EP36's Hot Tub Time Slot Machine

[EaglesPhan36]

[9/30] BYU RB J.J. Luigi Total Receptions Over 2.5 [-145]
Luigi remains a great option out of the backfield for BYU and also should be lining up as a receiver at times. With Utah State having a pair of pretty experienced corners, Heaps could do plenty of checking down tonight. Luigi has only had two catches in each of the last two games, but had three and five in the first two games. He caught 5 vs. Utah State last season.

[EaglesPhan36]

[2nd Half] Utah State-BYU Over 25.5 [-110]
Both teams have shown some ability to move the ball and Utah State has shown the big play ability that could see scores at any minute. Through the season so far, both have shown the ability to score and yield points in the 2nd half.

[EaglesPhan36]

Meh. Big bag of suck.

[EaglesPhan36]

Moving day. Either I go broke or get close to even damn it.

[10/1] Texas Tech-Kansas Over 66.5 [-103]
The much maligned KU defense gets no break here. This squad has given up 108 points in the past two weeks and now faces pass-happy Tech. The Red Raiders haven't scored less than 35 and have three games of 45 points or more already. Their own defense has shown some chinks in the armor with the opposition able to gauge them on the ground especially. That should yield some points for KU who has shown balance, averaging over 200 yards on the ground and through the air. This should be a Big 12 shootout.

[EaglesPhan36]

1st one went perfecto for the win. Gotta keep on, keepin' on.

[2nd Half] Arizona-USC Over 29 [+103]
Barkley has nearly 300 yards passing in the 1st half. Arizona cannot stop them. Wildcats will have to continue to try and keep pace offensively to stay in the game.

[EaglesPhan36]

[7pm ET]

Hawaii-Louisiana Tech Over 58 [-110]
Hawaii's offense has been pretty consistent with 30+ point efforts in three of four. Tech has struggled to stop the pass, so that should bode well for Hawaii putting up points. The Bulldogs should be able to attack a leaky defense from Hawaii that has scuffled on the road, giving up 80 points in two games.

Washington +10 [-110]
The Huskies biggest question is can their defense get enough stops? Utah is a solid club, but ten points seems a lot even on the road for a talented UW unit.

[EaglesPhan36]

[2nd Half] Nebraska-Wisconsin Over 28 [-105]
Huskers have proven to be a big 2nd half club this season and are having to chase here down by 13. Wisconsin looks like they can score however much they want in this game and this is statement time.

[EaglesPhan36]

[10:30pm ET]

Arizona State RB Cameron Marshall Total Rushing Yards Over 82.5 [-115]
If ASU takes care of business and builds a lead, Marshall should tote the rock plenty to give this a great shot. Oregon State is giving up over 160 rushing yards per game this season.

[EaglesPhan36]

2011 Record: 17-20-1 [-4.63]

[10/6] Western Kentucky-Middle Tennessee State Over 53.5 [-105]
Two subpar defenses here that are allowing 30+ pts per game. MTSU definitely has the multi-faceted offense to take advantage. WKU wants to run the ball first and foremost and should be able to do that as MTSU is allowing 220 yards per game on the ground. And even though their passing game is not dynamic, MTSU struggles defensively in that area as well so it should come down to whether or not these teams can finish drives with points.

[gilbert91016]

Any NHL picks for tonight EP?

[EaglesPhan36]

Nah. I like to wait about a week to see how teams get out of the gate before I start working on things.

[EaglesPhan36]

[10/6] California RB Isi Sofele Total Carries Over 15.5 [-115]
If Cal is going to keep the game close with Oregon, they must run effectively and Sofele is the man there. He has at least 17 carries in all four Cal games. Teams have had success running on Oregon, so I expect Cal to at least give it enough effort to let Sofele work past this #.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well pulled out the over, but it looks like Cal has reached freak out stage and abandoned what worked best for them all-night, the run. 11 carries, but down 14 ... getting five seems unlikely here.

