MIT Guys 2010 NCAA PICKS

cowboy25 · 09-21-10, 08:49 PM

If you notice the 5 teams at the bottom of the lists are 13-2 so far while the 5 at the top are 7-8

Gino Simms · 09-21-10, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by cowboy25

If you notice the 5 teams at the bottom of the lists are 13-2 so far while the 5 at the top are 7-8

I noticed the same trend last week. Week 3 made it more noticeable.

cowboy25 · 09-21-10, 09:03 PM

Ill probably go heavy on the bottom teams this week and then some small parlay with the top ones.

poochiecollins · 09-21-10, 09:19 PM

Originally posted by WorkHorse

20-10 (66.6%) "It's a marathon....not a sprint." Sad some people don't understand that. I'm with the MIT boys for the season. Thanks Gavin for passing along the games.

I believe the picks are 6-6 on the NFL too. Fairly small sample size so far, so we'll see.

matthewsg · 09-22-10, 07:32 AM

Originally posted by cakasmaloy

How did these plays finish last year?

Can't remember the exact numbers from last year. System started out slow and got better as the season went along. Was kind of expecting the same this year, and thus did not play the early weeks. Seems whatever tweaks Gav's crew made have helped. Hopefully it will continue to gain steam like it did last season.

hubie69 · 09-22-10, 08:01 AM

BOL Gavin, I would still like to know how MIT formulates these, google has not been of much help.

Aussiecapper101 · 09-22-10, 08:06 AM

Good Luck guys! I got ripped off with a few lines but oh well here goes

Quickbuck? · 09-22-10, 04:51 PM

What do you guys think?

Should I still get on these plays?

UNLV -11
UTEP -11.5

HOOKEMcnh · 09-22-10, 04:56 PM

I stayed away from those two, But I did get Buffalo at +20

wake14 · 09-22-10, 06:22 PM

love florida.. and oregon

poochiecollins · 09-22-10, 09:29 PM

Originally posted by matthewsg

Can't remember the exact numbers from last year. System started out slow and got better as the season went along. Was kind of expecting the same this year, and thus did not play the early weeks. Seems whatever tweaks Gav's crew made have helped. Hopefully it will continue to gain steam like it did last season.

Are you able to get a little more specific?

Aussiecapper101 · 09-22-10, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by Quickbuck?

What do you guys think?

Should I still get on these plays?

UNLV -11
UTEP -11.5

Such a big line movement my advice would be to stay away but saying that I couldnt help but take them anyway lol

An0us0nE · 09-23-10, 01:02 AM

new week baby...ecu last week screw me BIG

Aussiecapper101 · 09-23-10, 01:38 AM

Me 2 man, then I got stung with Philly in the NFL

Mr. Jones · 09-23-10, 09:56 AM

Thanks Gavin. Think I'll get on board the train this week.

gavin · 09-24-10, 07:29 AM

follow at your on discretion!

matthewsg · 09-24-10, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by poochiecollins

Are you able to get a little more specific?

PM me if you want the link. It was on another forum and I'm not going to post that here. Basically the system started out slow and was 12-18 after 3 weeks (3-7 in week 2). After a few 50% weeks, it went 47-33 from weeks 8-15, having only one losing week (4-6 in week 11). The last two weeks before bowls it was 14-6 (weeks 14, 15). Minus a couple pushes and the system hit at 53-54%. Those numbers show a break-even type system, but the wins picked up as the season went along.

Playing the top picks vs. the lower rated ones went on runs as well, so people should not get caught up in playing/fading the top or bottom. For the most part the higher rated picks won and the lower rated plays lost. The top pick itself started 1-5 before going on a 5-0 run. Here is a quote from a member of the other forum on 11/18/09.... "I just joined the forum but been reading since the begining of the football season. I've been following and tracking your MIT picks, and they are the most consistant picks. I've noticed a pattern; play the 61% and up, fade the 60% and under. My instincts told me to jump on it from week 6, but didnt listen. It rocked with 3 weeks at 7-3 and 2 weeks at 8-2! I played 2 4-team parlays; both went 3-1. Week 11 I did a 10-team, 6-team and 4-team parlay; the 4 teamer almost hit! I know the 10 picks are gonna hit! Keep up the good work." There were other trends like this, but the sample is too small to give alot of credence to such.

As is the case this year, Gavin simply gave the picks and stayed out of the drama, etc. He never claimed they were God's gift to sportsbetting. If his crew really did tweak the system, and the results continue to rise, I think it is a useful tool.

Aussiecapper101 · 09-24-10, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by matthewsg

PM me if you want the link. It was on another forum and I'm not going to post that here. Basically the system started out slow and was 12-18 after 3 weeks (3-7 in week 2). After a few 50% weeks, it went 47-33 from weeks 8-15, having only one losing week (4-6 in week 11). The last two weeks before bowls it was 14-6 (weeks 14, 15). Minus a couple pushes and the system hit at 53-54%. Those numbers show a break-even type system, but the wins picked up as the season went along.

