UNKNOWN CAPPER'S WEEK 11 Picks...Haters Welcome

**HoulihansTX** · 11-09-09, 02:04 AM

I'm not going to be the guy who uses his time for some "internet beef shit." Besides I dont need any bad karma F'n up my season.

Truthfully, Good Luck to you in the upcoming weeks.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

I'm not going to be the guy who uses his time for some "internet beef shit." Besides I dont need any bad karma F'n up my season.

Truthfully, Good Luck to you in the upcoming weeks.

The Unknown Capper does appreciate backhanded well-wishes. The reality is, I will kick your ass this week, and will be willing to wager my precious SBR points on any of my selections in the coming week.

**HoulihansTX** · 11-09-09, 02:15 AM

Originally posted by sweetpete57@

The Unknown Capper does appreciate backhanded well-wishes. The reality is, I will kick your ass this week, and will be willing to wager my precious SBR points on any of my selections in the coming week.

See now your sense of humor is showing up. Dude you have to finish in the Black, B4 I start taking on random challenges.

Also it wasn't backhanded, I'm really not that guy. Check out my threads. It's purely sports related, no BS.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 11:42 AM

Nevermind, no betting points for me. I'm buying 10 SBR logo shot glasses, damnit. One for every hour I'm drinking in a given day

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 02:03 PM

PICK #1

KANSAS ST. -2.5 vs. Missouri

Kansas St. football was so bad before Bill Snyder arrived that he was actually their first coach that knew to use all 11 players on the field at one time. So, the guy turns the team into a semi-powerhouse, retires, the team starts to slip, and now apparently some hired goons swoop him up from Lazy Acres Nursing Home while he's watching The Price is Right and force him to coach again. The plan worked, as Kansas St. appears to be on their was to the Big 12 Championship Game. Mizzou's HC Gary Pinkel did such a horrible job of coaching in the 2nd Half vs. Baylor that he forgot Mizzou only has one weapon--Danario Alexander, and Pinkel refused to have Gabbert throw to him. It has been announced that Truman the Tiger will be calling all offensive plays from here on out. If the Coaching Matchup between Snyder and Pinkel were a chess match, Pinkel would be playing checkers.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 03:24 PM

Pick #2

NORTHWESTERN +4 @ Illinois

If something seems too good to be true, it usually is. Whether it be the hot chick at the bar who flirts with you so you buy her drinks all night, the 'make $2000 a week stuffing envelopes' job, or a seemingly obvious point spread like this. Northwestern just knocked off the #4 team in the nation on the road, and now play their in-state rivals. Granted, Northwestern has looked shaky at times against subpar teams like Miami-OH and E. Michigan, but they played Penn St. tough through 3 quarters 2 weeks ago, and shut down Iowa's offense last week. Illinois has their offense clicking finally, so it's safe to say that both teams have momentum going into this game. The difference to me is the fact that N'Wrn has been on the big stage back-to-back weeks and are now game-tested and should fare well vs. a team with an obvious talent drop off. Plus, I wouldn't put my hard earned money on Ron Zook two weeks in a row even if he were playing N'Wrn in Zook Family Trivia.

**strictlywinners** · 11-09-09, 04:31 PM

Pete upon request, of another poster I will post my plays early this week, so everyone can see what I'm taking there are only 4 or 5 games I could find real advantage. I reccomend you stay away from Kansas State, I'm on the other side this week.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by strictlywinners

Pete upon request, of another poster I will post my plays early this week, so everyone can see what I'm taking there are only 4 or 5 games I could find real advantage. I reccomend you stay away from Kansas State, I'm on the other side this week.

I'm a huge fan of Mizzou, and have followed them closely all year, and let me tell ya, this team is in trouble. God bless Gabbert, who is a true competitor, but he seems to be the only guy on this team who has confidence. Letting Baylor pass on them like the friggin San Francisco 49ers teams of the 80s has completely demoralized the defense. Word in Columbia is that Pinkel's popularity is on the fritz, too. Next year could be his last year here. Until that team can figure out how to adjust in the second half, they won't win a game. If Baylor can outcoach Pinkel, then Bill Snyder will be 3 or 4 plays ahead the entire game.

