Bankroll Don't Die... It Mutiply (NCAA Week #12)

**HoulihansTX** · 11-18-09, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by eastvan09

I booked the 4 totals at 2 of my books (I got most of the same numbers you listed). Michigan dropped from +12.5 to +11.5/+12 at all my books so I booked today. I am waiting on Kansas State as my books are showing+16.5/+17. I've already booked 3 parlays and a teaser. I have a feeling its going to be another great week! I get to add a CFL playoff game to some of my parlays as my team is getting too many points as a road dog (BC Lions +10), everything points to a FG game and we could pull the upset.

Good Shit bro. I'm humbled by the fact that you would tail my plays without any writeups for them. Best of luck to the both of us.

**eastvan09** · 11-19-09, 01:18 AM

Thought not an expert I've done some research on the games. Your great record on the totals got me going on tailing your totals. The tip on getting a free account at Sports Insights was huge! (I think this was on one of your previous threads)

At the moment I am only gambling with bonus $ won from SBR contests over the past several weeks. I'm building these small bonuses into a bankroll.

The past few weeks were huge!

**Rawhide** · 11-19-09, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Tulsa is going from being a 5pt fav to a 7.5 Dog. That's is a 12 pt swing, and an overreaction. S. Miss D is not very stout, and their passing D is about the same. Tulsa is a desperate team, that will be able to exploit S. Miss pass D.

As for the Run D. If you look at the C-USA their aren't many strong running teams. Actually this is a Spread Offense league that favors the pass

TX...where did you see this movement. SBR shows Tulsa opening at +7 and now + 8 to 8.5 around town.. Just wondering cuz I love that kind of line movement.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-19-09, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by Rawhide

TX...where did you see this movement. SBR shows Tulsa opening at +7 and now + 8 to 8.5 around town.. Just wondering cuz I love that kind of line movement.

NO this is based upon their last game against ECU. IN that game they where at -5. Now they are playing a team that is not as good as ECU, but are a 8pt Dog. That is overreaction to the TV loss they suffered.

Books know that their is not much confidence in the public on Tulsa, and they set a line to fit the publics perception. In my Opinion.

**eastvan09** · 11-19-09, 04:51 PM

I added Air Force +10.. BYU squeaked by New Mexico on the road last week. IMO though BYU is at home this week, Air Force is solid and should be able to keep this low scoring game within 10. I added 1 unit Air Force ML +320 and Michigan ML +370, I figure one of them probably wins.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-20-09, 09:10 AM

*Official Plays*
_______________________
Michigan ML +380 / +12.5

Boston College -3.5

Kent State +12.5

Kansas St. +17 <<<< Ridiculous line

UAB +13 <<<< Ridiculous line.
__________________________
Iowa State/ Mizzou OVER 50

SMU/Marshall OVER 48.5

K-State/Nebraska UNDER 43.5

Air Force/ BYU UNDER 46.5
______________________________
*Official Plays*

**bypp** · 11-20-09, 09:26 AM

Houl, any opinion on the games tonight? I'm leaning Akron +11 and Boise/USU Over 61.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-20-09, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by bypp

Houl, any opinion on the games tonight? I'm leaning Akron +11 and Boise/USU Over 61.

Toledo -16.5 and the OVER / The UNDER's BG/Akron, and Boise St./ Utah St

I'm not playing those games,but that is the way I lean. Take it for what its worth.

Gl tonight.

**bypp** · 11-20-09, 10:39 AM

Thanks, appreciate the input. GL

**BigdaddyQH** · 11-20-09, 11:17 AM

Didn't we just go through this scenario with Akron and Bowling Green last week? Akron has won two games this season. Bowling Green becomes bowl eligable with a win. While this game really does not interest me, I sure would not be playing on an Akron team that is 3-6 ATS. Boise State and Utah State should easily go over the total. Boise State has averaged about 52 points per game in their last 4, while their defense has given up 60 points in their last two games. Utah State is averaging nearly 28 points per game in their last 4 games. I really do not see much defense here.

**TheBetBuysDanK** · 11-20-09, 01:48 PM

I'll be tailing you on all your totals, sir. the work you do is too good to deny. I'd love to hear your thoughs on why you like BC in this spot.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-20-09, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK

I'll be tailing you on all your totals, sir. the work you do is too good to deny. I'd love to hear your thoughs on why you like BC in this spot.

Boston College is undefeated at home, and facing a QB in Yates that has regressed from last year. North Carolina has struggled mightly to score on the road, and facing a Boston College D that is holding teams below their avg/ppg is not a good spot for them.

Also North Carolina is in a Let Down spot after beating Miami. A team that Butch Davis used to coach. Add the fact they had a 4 takeaway advantage, a very erratic stat that doesn't travel in my opinion.