Playing the top picks vs. the lower rated ones went on runs as well, so people should not get caught up in playing/fading the top or bottom. For the most part the higher rated picks won and the lower rated plays lost. The top pick itself started 1-5 before going on a 5-0 run. Here is a quote from a member of the other forum on 11/18/09.... "I just joined the forum but been reading since the begining of the football season. I've been following and tracking your MIT picks, and they are the most consistant picks. I've noticed a pattern; play the 61% and up, fade the 60% and under. My instincts told me to jump on it from week 6, but didnt listen. It rocked with 3 weeks at 7-3 and 2 weeks at 8-2! I played 2 4-team parlays; both went 3-1. Week 11 I did a 10-team, 6-team and 4-team parlay; the 4 teamer almost hit! I know the 10 picks are gonna hit! Keep up the good work." There were other trends like this, but the sample is too small to give alot of credence to such.

As is the case this year, Gavin simply gave the picks and stayed out of the drama, etc. He never claimed they were God's gift to sportsbetting. If his crew really did tweak the system, and the results continue to rise, I think it is a useful tool.

Great info

WorkHorse · 09-24-10, 11:01 AM

Good post Matt.

Ever notice that Gavin doesn't beg others for points.

WIZARDOFBEANTOWN · 09-24-10, 03:16 PM

good luck gavin

nebraskasux · 09-25-10, 12:55 AM

Thanks again Gavin, good luck to everyone this week

Aussiecapper101 · 09-25-10, 03:13 AM

Cant believe they stuffed the extra point kick in the TCU game and screwed us. We got done by the hook

big night tonight though lets get it

gavin · 09-25-10, 10:17 AM

Alabama -7 (65.23%)

Notre Dame +4.5 (64.02%)

Florida -13.5 (60.76%)

TCU -17.5 (57.31%)

Virginia Tech -4 (57.22%)

Colorado St +7.5 (55.13%)

Buffalo +18 (55.09%)

UTEP -9.5 (54.98%)

UNLV -7.5 (53.36%)

Georgia +1.5 (51.55%)

gavin · 09-25-10, 02:08 PM

Alabama -7 (65.23%)

Notre Dame +4.5 (64.02%)

Florida -13.5 (60.76%)

TCU -17.5 (57.31%)

Virginia Tech -4 (57.22%)

Colorado St +7.5 (55.13%)

Buffalo +18 (55.09%)

UTEP -9.5 (54.98%)

UNLV -7.5 (53.36%)

Georgia +1.5 (51.55%)

Aussiecapper101 · 09-25-10, 02:46 PM

cant believe how much unlucky sh*t Ive seen in this thread, bad luck gavin Buffalo should have scored then surely.. Im gonna have to stay away from these. GL with your plays

oakmount · 09-25-10, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by gavin

Alabama -7 (65.23%)

Notre Dame +4.5 (64.02%)

Florida -13.5 (60.76%)

TCU -17.5 (57.31%)

Virginia Tech -4 (57.22%)

Colorado St +7.5 (55.13%)

Buffalo +18 (55.09%)

UTEP -9.5 (54.98%)

UNLV -7.5 (53.36%)

Georgia +1.5 (51.55%)

These picks are so good, think it's ok to buy them to a better #, TCU ...

DangerousOne · 09-25-10, 02:54 PM

I appreciate the feed Gavin

paste_me · 09-25-10, 06:18 PM

i tailed today just for a lil bit (1/2 unit each), just giving you guys a recap

Alabama -7 (65.23%)

Notre Dame +4.5 (64.02%)

Florida -13.5 (60.76%)

TCU -17.5 (57.31%)

Virginia Tech -4 (57.22%)

Colorado St +7.5 (55.13%)

Buffalo +18 (55.09%)

UTEP -9.5 (54.98%)

UNLV -7.5 (53.36%)

Georgia +1.5 (51.55%)

still a lot of games left

gavin · 09-25-10, 06:20 PM

not a good day so far, i know alot of you did some teasers etc, hopefully on the good side....who knows might be able to salvage!

paste_me · 09-25-10, 06:21 PM

delete

NB · 09-25-10, 06:23 PM

locked in with SC @ +2.5

gavin · 09-25-10, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by NB

locked in with SC @ +2.5

gonna jump on that too

WIZARDOFBEANTOWN · 09-25-10, 07:59 PM

ya i'm on them 5x go carolina !! gavin i went 7-1 on 3 pm games buddy but 4-4 on the 12pm's still +38 going into tonight i think i went 12-5 so far buddy and i now a lot of our picks are the same !!good luck tonight buddy !!

Joe Sharp · 09-25-10, 08:24 PM

If the missed extra pt for Florida ends up being the difference I'll be sick to my stomach.

gavin · 09-25-10, 10:55 PM

I'm sorry to whoever tailed this week. I will give it a few more weeks and see what comes of it. Best of luck tomorrow. Maybe we can get this turned around. Gav