FrattyCapper's 2011 (68% last year!)

[DanL32]

On LSU also....Betting SEC teams (preferably west and not Auburn or Ole Miss) in big non-conference games will win you more than you lose.

But I got a question for you fratty... I'm an SEC guy too (go to Auburn) and I hate to tell you I bet Miss State under 8 -130. Do you have any insight on how you think this will turn out? You think I should let it ride or maybe throw a hedge when they play georgia? I always lean SEC west over east... but I honestly don't know if y'all will get it together.. What do you think bro?

[TexasLonghorn]

Fratty,

Been watching your posts and picking my spots. Real kind of you to help folks out the way you are. I've been doing this a long time but certainly would never claim to be an expert. Might be worth your looking at that Notre Dame/Pitt game. The line is up to -7 but Brian Kelly is a good coach and after seeing the Irish dismantle Mich. St. last week I believe they may have gotten their groove back. A number less than 7 even on the road seems attractive. Only concern is weather which shows rain right now. That would favor the Pitt rushing attack.

[FrattyCapper22]

Good thread to follow here. What do you think of Ga Tech ? I think they could pound UNC.

That's actually my highest lean right now. Will probably end up being a play

[FrattyCapper22]

On LSU also....Betting SEC teams (preferably west and not Auburn or Ole Miss) in big non-conference games will win you more than you lose.

But I got a question for you fratty... I'm an SEC guy too (go to Auburn) and I hate to tell you I bet Miss State under 8 -130. Do you have any insight on how you think this will turn out? You think I should let it ride or maybe throw a hedge when they play georgia? I always lean SEC west over east... but I honestly don't know if y'all will get it together.. What do you think bro?

I really think we will turn it around. I mean we haven't even really played terrible yet. We started about how you would expect a young defense with a new coordinator to start. No offense to you of course, but I really feel like we outplayed Auburn and should have taken that game. I feel we our defense is turning around as well (only giving up one TD to LSU). It really sucks that our O-line is banged up right now because it is throwing our offense for a loop right now. We will see how we respond this weekend, and then we will have a better idea of how the season will turn out.

[FrattyCapper22]

Fratty,

Been watching your posts and picking my spots. Real kind of you to help folks out the way you are. I've been doing this a long time but certainly would never claim to be an expert. Might be worth your looking at that Notre Dame/Pitt game. The line is up to -7 but Brian Kelly is a good coach and after seeing the Irish dismantle Mich. St. last week I believe they may have gotten their groove back. A number less than 7 even on the road seems attractive. Only concern is weather which shows rain right now. That would favor the Pitt rushing attack.

I really appreciate you stopping by and expressing how you feel. Means a lot man. As for the ND game, you nailed it on the head. The line looks great and I am still leaning them pretty hard, but not if its going to be a downpour. I feel that will be the difference in the game. If were going to see sunny skies, then I will probably make a play on ND. I really like them to turn their season around.

[FrattyCapper22]

Adding:

Cincinatti/NC State over 60 2.2 units to win 2

[Semper Fidelis]

Hey Fratty

What's going on man? I'm a new user to this site, though I've been following for a couple of years. I figured it's time to make a profile and actually contribute lol. I'm actually a student at UGA, and I had a couple of questions for you. First, do you bet on your Bulldogs at all? I bet on my Dawgs a lot last year, and feel like I may have jinxed them--the ones I bet we lost, and the ones I laid off we won lol. Just wanted to see how you approach the subject of betting on your own team. So far this year I haven't bet on us at all, though I really want to pound the -9.5 this weekend against a horrible Ole Miss team. I just wanted some objective advice, because we all know how easy it is to get carried away with your own team. I feel like there is absolutely no way we can lose, but there's no telling with my crazy Dawgs. Anyway, I've actually been pulling for Miss. State over the years, and they have certainly come a long way. I lost money last week on them, but I think it's safe to say we both expected that LSU game to be a little bit closer than what it was. I'll certainly be following/discussing plays with you in this thread. Good luck man.

[Semper Fidelis]

Good call on the over, I definitely tailed this one!

[Semper Fidelis]

I can't believe both teams just gave up after the third quarter!!! This should've covered!!! I HATE it when stupid shit like this happens... They both played pretty much the entire 4th quarter with 2nd and 3rd stringers!!! Sorry, I just had the over in a lot of parlays and teasers, and I hate getting ****** like this--it's not like it was a good, defensive game or anything. Damn it I had a feeling Cincy not getting a touchdown on that last drive and having to settle for a field goal would come back to **** us... Anyway, we should be able to make it all back this weekend.

[Keelo]

Tough loss. Was looking solid all game.

[mstone897]

You guys got Brock'd. Tough luck.

[Harry N. Lloyd]

Good call on the over, I definitely tailed this one!

Now that, my friends, is a rookie mistake......

[Semper Fidelis]

Actually I bet this game well before he posted. I suppose what I should have said was that I'm on that one as well. I've been following this forum for a couple of years, and though I may be a new member, I've been betting for several years. We had this one locked up, who knew they were going to play their reserves in the 4th? Oh well, we still have plenty of good games this weekend.