[EaglesPhan36]

2011 Record: 18-21-1 [-4.78]

[10/7] Fresno State-Boise State Over 58 [-105]
Expect Fresno State to make a better account of themselves at home this year in this one after last year's 51-0 drubbing on the road on the Smurf Turf. The Bulldogs have adequate weapons on offense with Carr @ QB, Rouse @ RB and Jalen Sanders @ WR. They have scored in the 20s at least in each game. Boise looked a little flat against Nevada last week. I expect on national TV, they will turn it up a notch tonight. Anything less than 40 for them against this defense is disgraceful after Fresno allowed Ole Miss to burn them for 38. Moore should put up good #s and I think Doug Martin really rips it up on the ground.

[EaglesPhan36]

[10/8]

12:00pm ET: Georgia Tech-Maryland Over 63 [-105]

7:00pm ET: Baylor-Iowa State Over 64 [-105]

[EaglesPhan36]

[3:30pm ET] Arizona Team Total Over 31 [-105]
The Wildcats have been able to put up points this season, their problem has been stopping foes. Nick Foles has 14 TD passes and this offense has been solid at red zone execution with 16 scores in 20 trips. The Cats have scored 31 or better in three of their five games this season, including two straight against USC & Oregon. OSU's defensive numbers against the pass a are a little misleading as Wisconsin was in cruise mode & UCLA used the run mostly. This will be their 2nd straight test. They tallied two picks against ASU last week, but the Sun Devils still put up 35 in part because their QB turned it over four times. Arizona gives up enough on D that this could be a scorefest where their O again needs to put up points. In any case, they should be able to do plenty against the Beavers if they can keep the turnovers down.

[EaglesPhan36]

2011 Record: 20-23-1 [-4.88]

[10/13] USC-California Over 58 [-110]
Cal will be down a corner tonight against Barkley and Woods who owned this defense in last year's game. Barkley and the aerial attack are absolutely en fuego right now, chewing up well over 300 yards per game. The Trojans are putting up gaudy numbers on offense with 48 last week against Arizona. Cal's D has been ripped apart in successive weeks by Oregon and Washington. That will force Zach Maynard and Co. on offense get it done against what appears to be a soft USC defense. Could be a game of whomever has the ball last in what should be a good display of offense.

[EaglesPhan36]

[10/13] San Diego State RB Ronnie Hillman Total Rushing Yards Over 123.5 [-115]
Hillman is one of the keys cogs if not the key cog in this Aztecs' offense. He should be licking his chops to get back on track after a couple of subpar weeks against TCU & Michigan. Air Force is allowing well over 200+ yards on the ground per game and he burned them for 194 in last year's meeting. Air Force is still without at least half their normal starting D-line tonight, plus injuries at LB and DB. As long as SDST can keep this game close or ahead where the running game is key, Hillman should have a great shot to put up some big numbers.

[rochestertitans]

119.5 at 5d

[EaglesPhan36]

Even better hoss. 57 in the 1st Q. Good start.

[EaglesPhan36]

Hillman 57 yd. TD run to cash that sucka!

[EaglesPhan36]

2011 Record: 21-24-1 [-4.98]

[10/14] San Jose State QB Matt Faulkner Total Completions Over 22.5 [-115]
Faulkner has completed at least 24 passes in each of the three games since he became the full time starter. He should have a chance to pass plenty tonight with Hawaii likely to put up points on a weak Spartans secondary. San Jose State will try to establish the run with Ridley, but Hawaii has been pretty solid against the run which should make Faulkner and the passing game a big part of the attack. Give me 37 attempts or more and I'll take my chances here.

[mattyheisman]

I wish picks counted lol

[EaglesPhan36]

Saturday, October 15th

[12:00pm ET] Texas A&M-Baylor Over 75 [-105]
A massive number, but this is the Big 12 and offense rules. Neither team is worth a damn stopping the pass which happens to be a strength for both offenses. A&M has allowed 40+ points the past two weeks, while scoring 37 or better in four of five overall. The Bears haven't scored less than 35 all season and have allowed the opposition too much room to operate both in the passing and running games. Lackluster offenses have all scored close to or their season highs in points against this BU defense. A potent one like A&M should have no trouble getting 40 as long as drives are finished and red zone turnovers avoided.

