Whatever is in your bankroll empty it on GT -7

**Mac4Lyfe** · 11-22-09, 09:16 PM

I would like to think that UGA would be pissed off after getting beating with a stick last year against Tech but they are so sorry, I don't see them being able to stop Tech even if they wanted to. We'll have to call PETA after this beatdown. Even Mike Vick may shed a tear.

**mmike032** · 11-22-09, 09:39 PM

I'm already on it
debating on going to the bank tommorrow dropping a shitload more on it.
gonna sleep on it, cause right now it seems to good to be true

**Cougar Bait** · 11-22-09, 09:54 PM

Yeah the mismatch on the ground is too good to pass up. Plus a lot of those GT players Georgia probably passed on...plenty of motivation here.

**mmike032** · 11-22-09, 10:00 PM

only doubt I have is GTs defense.
but also doubt Cox will be able to exploit it
theres no question GT will march the field at will, but will UGA be able to keep up?
gonna put my money that they wont.

**reverend** · 11-22-09, 11:51 PM

Agree with you guys. I thought this line would be at least -10

The only slight hesitation I have is that besides pride, this game has no bearing on GT's season as long as they beat Clemson. But we all know how sick GT is of getting beat yearly by UGA. There is a new sheriff in town, and Paul Johnson will not have that anymore.

GT rolls big in this one boys

34-20

**HoulihansTX** · 11-22-09, 11:52 PM

Isnt GT's D pretty bad.

**TheBetBuysDanK** · 11-23-09, 12:17 AM

it is. but so is GAs. GT is going to run all over in this game. I put 10 units down on this game 4 weeks ago as a "future/games of the year" wager bc they had the line at 7 and thought it was a gift. I may triple my wager now that theyve released it as the actual line. honestly, my play of the year.

**mmike032** · 11-23-09, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Isnt GT's D pretty bad.

yea, they are, thats my only concern
but UGAs TOs, and penalties will equal that out. along with GTs starting field position every KO. UGA has got the worst special teams coverage in the nation IMO.
you can bank on Cox throwing a couple pics, hes only played 1 game this year w/out a pick.

**daneblazer** · 11-23-09, 08:40 PM

Being Thanksgiving and all...Paul Johnson kinda looks like a turkey.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-23-09, 08:55 PM

This is just a contrarian side note.

This is a role reversal for this matchup. As Georgia is fading into mediocrity, and GT is on its way to a ACC championship game. Georgia looks at GT as a step-child. Georgia's tradition is not rivaled by many, and they are in a desperate situation this week. GT's d is horrid, as is Georgia's. Although that gives a Georgia offense a great chance to keep this close. Georgia's run D has been adequate. GT has the presence of the ACC title game for them to look ahead to. Remember this is a Rivalry game, and the favorite doesnt need this win for a BCS birth.

**PAPSMEAR** · 11-23-09, 09:06 PM

Any ideas as to a number on the total - whatever it is I'm thinking over might be the play here

**mmike032** · 11-23-09, 09:07 PM

UGAs run D is average maybe slightly above average against traditional running teams.
but the option GT runs is like opening a can of worms. they'll be busting 20/30 yd runs around the corners at will IMO

last year with Stafford and Moreno UGA was able to match scores with GT after being up 14 in the 1st half and blowing the lead. I cant see Cox having 2 career games this season. if he gets rattled or makes a mistake its all downhill from there. He's a 5th year senior but has the playing experience of a true freshman.

Only way UGA stays in this game is if GT equals the mistakes of UGA and Cox has a big game.
also lets not forget the hate in this rivarly and I doubt Paul Johnson will have a problem with running up the score if possible

**mmike032** · 11-23-09, 09:08 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

Any ideas as to a number on the total - whatever it is I'm thinking over might be the play here

I agree, I guessing around 54.
GT should put up 35 to 40

**daneblazer** · 11-23-09, 09:21 PM

This has the makings of a role reversal of the 51-7 destruction game UGA won in 2002.

Since the Alabama game last year, Georgia's defense has given up 29.3 points per game to 1A teams. Against Alabama, LSU, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Georgia Tech, Georgia has given up 36.5 points per game the last two seasons. That isn't even counting the 78 they gave up to South Carolina and Arkansas this season.

Georgia Tech has had two weeks to prepare and there isn't a snowballs chance in hell that they are looking past Georgia even to the ACC Championship Game.

I heard from a booster this morning that Damon Evans told Richt that Martinez had to go after the end of the year. Richt took the "if he goes, I go" stance. If that is true, and that sounds like something Richt would say, we have a Mexican standoff in Athens.

