Duke +21

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Duke +21
    Stanford's a huge public play, and all of the Johnny Come Latelys who sign up for this on Saturday morning are going to get bent over.

    Bookmaker opened at -15.5. A lot of people are going to get burned for taking a bad number. Stanford wins by 17 or 18.
  • dozer
    Restricted User
    • 03-03-10
    • 1495

    #2
    duke has to cover. the book never takes an L against 84% of bets......i'll crap my pants if we see rlm tomorrow morn. big dogs either eat early in the week or wait until the last minute
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by dozer
      duke has to cover. the book never takes an L against 84% of bets......i'll crap my pants if we see rlm tomorrow morn. big dogs either eat early in the week or wait until the last minute
      Plus, a 6-point line swing?

      This has set-up written all over it.
      Comment
      • ExperienceWins
        SBR MVP
        • 08-23-11
        • 1972

        #4
        Sure days, and Stanford will still cover. Books will get burned, but they will make it back for sure.
        Comment
        • sportfan
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-22-09
          • 10111

          #5
          Stanford will come out strong , easy cover 45-14 type game
          Comment
          • JMF2479
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-29-09
            • 592

            #6
            I'll be a sucker and take Stanford.
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Laying -21 during a cross country trip, that even NFL team struggle with is not a "smart decision".
              Comment
              • darkenergy
                SBR MVP
                • 01-08-09
                • 4013

                #8
                I booked Standford on 9/4 at 11:12pm (Sunday night), the whole market was -20 at the time.
                If you do your own line Stanford would be around -20.78.
                I don't really believe anyone can get -15.5 at anywhere, beside I thought one would check for multiple books at the same time to see whether a real move, isn't not? Unless you think bookmakers is the sharpest book for college football.
                Comment
                • ctguy
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-04-11
                  • 376

                  #9
                  By any chance did you see Stanfords game last week??? They put up points pretty much every drive. This is Luck's last year and is going for it all(Heisman, NFL, First overall pick, Natinal Titile) to stay at the top in collage ball you must score and score in bunches!! Luck will have the foot on the gas and wont let up till the fourth qtr whistle blows. Stanford -20.5
                  Comment
                  • Love The Action
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 10952

                    #10
                    I'm not touching this one, but expect Stanford to roll rather easily. However, back door cover is always possible because, like you mentioned, if you didn't get on it early, you could be stuck with a 42-23 type game and lose. Good luck NC.
                    Comment
                    • BookiesBernanke
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-09-10
                      • 849

                      #11
                      The best QB in college football versus DUKE
                      Comment
                      • agharah1
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-07-10
                        • 2304

                        #12
                        Last year, Stanford beat Wake Forest like 68-24. I see a repeat. Duke's got a terrible pass defense and Stanford has the best QB in the nation. And its not like this is a noon/1pm start on the East Coast, its a 3:30pm game.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Stanford is the obvious play. That's not my argument.

                          Hell, in theory, you should be able to put your entire bankroll on Stanford -21 and cash.

                          I'm just saying something's not right with this line, given how low it opened and how far it's moved. I just get the feeling a lot of people get stuck with a bad closing number.
                          Comment
                          • moses millsap
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-25-05
                            • 8289

                            #14
                            will be extremely tough for stanford to cover this game, duke's defense is underrated
                            Comment
                            • Romanov
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-08-10
                              • 4137

                              #15
                              The public and the sharps are on Stanford because everyone has them winning by 4 tds. Rare do you find a game with over a td of value
                              Comment
                              • ck021
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-07-11
                                • 160

                                #16
                                I took Stanford first half giving points
                                Comment
                                • bradleysnyder
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-18-07
                                  • 6662

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by no coincidences
                                  stanford's a huge public play, and all of the johnny come latelys who sign up for this on saturday morning are going to get bent over.

                                  Bookmaker opened at -15.5. A lot of people are going to get burned for taking a bad number. Stanford wins by 17 or 18.

                                  if you play duke you are nuts


                                  this is stanford - whatever or no play
                                  Comment
                                  • og4667
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-17-09
                                    • 2438

                                    #18
                                    books were way off last week on Stanford as well...
                                    Comment
                                    • HighFive
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-01-10
                                      • 377

                                      #19
                                      Duke has ability
                                      Comment
                                      • TwoWays
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 13145

                                        #20
                                        Dude, you got to be yourself NoCoin. Stop reading lines and start reading the how the teams are performing. WTF is a sharp, square, etc? Be the 99% that is right, not the 1% that are tools.
                                        Comment
                                        • brahmabull117
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 8622

                                          #21
                                          another great call by no coincedences based on this line movement nonsense
                                          Comment
                                          • Hall2Collie
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-03-11
                                            • 462

                                            #22
                                            Even Vegas can't help Duke Football.

                                            Stanford played about as bad as they can for two qtrs and they are still covering with ease.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                Dude, you got to be yourself NoCoin. Stop reading lines and start reading the how the teams are performing. WTF is a sharp, square, etc? Be the 99% that is right, not the 1% that are tools.
                                                I'm not struggling in college football.

                                                This is a 1U loss. Big deal.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  I see brahmabroke is back to lose more money.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TwoWays
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                    • 13145

                                                    #26
                                                    Yes you may be, but don't make a single thread out of this one game because it will be perceived differently by viewers.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fecgp40
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                      • 5750

                                                      #27
                                                      You had very valid points Andy Dufresne. :-) And I was concerned about this one until Stanford started to run away with it in the 2nd half. I took Stanford last Monday. This was my top play for this week, as it just lept out at me when I looked at the line. Sometimes I think we get caught up in overanalyzing things. I just couldn't see how Standford could not crush Duke.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                        Yes you may be, but don't make a single thread out of this one game because it will be perceived differently by viewers.
                                                        So fade it.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • TwoWays
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 13145

                                                          #29
                                                          No. I'm saying you want to help people win as well, right. So why woudn't you save your best play to make a thread so everyone can follow and win?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDofBA
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-30-09
                                                            • 19313

                                                            #30
                                                            I liked Stanford, Wisconsin, and TCU but didn't play any of them because they looked way too easy.

                                                            I mean seriously, they looked so easy I started to think shit teams like Duke, Oregon State, and Air Force were the "plays". At that point, I was so mind ****** I decided not to play any of them....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • starfire
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-24-10
                                                              • 17045

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow...
                                                              Good call
                                                              Comment
                                                              • manicart
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-10-10
                                                                • 829

                                                                #32
                                                                congrats to anyone who took Duke in First half lol .. thats about all they got
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dutch
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-21-10
                                                                  • 4339

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nice call.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ThaTopMoron
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-30-10
                                                                    • 27020

                                                                    #34
                                                                    You guys just need to get over it... big upsets or covers are not in the bag of tricks just yet. After I got fukkkd last night on a teaser... I said hell with it for today and went for a nice parlay,

                                                                    I parlayed WIS, Ohio State ML (I live in Ohio and knew the Bucks wouldn't cover this one)... hell they almost lost str8 up and fukkked me BIG TIME.

                                                                    Parlayed them with Stanford spread and Oregon spread. It looked easy... it hit, but still had that one close game.

                                                                    I was scared to add in TCU tho... or Auburn, or Alabama to the mix. Still tho, a big hit.
                                                                    Comment
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