Midd. Tenn. St. a 3point fav. against Troy

swagger · 10-05-10, 02:11 PM

I'm seeing 57% on the over at 5Dimes. Public is on the over

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by chanellygurl

most places i check seems to be everyone on the under?????

Really?? The sites that I have seen show the public on the Over between 60 - 70%. Are you just looking on the forums? Just because they're saying they like the Over doesn't mean they're throwing down the cash.

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by swagger

I'm seeing 57% on the over at 5Dimes. Public is on the over

aman86 · 10-05-10, 02:20 PM

Mtsu it is!

chrisharvard01 · 10-05-10, 02:21 PM

dont think so chenello gurl. Roughly 64% of public is on OVER.

TakeIt · 10-05-10, 02:21 PM

amazing analysis in this thread. public is on this so i am on that. books want you to do this, so i'll do that.

if only it were that easy. the books could give a shit who you bet as long as they get their piece.

good luck with your coin flipping.

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by TakeIt

amazing analysis in this thread. public is on this so i am on that. books want you to do this, so i'll do that.

if only it were that easy. the books could give a shit who you bet as long as they get their piece.

good luck with your coin flipping.

Check the betting trends......you'll see why we're talking about the Under. It's not just about "who's on this-who's on that". It does help though. Fading the public IS a profitable method in the long run by the way.

BL · 10-05-10, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by TakeIt

amazing analysis in this thread. public is on this so i am on that. books want you to do this, so i'll do that.

if only it were that easy. the books could give a shit who you bet as long as they get their piece.

good luck with your coin flipping.

You didn't understand this right. It's not that easy.. It's not to fact a line is moving or not moving, the key is to know WHY it is moving.
MTENN already opened as a 3point fav what is a bit too much with normal calculations. make me think Vegas is seing MTENN as a bigger fav here.
Add all those facts written in this thread and the doublerevenge-factor with MTENN having their QB back and understand why I am on MTENN.
There's nothing like a sure bet or something like that. I just capped MTENN to be the play here.

BOL whatever u are playing

swagger · 10-05-10, 02:30 PM

Yep! us be just a bunch of coin flippers. dont mind us

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by TakeIt

amazing analysis in this thread. public is on this so i am on that. books want you to do this, so i'll do that.

if only it were that easy. the books could give a shit who you bet as long as they get their piece.

good luck with your coin flipping.

"the books could give a shit who you bet as long as they get their piece."

What the hell are you smoking??? (Give me some!)

The books do give a shit who you bet on. Call up a book and ask them if you can place a special $25k wager on a team, they'll deny your ass if they know you picked the right side. Like I said, they DO give a shit who you bet on. That's the whole purpose of moving the line!

Did you hear that?? I just heard Cris Carter and Keyshawn in the background say.........C'Mon Man!!

og4667 · 10-05-10, 02:41 PM

heads Troy, Tails MTSU........Tails........MTSU it is.

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by og4667

heads Troy, Tails MTSU........Tails........MTSU it is.

Solid system! That's gotta be hittin' 82% over the past 20 years!

Spartan14745 · 10-05-10, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by og4667

heads Troy, Tails MTSU........Tails........MTSU it is.

I beleive the Coin Flip System is also hitting 102% on Troy/Midd Tenn St games played at Midd Tenn St over the past 7 years 4 months!

og4667 · 10-05-10, 02:53 PM

yea its pretty in depth system, but over the years I have perfected it.

TakeIt · 10-05-10, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by Spartan14745

Fading the public IS a profitable method in the long run by the way.

nonsense. there is no evidence of that whatsoever. (if you have evidence of that, go ahead and show it, but i'm not holding my breath.) i've researched thousands of games, and looked at thousands of data points. in a vacuum, fading the public neither shows a profit or a loss.

that's why there's a pointspread--that's why you have to lay 11/10. it takes care of everything.

JamesBrown · 10-05-10, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by TakeIt

nonsense. there is no evidence of that whatsoever. (if you have evidence of that, go ahead and show it, but i'm not holding my breath.) i've researched thousands of games, and looked at thousands of data points. in a vacuum, fading the public neither shows a profit or a loss.

that's why there's a pointspread--that's why you have to lay 11/10. it takes care of everything.

"Sports Investing: Profiting from Point Spreads" the following has been documented when fading the public:

2003-2009
NFL - 56% winning percentage
College Football - 57% winning percentage
NBA - 54% winning percentage
College Basketball - 52.5% winning percentage

Take this for what it's worth. Personally I'm on MTSU because I feel they have the advantage in both skill and the home field.

Wilforth · 10-05-10, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

i looked at the other side.. no I can't give you a reason
Troy can hold MT, but I think they will outscore them. They have a more
proven offensive squad. The only reason I didn't take the points is
it's going to be a high scoring game, 3 points may not matter and
the extra 60% payout for them to win is worth going Troy ML.

rybread9 · 10-05-10, 04:20 PM

2 Team 6pt teaser. Troy +9 and Under 69.

Lazyboy311 · 10-05-10, 04:26 PM

Under seems to be the only logical play here. 3-0 last 3. Line movement +3.5pts (59.5 to 63) created a bit of value. Also, new MTSU QB may be a stud, but he's still gonna have a bit of rust and my guess is he tries a bit too hard and creates 1-2 key turnovers that keep this under.

By no means an exhaustive write-up, and definately NOT a "strong" play...but IMHO it seems to be the "most-safe" side on this one.

BOL all regardless

gtboy · 10-05-10, 04:28 PM

like M tenn to win tonight. 2 unit -3. gl

brock · 10-05-10, 04:29 PM

To hard to pick a side. May take the over and
make a play on the second half.

Gundog · 10-05-10, 06:29 PM

mts IS THE SHARP PLAY TONIGHT.

BL · 10-05-10, 07:23 PM

Dasher is injured and out. Congrats Troy backers

falconticket · 10-05-10, 07:25 PM

Not over bud

yisman · 10-05-10, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by Spartan14745

I'm fading the public on this one and taking the Under. Bought the half point for U 63 but with the way the public has been betting it looks like this line might jump up another .5 or 1 point before kickoff. GL!!

don't buy points on totals, especially not really high ones.

Spartan14745 · 10-06-10, 07:55 AM

Wow, that whole coin flip system really did work. Always great to be on the winning side!