**ackem19** · 11-24-09, 04:39 AM

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off a loss as a double digit home favorite after the first month of the season. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1992.

Georgia was a 10 point home favorite last week vs. Kentucky and the lost SU. According to this statistic, there is a 75% chance that Georgia will cover.

**iceminers26** · 11-24-09, 04:54 AM

good info Ackem

**LLXC** · 11-24-09, 05:25 AM

But you can make a trend to support anything. =|

**ackem19** · 11-24-09, 05:34 AM

Originally posted by LLXC

But you can make a trend to support anything. =|

not sure if this is directed towards my statement, but perhaps i should have made it known that i didn't come up with the trend. Matt Fargo actually mentioned it the week of the ND/Pitt game.

**daneblazer** · 11-24-09, 08:47 AM

Here's a trend...bet against teams who have defensive coordinators with the initials WM during months that end in R.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-24-09, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by daneblazer

Here's a trend...bet against teams who have defensive coordinators with the initials WM during months that end in R.

That guy must be pretty horrble, b/c Georgia still recruits elite talent on all sides of the ball. They have been terrible this year, but maybe Joe Cox just submarines the confidence of the whole team.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 11-24-09, 01:30 PM

UGA is a hot mess. Throw stats out of the window and use the eye and nose test. If it looks like shit and it smells like shit, it's shit.

UGA was a much better team then they are this year and GT is a much better team this year then last... Hmmmm. What else do you need to know. GT wins this by 21+. Let's cash this bitch. I've got 2 dimes on this one and depending on how I do this week, I may hammer this even more. I'm glad this is a late game because I can roll every last dime into it. and no, GT is not looking ahead.

**wal66** · 11-24-09, 03:45 PM

I'm not saying it won't happen. I not saying it shouldn't happen. I'm just saying, take a look at how many times this year last year over the history of forums everywhere when everyone is just tossing their cookies in agreement on a game that appears to be soooooooooooooo far off. If it looks too good to be true generally there is a reason for it. I know the number look so obvious but don't you think that the lines makers understand those same numbers? Sure it's the holidays but do you really think they are just giving away freebies?

Not saying I disagree guys so don't take it that way. I am merely trying to be a voice of reason about how easy this game looks.

**mmike032** · 11-24-09, 03:58 PM

agree Wal, thats why I havent thrown the house at it yet....
yet that is.
UGAs getting way to much respect here with a 7 point line IMO
but the line hasnt moved which baffels me.

but again I follow UGA football and have since a kid and so has DaneBlazer.
the only possible way UGA covers here is if Cox has another career game ( highly unlikely)
and GT beats themselves ( possible)

all my strong opinions on UGA have been right this year except the Tenn game. I expected UGA to compete in that one and they got exposed by a simple bootleg 97 times in 1 game.
lot of folks thought UGA would cover agasint Fla also but I knew there was no way in hell they could cover that line.
I feel the same about the GT game.
we'll see, I've been wrong plenty times before

**daneblazer** · 11-24-09, 05:53 PM

Yeah, all kidding and sarcasim aside, I haven't thrown the house on it yet either. I've been fairly right on all the games this year except the Tennessee game and the Oklahoma State game. I thought UGA would have a better showing in both.

After the OSU game, I made a statement that I didn't think UGA would make a bowl game. Well, they'll make one but it won't be a pretty one. The LSU game was the swing game for this team. They began to turn the corner a little and even Joe Cox didn't look that bad at times. That game just sucked the life out of this team. After that game it's as if they threw in the towel.

The bad thing is, injuries haven't played a huge factor as it has in years past. It's just been poor, sloppy play and bad coaching. Richt publicy stated that "he didn't care that much about penalties" mid way through the year. Only after being blasted for that statement did he try to "correct it" but they still get flagged for dumb penalties every other play.

I just can not imagine why this line isn't moving. I'd put my knowledge on this UGA team against almost anyone out there and I'd put my knowledge of SEC teams and GT/FSU against all but a handfull of people on this board. One thing about UGA this year is that they either play a nail biter or get destroyed. Maybe it's me thinking the sky is falling a little but I don't see how UGA keeps this a single digit game. Tech is a disciplined, well coached team that has had two weeks to prepare for an undisciplined, not well coached defense. Joe Cox will make a crippling blunder or two and UGA's best offensive player will be out. It's going to take UGA playing their best game of the year to win or even not lose by a TD. Does anyone believe they can do that? Heck, I hope I'm wrong...but I won't be surprised if I'm not.

