Oregon vs Indiana CFP Semifinal Picks & Discussion

SBR Andy · 2026-01-06T15:06:57+00:00

SBR's Rob Paul is going with the Hoosiers on the NCAAF Picks page:

Indiana -4 (-112)
"Indiana beat Oregon by 10 in Autzen Stadium and is 4-0 ATS against ranked teams this season. With the Heisman-winner at QB and a top-three defense, the Hoosiers are poised for another decisive win."

Fred The Hammer · 2026-01-07T05:17:20+00:00

I can't believe its still only +3.5 with Davison out? 15 TDs and avg 7.4 per carry vs Indiana earlier. He's 30 lbs bigger then their other RBs and that power can't be replaced.

I already liked Indiana since Mendoza is pinpoint right now and the Ducks offense didn't look that great vs Texas Tech. I watched every Indiana game and I think Iowa & Ohio State both have a better secondary. We had guys open vs the Ducks earlier and they had 4 PI calls too. One obvious PI 2Q on 3rd down that wasn't called or they probably score more then 30. Indiana is just too experienced and much more mistake free then Oregon. Better QB & Coach.

Indiana 31-16

SBR Andy · 2026-01-07T17:06:53+00:00

SBR's Mike Spector thinks the Ducks can hang and has 2 plays posted on the NCAAF Picks page.

Oregon +3.5 (-105)
"While Indiana completely dismantled Alabama 38-3 in the quarterfinals, the truth is that the Crimson Tide had been trending downward for a month. Few are seemingly giving Oregon as much credit for a dominating 23-0 win over Texas Tech, as the Red Raiders had allowed 23 combined points in its four games prior. Texas Tech also entered with the best explosive play differential in the country (plus-81)."

Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza Under 44.5 Longest Completion (-115)
"The Ducks secondary ranks sixth in yards per drop back allowed, and they held Mendoza to a long completion of 29 yards in the first meeting."

stevenash · 2026-01-07T17:18:24+00:00

^
I agree, and I don't want Oregon to win this game.