Cheme82's CFB plays for November

[Cheme82]

So far so good with the season about halfway done, let's keep it going!

These are my results this season broken down by sport:

CFB YTD
606-675-25 +283.46 units

NFL YTD
213-176-15 +80.94 units

MLB YTD
282-214-3 +78.74 units

NBA YTD
15-3-0 +30.42 units

Other November Threads:

NFL http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...ml#post7194255

MLB http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ostseason.html

NBA http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ml#post7194213

[Cheme82]

Saturday
11/6/2010

Army 7.5 -115 4.5
Clemson -2.5 -125 1.5
Duke 1.5 -105 1.5
Louisville 7.5 -115 1.5

Parlays
Georgia -45 and over 55 +250 5
Kentucky -47 and over 63 +250 4

GL

[Cheme82]

Boston College -2.5 -115 4
Navy 3.5 -115 5
Southern Miss -10 -105 1.5
LSU 7.5 -115 2
Fresno St. 3.5 -115 2
Marshall 10.5 -105 2

1st. Half
Tulane under 31.5 -105 5
Wake Forest under 24.5 -105 1.5
Florida State -6.5 -105 1
Boise St. -11.5 -105 2
Iowa St. under 28.5 -105 1
Utah under 25.5 -105 1

Parlay
Auburn -44 and over 74 +250 4

GL

[Cheme82]

Nevada -11 -105 1.
Oklahoma -2.5 -115 6.5
North Texas 10.5 -105 1.5
Texas -2.5 -125 5
UTEP 7.5 -115 4
Arizona St. 7.5 -135 1.5

Parlay
Mississippi -29.5 and over 64 +250 3

GL

[Cheme82]

Results:
18-8-0 +9.48 units

YTD
624-683-25 +292.94 units

[jolmscheid]

Ah I see you got some correlated parlays goin' on Cheme....this is where I wish I had a book where I could do that...

[jolmscheid]

And your unit size is 1% of your roll correct? Thanks again...keep on rollin' along in all sports!

[Cheme82]

Yeah bro, each unit is 1% of the bankroll, the CP's went 1-3 +1.25 units so most of the profit came from full-game wagers.

[Cheme82]

N. Ill 1st. H under 26 -105 2

GL

[Dexter]

wow.....you're doing great in all sports. good job cheme..

[Marigold HD]

N. Ill 1st. H under 26 -105 2

GL

ouch...damn

[Cheme82]

wow.....you're doing great in all sports. good job cheme..

Thanks bro, hope you are doing well too.

ouch...damn

I know dude, that first quarter looked great but Toledo sucks big time!

[Cheme82]

Results:
0-1-0 -2.10units

YTD
624-684-25 +290.84 units

[Cheme82]

Wednesday
11/10/2010
Bowling Green 3.5 -115 10

GL

[Cheme82]

Results:
1-0-0 +10 units

YTD
625-684-25 +300.84 units

[chilidog]

Awesome, awesome, yet again

I've been studying the hell out of the halfpoint calculator today. I'm still not 100% there yet, but I'll get the hang of it. The only part that is giving me trouble is when you scroll down to see buying additional points, the values that you input up top keep changing, so I'm not matching up yet with the values that you're getting. But I'll get it figured out. I like what you've came up - awesome idea

[Cheme82]

The values on top change because they always read the values for the value in the middle. The calculator has 7 rows, the values on top will always show the 4th. row so when you scroll up or down, the values change. It is confusing at first but after you input the beginning values you really shouldn't worry about what the top part shows, just the windows where you will put in the lines you can get.

[chilidog]

The values on top change because they always read the values for the value in the middle. The calculator has 7 rows, the values on top will always show the 4th. row so when you scroll up or down, the values change. It is confusing at first but after you input the beginning values you really shouldn't worry about what the top part shows, just the windows where you will put in the lines you can get.

Thanks

It's finally clicked for me - at least for nba/cbb. I'll take a look at the other sports in a little bit, and see if I can replicate the picks that you made. I'm anxious to try this tomorrow and see if I come up with the same as you, since we're both using a local and getting -105 juice with 10 cent 1/2 points.