[3:30pm ET] UTEP-Tulane Over 57 [-105]
Two solid offenses that average in the upper 20s in points against two defenses that struggle to stop anyone. UTEP is giving up almost 33 ppg and over 200 yards passing and rushing. Tulane gives up 34 ppg. Tulane has given up 30+ in five of six. UTEP has given up 101 points over the past two weeks.

[EaglesPhan36]

No shit Matty. Good thing is with Hawaii getting back up, they should be throwing still. Needs 5 more.

[EaglesPhan36]

Only need one more completion now.

[EaglesPhan36]

Woo hoo hoo. Last completion probably the last play for San Jose State.

[EaglesPhan36]

[2nd Half] Colorado-Washington Over 26 [-120]
Huskies were perfect, scoring on all six drives - five were TDs. Colorado did not do much, but put up ten points off of two good scoring drives. This wreaks of garbage football in the 4th quarter, but UW should put up more points here and I think the Buffs are better than they have shown with the Huskies' defense not as good as shown in the 1st half.

[EaglesPhan36]

[7:00pm ET] Kansas State-Texas Tech Over 60 [-105]
Kansas State's defense has been good, but this is a dynamic passing offense that they are facing in Tech tonight. The Red Raiders have yet to score less than 35 and have topped 40 in five games. K-State's biggest defensive test was Baylor whom they allowed to score 35. They did hold Missouri to 17 last week. Tech's defense has been very poor against the run which is the biggest strength of K-State's offense. Tech has allowed three straight games of 34 or more points.

[9:15pm ET] Oklahoma-Kansas Over 72 [-105]
Another Big 12 Over as this sniffs of blowout. KU gave up a ton of points to Okie State last week early and 70 in all. Texas Tech ripped them for 45. Georgia Tech crushed them for 66. You get the idea, OU should hang at least 50 on this team and I would not be surprised if they score in the 60s. KU has proven decent enough on offense to score 24+ in every game. If they hit that mark or just reach 20 here, I think the Sooners will do the rest. Big total, but again with the defense on the field in KU this should have an excellent shot.

[ncsubowen]

28 in the 4th excellent call.

[EaglesPhan36]

[2nd Half] UL-Monroe/Troy Over 27 [-115]
Three times in the 1st half these teams moved the ball deep into the other's territory only to turn it over on downs. There should be more points than six on the board here. Plenty of plays being run here, just a matter of the teams finishing off drives with points. I'll take the shot that they do so in the 2nd half.


.... Also, booking OU-KU now @ 71. Waited to see if it would drift any and it did.

[EaglesPhan36]

[10:00pm ET] Utah State-Fresno State Over 62 [-105]
Utah State has been churning yards on the ground and points on the scoreboard so far this season. They average 42 ppg and have scored at least 34 points in four of fave. They face a Fresno squad looking for redemption after Boise squashed them with ease, 57-7 last week. The Bulldogs have struggled to stop the run and have given up 34 or more in four of six. Their offense was completely shut down by a stout Boise D, but figured to rebound some at home this week. Utah State is giving up 28 ppg and has seen OVERs hit in four of their five games this season.

[EaglesPhan36]

The last two full games totals - OU/KU and Utah St/Fresno really hurt. Thought I was getting over the hump today with a great day and it winds up being just barely over .500. Still can't believe OU had three trips inside the five where they came away with six damn points.

[jsmithj88]

The last two full games totals - OU/KU and Utah St/Fresno really hurt. Thought I was getting over the hump today with a great day and it winds up being just barely over .500. Still can't believe OU had three trips inside the five where they came away with six damn points.

that was embarasssssssing

[EaglesPhan36]

10.20.11: [2nd Half] UCF-UAB Over 24 [-110]
Both teams rolling up and down the field. Would be even more points without turnovers. Think it keeps going in the 2nd half.