One final note that is interesting. UGA gobbles up GT tickets so the fan base for this game @ GT in the past is usually 70/30 or even 60/40 for GT. Nobody at UGA really gives a shyt to see this game, so Tech will actually have a big advantage in the stands this time around.

**wal66** · 11-24-09, 06:05 PM

It is hard to figure. Even with it being a rivalry game I really thought this line would open in the -10 range and even at that number G-Tech would have gotten plenty of action, The one bright spot for the Dawgs as both of you know is they are decent run stoppers so maybe that has something to do with it. Plus the fact that G-tech even in winning has had games where they have allowed a bunch of points and Georgia does have the ability to score as long as the mistakes are at a minimum. Joe Cox and his frame of mind has got to be in serious question this week after what went down against Kentucky down the stretch but as with all young kids sometimes they can just shake it off.

Like everyone here all my data says this game should be a comfortable win by G-Tech I just wish the line opened a little more in favor of everything we think to be true.

**mmike032** · 11-24-09, 06:20 PM

UGA is slightly above average at stopping the run but...look back at the Arizona ST game, dont know his name but ASUs RB was busting loose all day running b/t the tackles
but stopping the triple option is another story as they showed last year with a much better defense as a whole.
I expect GT to be running wild around the ends all day, with a few play action plays that go for big yardage also with no DB w/in 10 yds of the play.

still curious why this line isnt moving but I'm trusting my gut and knowledge of UGA football agaisnt any possible sharp money on UGA keeping the line from moving.

**scott** · 11-24-09, 06:50 PM

remember the UH /TULSA game looked easy also.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 11-24-09, 07:02 PM

UGA getting love from years gone by. This will be a high scoring game but UGA eventually won't be able to keep up. I have 2 dimes on this game and feel pretty confident in the play. I've watched both teams consistently and while GT's defense is a concern. Joe Cox is the reason I'm on GT. He will find a way to get the cover for us GT backers.

**BigdaddyQH** · 11-24-09, 08:03 PM

Last week, everyone was going to bet the farm on Air Force, and some did. People who tell us about locks are often not sen for quite some time afterwards. I guess that we should all wager on Tech and Arizona, if the people who preach locks are to be listened to. Maybe I should check with the humdreds of guys on the streets in Vegas who also had locks.

**GT Hoosier** · 11-24-09, 08:59 PM

I love Georgia Tech in this spot. Trying to play devil's advocate with the unusually favorable line and pretty much no movement, the only theory of UGA outperforming expectations I come up with is UGA rallies behind the death of UGA VII? I mean, I don't know if that's even close to a real reason. I guess they have revenge, but there is no way that the Tech players don't want this more.

Only concern for the game would be how long it takes for the defense to get warmed up. This hasn't been as big of a problem over the last few games, but in the first half of the season GT's defense really didn't do much until the second half of the game. The first quarter against Duke did not look very good when Duke just took 10 points and Tech couldn't do anything about it. They finally got things going defensively in the second quarter and everything turned out great. Actually, defending against the run isn't a worry, but sometimes Tech's secondaries get smoked, i.e. Wake Forest game.

**mmike032** · 11-24-09, 09:11 PM

it doesnt take a defensive guru to figure Cox out.
take a look at this....

It can’t be that obvious, can it?

http://blutarsky.wordpress.com/2009/11/23/it-cant-be-that-obvious-can-it/

Found this on the Dawg Run message board this morning: In the shotgun, if Cox lines up with his feet square and shoulder width apart, he’s going to hand it off. If he lines up with his right …

**Mac4Lyfe** · 11-24-09, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by mmike032

it doesnt take a defensive guru to figure Cox out.
take a look at this....
http://blutarsky.wordpress.com/2009/...bvious-can-it/

Wow... That explains why teams seem to know what plays UGA is running.

**angelodebo** · 11-25-09, 10:35 AM

I kind of like Tech..but playing devil advocate..This is ACC vs SEC and I would bet that SEC wins out.

I'm loving S.Carolina against Clemson this week. The level of talent in the SEC is over the top. I would bet a team like MISS St would sitting at the top of the ACC. So be careful because Georgia has played top level teams all year. Who was GTech's toughest opponent?

**southpark79** · 11-25-09, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by angelodebo

I kind of like Tech..but playing devil advocate..This is ACC vs SEC and I would bet that SEC wins out.

I'm loving S.Carolina against Clemson this week. The level of talent in the SEC is over the top. I would bet a team like MISS St would sitting at the top of the ACC. So be careful because Georgia has played top level teams all year. Who was GTech's toughest opponent?

This! Well put, SEC defenses are amazing, never know which Georgia team is going to show up, that said I do see GT -7 as a valuable play!