Get Dat $$$ Season Thread

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  • Romanov
    SBR MVP
    • 10-08-10
    • 4137

    #36
    My NFL plays today. NFL plays go on my spreadsheet but since this is an ncaafb thread I am not going to cloud it up with nfl records and analysis

    Ravens -5
    Titans -7
    Patriots -7

    BOL today. Be careful if you bet on ATL. Looks to be fishy
    Comment
    • Romanov
      SBR MVP
      • 10-08-10
      • 4137

      #37
      Carrying the NCAAFB record from the 1st page I am 13-6 so far this season. I went 6-2 on Saturday.

      Plays:
      Illinois -6.5
      Ohio St -2.5
      Arkansas +3
      Utah -7
      Auburn +11

      Haven't made plays yet but I'll be keeping an eye on:

      Pittsburgh
      Minnesota
      Boston College
      NC State
      Texas Tech
      Colorado
      Stanford
      Iowa St.
      Arizona
      Kansas St.
      Kentucky

      So I have a lot of potential plays. The ones in the 2nd list (not official plays just yet) all have bad movements going against them. If I decide to play them later in the week, the lines will probably have only moved further in my direction.
      Comment
      • Romanov
        SBR MVP
        • 10-08-10
        • 4137

        #38
        Adding 2 official plays:

        Minnesota +20
        Iowa St. +10
        Comment
        • joeytunes
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-29-10
          • 449

          #39
          i like iowa st
          Comment
          • mp5070
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-13-08
            • 5446

            #40
            Comment
            • Romanov
              SBR MVP
              • 10-08-10
              • 4137

              #41
              Originally posted by joeytunes
              i like iowa st
              Originally posted by mp5070


              Almost hit NC State +10.5 today but I think my stats are somehow misrepresenting that team. After what happened with last weeks blow-out I don't think they will be a play. Might be an impulse game come Saturday if I see a pretty line move.

              Hitting 68.4% so far. Doing a little normalization of the binomial I've found that if I was actually a 52% bettor using this method (52% is still a losing gambler) the probability of a 13-6 run in a 19 play sample is only 7.64%.

              So... we're looking good. As good as we can at this point
              Comment
              • Romanov
                SBR MVP
                • 10-08-10
                • 4137

                #42
                Adding:

                Boston College Pk
                Kansas St +4
                Comment
                • Romanov
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 4137

                  #43
                  Adding Colorado -3 to complete my card:

                  Illinois -6.5
                  Ohio St -2.5
                  Arkansas +3
                  Utah -7
                  Auburn +11
                  Colorado -3
                  Boston College Pk
                  Kansas St +4
                  Minnesota +20
                  Iowa St. +10

                  Lets get this! CASH MONAEEEEE

                  Comment
                  • Romanov
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-08-10
                    • 4137

                    #44
                    Brutal last week!

                    Illinois -6.5
                    Ohio St -2.5

                    Arkansas +3

                    Utah -7
                    Auburn +11

                    Colorado -3
                    Boston College Pk

                    Kansas St +4

                    Minnesota +20
                    Iowa St. +10


                    Rough!

                    3-7 last week
                    16-13 overall

                    Gotta get it back this week. Plays upcoming
                    Comment
                    • Romanov
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-10
                      • 4137

                      #45
                      October 8th

                      Power rankings plays:

                      Utah +3.5
                      Auburn +10


                      I'm also trying something new in another thread but I'll copy and paste the plays here as well:

                      All Moneylines All the Time plays:

                      Oklahoma -350
                      Penn St -175
                      Rutgers +210
                      Miami +230
                      Navy -110
                      East Carolina +290
                      Texas A&M -310
                      Troy -250
                      UL Monroe +110
                      Comment
                      • Romanov
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 4137

                        #46
                        By the way, all of those bets are to win 1 unit
                        Comment
                        • Romanov
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 4137

                          #47
                          Adding Some Power Rankings Plays:

                          Alabama -29
                          Boston College +21.5
                          Connecticut +20

                          see spreadsheet
                          Comment
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