At what time of the day do you find it's better to do this? Is there any benefit to doing it a few hours before gametime, as opposed to doing it in the morning?

[Cheme82]

I like to do it as late as possible to ensure I beat Pinny's closing line. Sometimes I do them earlier because I have to go to school but by doing it as close to game-time as possible you make sure that you almost always are beating the closing line at Pinnacle. Also I don't know how your local works but mine sends the lines 1 hour before game-time and you can see a couple of games change in that hour so you obviously are getting a couple of extra half-points or points by doing that.

[chilidog]

Heh, my local uses the exact same software as the SBR sportsbook uses - the interface is exactly the same, and his lines are exactly the same, except I get -105. But the spreads are exactly the same. He has more options to bet than the sbr book, like quarters, halves, etc. But like, for instance, a few of the games for tomorrow are already available for me to bet on.

[Cheme82]

Can you bet CP's? How about CP's for halves and quarters?

[chilidog]

Can you bet CP's? How about CP's for halves and quarters?

Never tried doing a CP, so I have no clue.

[Cheme82]

Why wouldn't you try it? They are one of the main reasons I'm up so much this season. I was hammering the full game, 1st. Half, and 1st. Q on both sides. Then I slowed down and only played one side but covered the other side with straight bets at -105, then he said no more halves and quarter bets unless he sends out the lines (which is very seldom for halves and never for quarters).

[thebestthereis]

i have all the lines but -110, not sure why your local would offer -105, dope

i got the calculator down, but need a crew of people to save time

[Cheme82]

I give him so much action I asked for reduced juice a couple of years ago and it's been like that ever since. It saves me a shitload of $.

The calculator takes some time to master. After a while you will get faster on it and will also "see" lines that won't give you any value even when buying points so you skip those. When I started this year it was taking me about 3 hours to look at a full card on Saturday but as I got better and my betting opportunities got limited that number has gone way down.

[chilidog]

I give him so much action I asked for reduced juice a couple of years ago and it's been like that ever since. It saves me a shitload of $.

The calculator takes some time to master. After a while you will get faster on it and will also "see" lines that won't give you any value even when buying points so you skip those. When I started this year it was taking me about 3 hours to look at a full card on Saturday but as I got better and my betting opportunities got limited that number has gone way down.

Same with my local, except I never asked for it. I was at standard -110 lines, and one day I logged in, and suddenly I was on -105 lines. Been that way ever since.

I'm pretty sure that I'm doing it right with the calculator now; thanks for all of your help! I had trouble getting to sleep last night, because my mind was traveling 1000 miles an hour, heh. I guess it's that rush. Anyway, I'm already seeing some opportunities for tonight, but not going to put any bets in or anything until about an hour before game time. I do have a question though. On tonight's NFL game, the calc is showing that by buying 3 points with Baltimore, giving you +4, that the edge is 3.56%. Do you usually buy the points in NFL, or just basketball?

[Cheme82]

I started doing this with CFB and then NFL. Look at the threads that I have for those sports. Moving through 3 in the NFL at 10 cents per hook creates a HUGE edge.

[Cheme82]

Thursday
11/11/2010
East Carolina 3.5 -135 2.6

GL

[Cheme82]

Results:
1-0-0 +2.6 units

YTD
626-684-25 +303.44 units

[chilidog]

Now just gotta finish out this lakers game to make it an overall profitable night

[Cheme82]

Yeah, I'm up $5.50 so far for the night because that Miami game really hurt. Need Denver to make a run.

[jolmscheid]

Way to go Cheme...keep it rolling. Cheme or Chili...if I can get 2 points for -150, would that be good value you think? Thanks for all the help.

[thebestthereis]

jolm check the calculator it will depend on numbers i believe. i am sure some games it will matter but the number 3 is more significant through certain numbers vs the price you are paying for it

[chilidog]

Yah jolm, you really need to check the calculator on that one to see what your edge is. the plays are hitting at a remarkable rate without buying points, but that could just be coincidence as well.

[jolmscheid]

Thanks guys...any real trick to know which spreads and totals will most likely have an edge? Or do you enter ALL of them in? Thanks!