[FrattyCapper22]

What's going on man? I'm a new user to this site, though I've been following for a couple of years. I figured it's time to make a profile and actually contribute lol. I'm actually a student at UGA, and I had a couple of questions for you. First, do you bet on your Bulldogs at all? I bet on my Dawgs a lot last year, and feel like I may have jinxed them--the ones I bet we lost, and the ones I laid off we won lol. Just wanted to see how you approach the subject of betting on your own team. So far this year I haven't bet on us at all, though I really want to pound the -9.5 this weekend against a horrible Ole Miss team. I just wanted some objective advice, because we all know how easy it is to get carried away with your own team. I feel like there is absolutely no way we can lose, but there's no telling with my crazy Dawgs. Anyway, I've actually been pulling for Miss. State over the years, and they have certainly come a long way. I lost money last week on them, but I think it's safe to say we both expected that LSU game to be a little bit closer than what it was. I'll certainly be following/discussing plays with you in this thread. Good luck man.

I can't believe both teams just gave up after the third quarter!!! This should've covered!!! I HATE it when stupid shit like this happens... They both played pretty much the entire 4th quarter with 2nd and 3rd stringers!!! Sorry, I just had the over in a lot of parlays and teasers, and I hate getting ****** like this--it's not like it was a good, defensive game or anything. Damn it I had a feeling Cincy not getting a touchdown on that last drive and having to settle for a field goal would come back to **** us... Anyway, we should be able to make it all back this weekend.

Looking forward to having you on the forum, bud. As for betting on State, I do when I see value there. For example, before the bowl lines came out last year, I capped us at -10 favorites against Michigan. When the lines came out, we were only -6. I placed a 20 unit play (my biggest play of all last year) on my Dawgs and as you saw, covered very easy. Sometimes I do get the feeling that I am jinxing my team when I bet on them, so I don't bet too often. Usually when I do bet on them, I make sure I'm pretty confident. The only loss I have had on State since I have been betting was against Auburn this year. As for yall's game this week, I couldn't live with myself if I didn't make a play on yall. I absolutely despise Ole Miss and they are a terrible football team this year.

[FrattyCapper22]

You guys got Brock'd. Tough luck.

Amen to that.

[mstone897]

Fratty, Seeing if you have any insight on LaTech-MissSt for us? I lean MissSt -20 but as of now its a no play for me. From what I see Carmon is playing?

[FrattyCapper22]

Hey guys. Sorry for the late post, I just woke up.

Adding:
Notre Dame -7 2.62 units to win 2.5
Georgia Tech -7 2 units to win 2
Georgia -9.5 1.77 units to win 1.5

[k1ko]

you buy that half point on georgia?

[FrattyCapper22]

you buy that half point on georgia?

Yea. (-118)

[fecgp40]

I like the picks Fratty. I'm playing all of them myself (even before you posted.) Although I do tail you a lot of the time. GL today. What do you think of Florida - 20 at Kentucky? Logic says the Gators should POUND Kentucky... But SEC road game ya know...

[FrattyCapper22]

I like the picks Fratty. I'm playing all of them myself (even before you posted.) Although I do tail you a lot of the time. GL today. What do you think of Florida - 20 at Kentucky? Logic says the Gators should POUND Kentucky... But SEC road game ya know...

Yea...I'm still looking at lines for later but I do like that one for sure.

[k1ko]

Cool I'm tailing. I got the sense that Richt is playing for his job at this point (not that Nutt isn't either). He needs a good showing here and this would be the game to do it. I think its safe to say Ole Miss is the weakest in the conference after their showing last week.

[fecgp40]

I ended up taking the Gators over 17 in the first half. I might come back later and take the Gators for - 20 also.

[FrattyCapper22]

I ended up taking the Gators over 17 in the first half. I might come back later and take the Gators for - 20 also.

I like it. Seems almost too easy

[Go State]

On Notre Dame and Georgia Tech with ya also just got on Tech -2.5 in the second half outside of the first drive UNC has not been able to move the ball and if Tech doesnt turn the ball over I think they run away in the second half.

[fecgp40]

I like it. Seems almost too easy

Agreed. That's what worries me.

[mstone897]

Just remember guys, Florida has Bama next week. I'd beware of a back door with Florida possibly resting some guys late.

And as stated that's a lot of points for an SEC road team.

It's a no play for me even though I lean Florida.

[Semper Fidelis]

What's going on everbody? Looks like we're doing pretty well with our games today. I had Tech, and my Dawgs aren't looking too shabby, although Blair Walsh won't stop missing field goals!!! Was thinking about making a wager on the Hogs, just wanted to see what you all think about that one.

[zeron]

any picks for the late games, fratty?

[FrattyCapper22]

Hey guys. Sorry for the late post, I just woke up.

Adding:
LSU -6 3.85 units to win 3.5
Notre Dame -7 2.62 units to win 2.5
Georgia Tech -7 2 units to win 2 PUSH
Georgia -9.5 1.77 units to win 1.5

+2.5 units on the day!

[FrattyCapper22]

UPDATED RECORD

NCAAF
Straight up: 17-8-1 +11.67 units
Parlay: 4-2 +12.18 units
Teaser: 0-1 -1 unit
Total: +22.85 units

NFL
Straight up: 2-0 +3 units
Parlay: 1-0 +2.85 units
Total: +5.85 units

[BrewMaster]

Great work Fratty.

[FrattyCapper22]

NFL SUNDAY

Cardinals -3 2.2 units to win 2

Good luck everybody

[zeron]

Good luck

[FrattyCapper22]

NFL SUNDAY

Cardinals -3 2.2 units to win 2

Good luck everybody

Tough loss. Wisenhunt was pretty bad today. Oh well.