**Serbone** · 11-09-09, 04:41 PM

Always smart to lob out your picks early in the week, before info, injuries, weather, etc, is known.

I think posters that do this just want attention.

Unknown Capper: are you a lonely man, like Cheyenne?

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by Serbone

Always smart to lob out your picks early in the week, before info, injuries, weather, etc, is known.

I think posters that do this just want attention.

Unknown Capper: are you a lonely man, like Cheyenne?

The only Cheyenne I know is in Wyoming, and no, I actually know too many people. I wish I were lonelier. Obviously if something were to drastically change, I'd hedge my bet. But, the longer you wait to make picks, the more influenced you are by outside sources. Plus, I think both of those spreads will move not in my favor as the week rolls on. I got on LSU too late LW, and that cost me money. As usual Serbone, your one-dimensional logic has its flaws.

**Serbone** · 11-09-09, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by sweetpete57@

The only Cheyenne I know is in Wyoming, and no, I actually know too many people. I wish I were lonelier. Obviously if something were to drastically change, I'd hedge my bet. But, the longer you wait to make picks, the more influenced you are by outside sources. Plus, I think both of those spreads will move not in my favor as the week rolls on. I got on LSU too late LW, and that cost me money. As usual Serbone, your one-dimensional logic has its flaws.

I laugh at those who think getting their bet down early Monday "before the line changes" is wise.

It evens out, e.g. you also LOST opportunity with other bets, like you took Duke + 8.5, it went to 10, etc, etc. Though the spread did not matter after all in this example. What mattered is that "the public" finally got word that NC got back 3 OL including a star center and a TE that totally changed their "O". They got those guys back under the radar right in time to beat VT.

The loss by LSU (I had them, too, but no way because of you) was not quibbling with the point spread but because LSU RB and QB got hurt, plus the famous SEC refs.

There are other examples, those who jumped on Fla St early found out later that QB Ponder was beat up, should not have played, played valiantly, but not himself, cost them the game, they lost.

I could go on and on, and you are afraid I will.

Keep shooting on Monday without the facts and lose your ass...

(Cheyenne Bodie, the old TV show, it is on Direct TV EWST every day)

**jds07v** · 11-09-09, 05:41 PM

now ponder is done for the year. he had been fighting a rib and ankle injuries since the byu game. the shoulder ended his season

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 05:58 PM

Serbone--Just to bring closure to this little scuffle, as to why I picked these 2 games early

Kansas St. -2.5---I don't care if K-Sate plays their practice squad, no fan of Missouri will bet on them this week.
Northwestern---line will end up a 3 before it's all said and done, plus either N'wrn QB will be effective.

**strictlywinners** · 11-09-09, 06:49 PM

Unknown you really should stop putting money on games, you only take sucker plays. All of your picks are based on a good performance in the previous week. North Western beat Iowa and now there a dog, that doesn't bother you. And well I already told you about Kstate. I thought you would have learned after last week. I guess I was wrong. Well I wish you luck and if you ever need a bookie. I will book your plays, I'll even allow you a free half point on every game you like.

**Serbone** · 11-09-09, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by sweetpete57@

Serbone--Just to bring closure to this little scuffle, as to why I picked these 2 games early

Kansas St. -2.5---I don't care if K-Sate plays their practice squad, no fan of Missouri will bet on them this week.
Northwestern---line will end up a 3 before it's all said and done, plus either N'wrn QB will be effective.

I really, honestly at this point lean to MU + 2.5 and Ill - 4... but will not bet yet, I will wait until later in the week for more info.

Especially Illinois, they are really coming around.

And MU's QB Gabbert is NFL material, arm, height, speed, brains, committment... top flight WR's and OL is good... DB's are a problem, MU screwed up 2nd half vs. Baylor but can win this game.

But I will do the smart thing and wait. I probably will find better games to wager.

