HARRY'S WEEK 2 COLLEGE PLAYS (5-0 last week)

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  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #1
    HARRY'S WEEK 2 COLLEGE PLAYS (5-0 last week)
    Boyz,

    Nice start to the season, going a perfect 5-0 with my sides. Would've been even 'more perfect' if that Michigan game wasn't called early. Stubbed my toe a little bit with my totals plays but overall we turned a nice profit. This week I will play less totals, more sides selections. Let's get at it....

    OREGON STATE +20- at WISCONSIN

    Just a terrible start to the season for the Beavers, losing at home to lowly Sacramento St. Meanwhile the Badgers came out swinging against UNLV. Transfer QB Wilson (from NC St.) looked impressive. Oregon State comes into Madison a bit dinged up and also has to deal with an early tee time. That's a lot of variables in the Badgers favor. Realize though that all these things are already factored into the line.....and the line is way too high. The Beavers play tough on the road, covering 28 of their last 40 ATS. Take the generous points.

    SAN DIEGO STATE -9- at ARMY (***Double Play***)

    Here's another matchup where a west coast team will have their body clocks a little out of sorts (game starts at noon eastern, 9 am pacific time.) Still, don't see the Cadets being able to trade points with these fast-improving Aztecs. Army got lit up last week by Northern Illinois and will again this week by the balanced SD St. attack. Defensively the Aztecs should be familiar with the spread as they faced it last week against Cal Poly SLO and last year in the bowl win against Navy.

    TOLEDO +19 at OHIO STATE

    This is the type of game that the Buckeyes usually win and cover handily. But things figure to be a bit different this year in Columbus. There's been a lot of turmoil, what with scandals and the departures of coaches and stud QBs. The Rockets are actually coming into town with a puncher's chance. The Buckeyes looked good last week but that was against Akron, arguably the worst team in the country. The Rockets also looked good against a strong Division 2 team, New Hampshire. Toledo brings back a lot of returning talent from last year and I look for them to put up a fight here.

    TULSA -11- at TULANE

    The Golden Hurricane will be looking to regroup rapidly after that beatdown they took last week against Oklahoma. It starts right here. They've won and covered 6 straight games against Tulane, all easily. The line is surprisingly low (I see Tulsa winning by about 24), and it's come down even further because of the suspension of ace WR Johnson. No matter, Tulsa brings back tons of good players from last year's squad and should put the usual whooping on Tulane. The Green Wave have covered only 7 of their last 28 games. Ouch.

    ALABAMA -10 at PENN STATE

    Joe Paterno has forgotten more about football than most coaches will ever know. But that's the problem, he's forgotten it! The guy is 83.....that's about Abe Vigoda's age. How's he gonna relate to 20 year-old kids? It's never easy for a team to lay double digits in Happy Valley, but this is the Crimson Tide and you won't be able to get them much cheaper than this price all year. The Nittany Lions have only covered 9 of their last 28 as a dog. Perhaps they're getting too much respect because of the great years they had in the past. This team is slower and less talented than the Tide and it will show here.

    TCU -1 at AIR FORCE

    Don't jump off the Horned Frogs bandwagon just yet. They're definitely not the team they were last year but they still should be able to handle the Falcons. After facing Robert Griffin last week, the Flyboys will look like they're going in slow motion. I was encouraged by TCU's 4th quarter rally last week and look for it to jump start them in this one.

    BALL STATE +20 at SOUTH FLORIDA

    Great win by the Bulls last week at South Bend. Lost in the press clippings was the fact that they were outgained 508-254. They're a good team but this is a lot of points to lay against an upstart Ball State team who surprised Indiana last week. The Bulls are unlikely to benefit from 5 turnovers again this week and I look for a little bit of a letdown after last week's marquee matchup. Take.

    For those interested, I'm gonna post my top totals plays a bit later and I will also start an NFL thread this season for the first time ever.

