To ensure accurate record keeping, I'll run this continuous thread to post my picks as many of you suggested.
Friday 9-11-09
Toledo +3.5 over Colorado
I give my reasons in my blog post but basically Colorado had a bad game, played on Sunday night, have to travel to Toledo and try to mentally prepare for this game on a very short week.
Toledo is 2-0 ATS and SU against Big 12 teams on its home field (Kansas '06, Iowa St. '07) and is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.
It's a tough place to play and Colorado just has too much to try to fix in a very short week for them.
Toledo isn't going to win or cover on talent but on Colorado's inability to erase their bad rivalry home loss and prepare for Toledo on a short week.