But go ahead, pick some more games now, throw them up there...

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by strictlywinners

Unknown you really should stop putting money on games, you only take sucker plays. All of your picks are based on a good performance in the previous week. North Western beat Iowa and now there a dog, that doesn't bother you. And well I already told you about Kstate. I thought you would have learned after last week. I guess I was wrong. Well I wish you luck and if you ever need a bookie. I will book your plays, I'll even allow you a free half point on every game you like.

Tsk Tsk. I congratulate you on your winning week and admit to my bad week (though everyone conveniently forgets I went 4-2 in FCS games), but your over-confidence and 'I'm smarter than the system' attitude will be your demise this week, regardless of your picks.

Kansas St. is 3-0 in conference home games outscoring their opponents 99-30. Thats not a 'one week phenominon' wager

N'Wrn and Illinois are BOTH off of upset road wins, so your logic doesn't work there either.

I've had my picks up for 2 weeks, but I've been betting on football since my SportsInteraction.com account when i was 17. I'm (slightly) ahead for the career, and I've learned that over-confidence is the quickest route to failure.

Regardless, good luck this week

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 07:18 PM

Serbone--Mizzou screws up EVERY 2nd half. Look at the box scores from CU, Nebr., Baylor, and Okla St.

**strictlywinners** · 11-09-09, 07:21 PM

Hahaha forgeting that you went 4-2, it means nothing, I could flip a coin and go 10 and 0, doesn't mean I'm good. Your picks are pure guesses, you throw out some facts, that any sucker could look up. You don't see any angles and I'm sorry but it seems that you never will. I win in the long run, and I win alot. Well your a lost cause, good luck, but the way you pick games your going to continue to keep losing and losing.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 07:22 PM

We'll see what happens in that K-St. game.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-09-09, 08:36 PM

PICK #3

S. FLORIDA -1 @ Rutgers

Plain and simple, 25% of the Rutgers team has the flu, as of Monday 11/9. That's the word around campus, and even though Coach Schiano says it's currently 'contained,' I ain't buyin' it. I don't like USF in this game otherwise, so lets up it's vomit city all week at practice until Thursday night's game.

**Serbone** · 11-10-09, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by sweetpete57@

PICK #3

S. FLORIDA -1 @ Rutgers

Plain and simple, 25% of the Rutgers team has the flu, as of Monday 11/9. That's the word around campus, and even though Coach Schiano says it's currently 'contained,' I ain't buyin' it. I don't like USF in this game otherwise, so lets up it's vomit city all week at practice until Thursday night's game.

Good move, you "heard" hearsay Monday that some players have the flu for a game on Thursday, so you make a bet NOW rather than wait for Thursday. Quick, bet the farm!
You will wind up at the Salvation Army.
Did you wager on The Rose Bowl yet?

**BigdaddyQH** · 11-10-09, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Serbone

I laugh at those who think getting their bet down early Monday "before the line changes" is wise.

It evens out, e.g. you also LOST opportunity with other bets, like you took Duke + 8.5, it went to 10, etc, etc. Though the spread did not matter after all in this example. What mattered is that "the public" finally got word that NC got back 3 OL including a star center and a TE that totally changed their "O". They got those guys back under the radar right in time to beat VT.

The loss by LSU (I had them, too, but no way because of you) was not quibbling with the point spread but because LSU RB and QB got hurt, plus the famous SEC refs.

There are other examples, those who jumped on Fla St early found out later that QB Ponder was beat up, should not have played, played valiantly, but not himself, cost them the game, they lost.

I could go on and on, and you are afraid I will.

Keep shooting on Monday without the facts and lose your ass...

(Cheyenne Bodie, the old TV show, it is on Direct TV EWST every day)

The post of a sure loser, and please do not say that you are not a loser. Losers make excuses, and that is all I have seen in this post. I am 20-9-2 in here. You can not come close to that record, so pay attention. You wager EARLY, or LATE, and not in between. If you think you know so much, put your money where your mouth is. I will be glad to take it. People like you allowed me to retire early. Just exactly what is your PROVEABLE record, not something that you dream up. Put up or shut up.