**TheBetBuysDanK** · 11-20-09, 04:02 PM

thanks, hou.

yeah, UNC has had a tough last 4 games, so a let down is likely. I guessed im just not all that impressed with BC. They struggled against ND, and the UNC D is looking much much better than NDs right now. BC has been tough at home, but the only good teams theyve beaten there have been FSU and Wake. Id argue that both those clubs werent playing good football at the time they played BC.

I still like a small play on the UNC ML. but you very well may be on the right side here. BOL

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 12:12 AM

3 Team ML Parlay

SMU +145
Air Force +330
Michigan St. +130

$100 to win $2,250

**CarloTwoGuns** · 11-21-09, 07:03 AM

Just banged K St @ +17

**Parligod** · 11-21-09, 07:39 AM

Great thread man keep up the posts. Been following for a little bit and I gotta give you props. Your NBA picks are pretty sick as well. GL, hope you hit big this weekend.

**SimonSayz** · 11-21-09, 09:04 AM

good stuff Hou....i am tailing you here on a few...love michigan...kstate...

keep up the good work and great to see you are doing good in the NBA!

Simon

**TheBetBuysDanK** · 11-21-09, 10:57 AM

BOL today, hou. I hope you leave the books bruised and bloody...as usual.

**bigpapa89** · 11-21-09, 11:28 AM

do you find any value in the Kansas St. ML?

**marabdl86** · 11-21-09, 11:38 AM

On all your plays, lets hope we make some profit

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by bigpapa89

do you find any value in the Kansas St. ML?

Sure, but if you do it spread it out on the ML, and the Spread. like 70/30.

I like the spread much more ,b/c I'm getting two TD's, and a FG. Both teams will want to run the ball.

**RoagBettor** · 11-21-09, 01:32 PM

Michigan needs to get their offense going

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Michigan needs to get their offense going

So does BC. they fell asleep in the 1st qtr.

Need some good karma for the 2nd halves of both games.

Going to save a cat out of a tree.....

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 03:49 PM

*Official Plays*
_______________________
Michigan ML +380 / +12.5 L/W

Boston College -3.5 L

Kent State +12.5 L ( Wow, 10-9 at half.)

Kansas St. +17

UAB +13 L
__________________________
Iowa State/ Mizzou OVER 50 W

SMU/Marshall OVER 48.5

K-State/Nebraska UNDER 43.5

Air Force/ BYU UNDER 46.5 L
______________________________
*Official Plays*

**o086642** · 11-21-09, 05:51 PM

get them next time

**marabdl86** · 11-21-09, 06:56 PM

brutal day so far man, I hope K state bails me out

**PAPSMEAR** · 11-21-09, 07:12 PM

k state covering will be the difference between eating the best steak a man can get and baked beans for me this week

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 10:44 PM

K-St. looks like they will pull me even on the day, and lose money on the juice.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-21-09, 10:58 PM

*Official Plays*
_______________________
Michigan ML +380 / +12.5 L/W

Boston College -3.5 L

Kent State +12.5 L

Kansas St. +17 W

UAB +13 L
__________________________
Iowa State/ Mizzou OVER 50 W

SMU/Marshall OVER 48.5 W

K-State/Nebraska UNDER 43.5 W

Air Force/ BYU UNDER 46.5 L
______________________________
*Official Plays*

(5-5)
But 4-1 on totals. I feel those are my bread and butter. Spreads I go about 50%, but Totals I can hit.

I hope everyone else made profit today, as I lost money on the juice. Oh well.

**ackem19** · 11-22-09, 01:31 PM

good job on the totals. it kind of sucked because i tailed you on the michigan ML and then i decided if that didn't hit i wouldn't bet the rest of the day. turns out my 3 teamer (texas, tcu, and troy) would have hit. but oh well, it was smarter for me not to play again yesterday. Good job this week and hope next weeks better for you.

**JMF2479** · 11-22-09, 07:53 PM

even money is a good as a winning day for me

**eastvan09** · 11-23-09, 01:34 AM

Hard luck breaking even Hou. I tailed you on 4 totals and Mich/K St and the grand total was 5-1 which was fabulous. My ML parlays on Sat were buggered up by Rutgers, wow getting rolled by the cuse. I was surprised in Air Force's poor performance too. If I play even just those 8 as singles I'm 5-3 and a solid profit. I learned from my error.

My plan to have a huge Sunday was derailed, my CFL dog got destroyed, Steelers lost to Chiefs???? Wow my afternoon was looking huge to recover my week with Cards, Pats, and Chargers on ML Parlays with Bengals... wow the Bengals lose in Oak? I figured the Eagles and Bengals couldn't both lose at Oak, after KC beat Oak there... I'll only bet straight up and underdog teasers... BOL next week I'll hop over to your new thread.