Thoughts on Cincy/Illinois

**tcarn01** · 11-25-09, 09:30 AM

yes, cincy rolls..

**babyanni** · 11-25-09, 09:33 AM

I hate juice williams but that spread is a bit high and they have the speed talent and size to stick with cincy.... i hate the zooker and juice going to be hard to trust them after being burned so much but that was them as chalk. $$$ on Juice again

**BigdaddyQH** · 11-25-09, 10:19 AM

We are talking about a line that started at -16.5 and now is -20 in most Vegas books. Cincinnati is playing at home and shold be able to score at will, however Cincinnati is only 5-4 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS in their last two games. Illinois started the season 0-5 ATS, then ran off 3 wins, before losing to Northwestern as an unbelieveable favorite in what was the worst line Vegas put out this year. Illinois is plaing a lot better ball than they did at the beginning of the year. Cincinnati wins outright, but as far as the spread goes, I'll pass.

**wal66** · 11-25-09, 11:06 AM

There is more distractions for Cincy than Pittsburgh next week. Which QB is playing better, who deserves to start, do we pull the trigger early if at all, does coach wanna be the next Notre Dame coach if they come calling? Absolutely Concinnati is the better team. Illinois always disappoints, either their fans dreams of a successful season or another teams dreams of an easy win over Illinois. If Cincinnati is 100% focused on the Illini they still might have trouble with -21. With potential distractions and a HUGE game next week Illinois would be the play in this situation or pass on the game all together.

Just an opinion not a prediction because I passed myself.

**Tomato** · 11-25-09, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

We are talking about a line that started at -16.5 and now is -20 in most Vegas books. Cincinnati is playing at home and shold be able to score at will, however Cincinnati is only 5-4 ATS this year, and 0-2 ATS in their last two games. Illinois started the season 0-5 ATS, then ran off 3 wins, before losing to Northwestern as an unbelieveable favorite in what was the worst line Vegas put out this year. Illinois is plaing a lot better ball than they did at the beginning of the year. Cincinnati wins outright, but as far as the spread goes, I'll pass.

You wasted all that time writing to give us Cincinnati -1200?

**ackem19** · 11-25-09, 12:46 PM

I usually like Cincinnati giving up a lot of points, however, i've realized that Cincy hasn't rolled teams that can run the ball. The last 2 games they are 0-2ATS, coincidentally, they allowed 200+ rushing yards in each. I did some back tracking and out of the 4 times that the failed to cover, in 3 of those games, they allowed more than 200 rushing yards. In all of their wins ATS, they allowed LESS than 200 yards. Illinois has been running the ball well and they should get Juice Williams back this week. Cincinnati could be caught looking ahead to Pitt next week and as a previous poster said, they may have more distractions than Pitt such as the QB situation. I like Illinois +21.

**teaserpleaser** · 11-25-09, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by Tomato

You wasted all that time writing to give us Cincinnati -1200?

**kalamity85** · 11-25-09, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by ackem19

I usually like Cincinnati giving up a lot of points, however, i've realized that Cincy hasn't rolled teams that can run the ball. The last 2 games they are 0-2ATS, coincidentally, they allowed 200+ rushing yards in each. I did some back tracking and out of the 4 times that the failed to cover, in 3 of those games, they allowed more than 200 rushing yards. In all of their wins ATS, they allowed LESS than 200 yards. Illinois has been running the ball well and they should get Juice Williams back this week. Cincinnati could be caught looking ahead to Pitt next week and as a previous poster said, they may have more distractions than Pitt such as the QB situation. I like Illinois +21.