**Dbldown11** · 11-10-09, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

The post of a sure loser, and please do not say that you are not a loser. Losers make excuses, and that is all I have seen in this post. I am 20-9-2 in here. You can not come close to that record, so pay attention. You wager EARLY, or LATE, and not in between. If you think you know so much, put your money where your mouth is. I will be glad to take it. People like you allowed me to retire early. Just exactly what is your PROVEABLE record, not something that you dream up. Put up or shut up.

haha another challenge from LittleGirlyQH........just accept the challenge Serbone...tell him he's full of crap and then he'll wither away and ignore you from now on

**Serbone** · 11-10-09, 12:51 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

The post of a sure loser, and please do not say that you are not a loser. Losers make excuses, and that is all I have seen in this post. I am 20-9-2 in here. You can not come close to that record, so pay attention. You wager EARLY, or LATE, and not in between. If you think you know so much, put your money where your mouth is. I will be glad to take it. People like you allowed me to retire early. Just exactly what is your PROVEABLE record, not something that you dream up. Put up or shut up.

BigdaddyQH: you write with total irrelevance.

WTF is your point?

FYI I ALWAYS bet "late", never early or in between, that is my point. I say wait for all info, do not panic with the mindset that you should bet on Monday or Tues because the line might change a half point and hurt you. That is my point. Read it again until you get it. And again.

And yes I wager $$$ on the games, so I put my money where my mouth is; I choose not to make "posts" with my picks on Monday or Tuesday, I sometimes provide information that might help others.

If you want to bet these little tiny SBR points on some games against me, fine, but that is for nickle shooters, a good laugh.

WHO TF are you? You say you are 20-9-2, I say good for you. Butt out, twerp.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-10-09, 04:18 PM

First of all, Serbone, I have time and time again said I am a hobbyist, not a high roller. But I do take it seriously and don't exactly bet pennies. When you find out info such as "25% of the team has the flu", this is a scenario to jump on before the whole public knows and moves on it. If the whole team ends up sick, the game will be off the board, and an opportunity missed.

By the way, I do appreciate everyone's comments regardless of whether or not they post their picks. This is supposed to be a fun thread, and while I do think it's ridiculous that people who don't post their own picks act like I'm an idiot because of two bad weeks, but then again, I also don't really give a $hit.

**Serbone** · 11-10-09, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by sweetpete57@

First of all, Serbone, I have time and time again said I am a hobbyist, not a high roller. But I do take it seriously and don't exactly bet pennies. When you find out info such as "25% of the team has the flu", this is a scenario to jump on before the whole public knows and moves on it. If the whole team ends up sick, the game will be off the board, and an opportunity missed.

By the way, I do appreciate everyone's comments regardless of whether or not they post their picks. This is supposed to be a fun thread, and while I do think it's ridiculous that people who don't post their own picks act like I'm an idiot because of two bad weeks, but then again, I also don't really give a $hit.

Line has not moved at all, USF is -1 at all books. Good move.
This is my last entry on your thread, good luck, Unkonwn Capper.

**Cougar Bait** · 11-10-09, 06:49 PM

Pete, what are your thoughts on Carlton Mitchell being doubtful? 29 receptions, 542 yds, and 4TDs will be missed...how much of an impact do you think that will play on the game? Still debating playing this one....

**sweetpete57@** · 11-10-09, 08:15 PM

Originally posted by Serbone

Line has not moved at all, USF is -1 at all books. Good move.
This is my last entry on your thread, good luck, Unkonwn Capper.

I'll miss ya Serbone. Good Luck this weekend.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-10-09, 08:51 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Pete, what are your thoughts on Carlton Mitchell being doubtful? 29 receptions, 542 yds, and 4TDs will be missed...how much of an impact do you think that will play on the game? Still debating playing this one....

