and pitt has yet to get going offensive and learned this system... if you think its a off number just lay off
                            Comment
                            • SBRMAN23
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-07-11
                              • 6906

                              #15
                              Suppose to rain all day won't be much throwing in this game
                              Comment
                              • BigdaddyQH
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-13-09
                                • 19530

                                #16
                                I would wait and see if any action comes in late to swing this line one way or the other.
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  But Tulsa's ex-coach is there now, and he runs a spread doesn't he? Graham I think is his name.
                                  dave w is out?
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    Because it's a setup.
                                    dude....stop thinking like this. go with the under if your total is 46
                                    Comment
                                    • Pick'nParlays
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-22-08
                                      • 3134

                                      #19
                                      follow your gut dude
                                      Comment
                                      • cant call it
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-29-10
                                        • 8817

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Because it's a setup.
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #21
                                          Under looks way too obvious.

                                          USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

                                          Pitt is similar.

                                          I see a defensive struggle with a lot of running plays called.

                                          I figured the total would be like 44-45. Since it's much higher, that means my whole line of thinking must be incorrect.

                                          In other words, if the total was set lower, I would definitely take the under but since it's high for these teams, it makes me think the game goes over.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                            Under looks way too obvious.

                                            USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

                                            USF is averaging 46ppg through 4 games this year
                                            Comment
                                            • justwinthisone
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-27-10
                                              • 1604

                                              #23
                                              under for 1st half.....pitt does not play d in the 4th
                                              Comment
                                              • ebbearsfb1
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-07-08
                                                • 18815

                                                #24
                                                if anything they want you to take the over
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                                  USF is averaging 46ppg through 4 games this year
                                                  Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame.

                                                  They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers.

                                                  I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced.

                                                  I see them in the 20s tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                    Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame.

                                                    They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers.

                                                    I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced.

                                                    I see them in the 20s tonight.
                                                    what are you playing? i nailed down usf for 1u at -2.5. i actually like it more then that, but had a bad week in baseball so will just play it for a small amount.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                      Under looks way too obvious.

                                                      USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

                                                      Pitt is similar.

                                                      I see a defensive struggle with a lot of running plays called.

                                                      I figured the total would be like 44-45. Since it's much higher, that means my whole line of thinking must be incorrect.

                                                      In other words, if the total was set lower, I would definitely take the under but since it's high for these teams, it makes me think the game goes over.
                                                      Exactly.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigDan
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-28-11
                                                        • 5104

                                                        #28
                                                        i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

                                                        also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Luv2Play2
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-24-10
                                                          • 2461

                                                          #29
                                                          thanks dan

                                                          Originally posted by BigDan
                                                          i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

                                                          also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
                                                          im so damn tired of reading the same ole BS.. im just hoping to find a few more validated reasons to make a play.. and find myself sorting thru such nonsense as square/sharp..traps... WTF...a bunch of bored ass, no life knotheads.. bol to all of you L2P2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brahmabull117
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 8622

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                            Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame. They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers. I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced. I see them in the 20s tonight.

                                                            this line of thinking is retarded



                                                            Stanford is only 21 point favorites against UCLA this weekend when everybody is projecting them to win by 24-35. Do u think that UCLA is all of a sudden a good play because Vegas chose to give away free $$$$????



                                                            and i don't think this is a particularly low total. USF has a good offense, I got them winning this game like 31-21 so it seems right on point to me
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BigDan
                                                              i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

                                                              also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
                                                              Good luck.

                                                              No play for me. Might take Pitt at +3, but I'm not sure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Luv2Play2
                                                                im so damn tired of reading the same ole BS.. im just hoping to find a few more validated reasons to make a play.. and find myself sorting thru such nonsense as square/sharp..traps... WTF...a bunch of bored ass, no life knotheads.. bol to all of you L2P2
                                                                So you'd rather trust a bunch of yokels on an anonymous message board than the people who actually set the lines for a living?

                                                                Comment
                                                                • Holdin Aces
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-18-10
                                                                  • 2551

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I don't see this game getting anywhere near 52. I also think USF wins as well. Good luck whatever you guys decide to do.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The total is high because S Florida dropped a 70 then a 52 the previous 2 games.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                      So you'd rather trust a bunch of yokels on an anonymous message board than the people who actually set the lines for a living?

                                                                      not everyone is a "yokel"



                                                                      not quite sure how you can "trust" a lines-maker
                                                                      Comment
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