    As always, best of luck,
    Harry
  • Hotlanta Steam
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-10
    • 896

    #2
    Love the Tulsa play...looks like stealing money... SE Louisiana had over 400 yards against Tulane... I see Tulsa over under on punts 2.5....
    Comment
    • Lexus420
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-30-11
      • 31

      #3
      Thanks bro looks good to me keep up the good work!!!!
      Comment
      • daprospecta
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-15-10
        • 473

        #4
        leaning sds Tulsa and tcu as well gl
        Comment
        • grind4moneyz
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-07-11
          • 239

          #5
          Where did you get Tulsa at -11?
          Comment
          • Harry N. Lloyd
            SBR MVP
            • 03-26-08
            • 4810

            #6
            Originally posted by grind4moneyz
            Where did you get Tulsa at -11?
            The line was -11- (minus eleven and a half) when I made my post (on Bookmaker). I see it's up to -12- now. No matter. The play stands.
            Comment
            • ShogunRua
              SBR MVP
              • 12-23-09
              • 4668

              #7
              Good luck.

              I remember you from last year. Very solid. Keep it up.
              Comment
              • blackeyeshamus
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-19-11
                • 6632

                #8
                excellent work, sir.
                thank you very much, and
                best of luck!
                Comment
                • DangerousOne
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-30-08
                  • 249

                  #9
                  Congrats on the great start Harry.
                  Comment
                  • Blackroc78
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-15-11
                    • 1189

                    #10
                    thank you!
                    Comment
                    • grind4moneyz
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-07-11
                      • 239

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                      The line was -11- (minus eleven and a half) when I made my post (on Bookmaker). I see it's up to -12- now. No matter. The play stands.
                      I only asked because I was hoping to see it drop to -11 myself but didn't see it at any of my books.

                      Glad you got it at -11. I'm going to watch the line of the next few days and see if I can catch it at -11.

                      Do you make all your bets at Bookmaker? Just curious.
                      Comment
                      • CBASS
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-10
                        • 2613

                        #12
                        BOL to you Harry
                        Comment
                        • Dirty D
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-26-06
                          • 796

                          #13
                          How about Tulsa -6.5 first half. For some reason I am thinking they have traditionally been a fast starter and let teams score a lot in the second half. I like them for a TD in the first half though.

                          Dirty D
                          Comment
                          • collie
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 09-07-09
                            • 99

                            #14
                            Thanks mate. I also love the Tulsa play. Got it at -12
                            Comment
                            • Harry N. Lloyd
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-26-08
                              • 4810

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Dirty D
                              How about Tulsa -6.5 first half. For some reason I am thinking they have traditionally been a fast starter and let teams score a lot in the second half. I like them for a TD in the first half though.

                              Dirty D
                              Dirty,

                              Picking winners outright winners is challenging enough for me. I never find myself thinking in terms of halfs. However, your logic seems to make sense.......so good luck.
                              Comment
                              • Pain44
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 09-09-10
                                • 21

                                #16
                                Wat dou think

                                Nice picks. Wat do u think about florida, iowa,tcu,oregon, and michigan
                                Comment
                                • Harry N. Lloyd
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-08
                                  • 4810

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Pain44
                                  Nice picks. Wat do u think about florida, iowa,tcu,oregon, and michigan
                                  TCU is an official play. I agree with you on Florida.....they have a game up on UAB and Charlie Weis has something to prove. Michigan is tempting......first night game ever at the Big House. The place will be wild and Denard Robinson is the best player on the field. Iowa doesn't show much offense. That's a big nut for Oregon to cover. Good luck.
                                  Comment
                                  • chrisharvard01
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 10-24-08
                                    • 2943

                                    #18
                                    Great contribution Harry. GL.
                                    Comment
                                    • Whosoevers
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 09-09-11
                                      • 22

                                      #19
                                      I was with you on every pick........except the Wisconsin game. Partially because I am a homer, partially because I am a realist. Gotta lose eventually!! Going heavy on Tulsa now, thanks for the write ups. Lets get this
                                      Comment
                                      • HR Paperstacks
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-20-11
                                        • 910

                                        #20
                                        Nice picks, I went with you on TCU, Tulsa, and Bama. Added Stanford in there myself for a nice 4-0 day.
                                        Comment
                                        • sovann80
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-09-11
                                          • 109

                                          #21
                                          yea i took TCU, Oregon, Bama and Stanford. can't wait to hear your thoughts on week 3
                                          Comment
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