That is an unfortunate injury for USF. Somehow, USF will have to excel on the ground against what I hope is a flu-ridden Rutgers Defense, which will wear down in the 2nd half. If not, uh oh. Fortunately, Daniels and Plancher have decent avg yd/carry numbers, even though their stats don't stand out much. Rutgers pass defense is nothing special, so hopefull some no-name USF receivers will be able to step up. I'm a littler more concerned now though.

**goblue12** · 11-11-09, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

The post of a sure loser, and please do not say that you are not a loser. Losers make excuses, and that is all I have seen in this post. I am 20-9-2 in here. You can not come close to that record, so pay attention. You wager EARLY, or LATE, and not in between. If you think you know so much, put your money where your mouth is. I will be glad to take it. People like you allowed me to retire early. Just exactly what is your PROVEABLE record, not something that you dream up. Put up or shut up.

http://bigdaddyqh.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

11/07/2009 06:18 PM BigdaddyQH deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
11/06/2009 02:50 PM BigdaddyQH deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
11/06/2009 02:48 PM BigdaddyQH deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
11/06/2009 02:48 PM BigdaddyQH deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
10/15/2009 08:20 AM BigdaddyQH deleted 1 pick(s) from their spreadsheet.
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**sweetpete57@** · 11-11-09, 12:40 AM

C'mon guys. Break it up. Generally, everyone know who to listen to and who not to. But we all should be more honest here. I don't know what anyone has to gain by making up records.

Anyway, I don't have the time or creativity for write-ups tonight, but I just made these plays and will be doing write-ups tomorrow...

BYU -26.5
Fresno St. +7
Utah +19.5
W. Virginia +9

**sweetpete57@** · 11-12-09, 01:41 PM

PICK #4

No. ILLINOIS -17 vs. Ball St.

Ball St.'s defense has been so bad this year against the that My Mom could run through their porous defensive unit. Granted, My mom was 3rd in the ACC in rushing back in '72, but still. The fact that N. Illinois has dominated on the ground this year doesn't help Ball St.'s cause much. NI racked up over 400 yds on the ground last week, against a E. Michigan defense that would have even been pulverized by a 4th grade team in a game of "Red Rover, Red Rover." There's really nothing more to analyze here. Complete mismatch.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-12-09, 01:42 PM

Pick #5

FRESNO ST. +7 @ Nevada

Pat Hill's "anyone, anytime, anywhere" attitude towards scheduling games will go up a notch next year when they travel to Seatlle to take on the Seahawks. As far as this year, decent performances @ Wisconsin and Cincinnati should have them well prepared for a Nevada team that, in truth, has been playing lights out. Obviously, Ryan MAthews is the key for Fresno St., and as long as he can stay away from one of Reno's several luxury '2-Star' night clubs or casinos Friday night, he shouldn't have too much of a problem running on a Nevada defense that hasn't really been tested on the ground. And even if Mathews is kept in check, Nevada's pass defense is very suspect, and Fresno St. QB Ryan Coburn is 11th in the NCAA in pass efficiency. It could be a shootout, but a talented Pat Hill team getting 7 pts is about as enticing as one of Reno's budget-price Asian callgirls.

**sweetpete57@** · 11-12-09, 02:53 PM

Pick #6

BYU -26.5 @ New Mexico

BYU is always a sketchy pick because they have a tendancy to play down to weak opponents. Plus Coach Mendenhall is the polar opposite of Pete Carroll when it comes to running up the score. But, it may be hard not to run it up against a team as bad as the Lobos. In fact, UNM's defense is so bad, they're going to start that Women's soccer player who kept cheap shotting the BYU players last week, at Linebacker. Offensively, N.M. is even more inept, near the bottom in all of college footbal in ppg. They treat the 'red' zone like it's a stop sign. BYU needs to keep up the momentum, as they still have a slim chance at winning the Mountain West or more likely a chance at the Holiday Bowl if TCU wins out and makes a BCS bowl. Hopefully BYU will recreate the Mountain Meadows massacre of 1857 on Saturday, and win us some cash.