Ralphie's Week 7 Leans (30-20 +46.6 units)

**wal66** · 10-12-09, 02:08 PM

Ralphie, you must win big and lose small regularly. Impressive units won to loss ratio. I'll never get units up like that cause I tend to bet all the same with only a few exception throughout the year.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-12-09, 02:13 PM

I will be totally honest, my money management isnt the best. I won 20 units on the Colts a few weeks back, and I won 20 units on nebraska and the under last thursday night. I actually had a bad -15 unit week so keeping all that in mind the record makes sense. And of course you can dig up all my threads and find every pick placed.

Who do u like this weekend? I jsut saw Miss. St. is -4.5 to midd tenn st? Midd Tenn St. looked terrible the other week.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-12-09, 02:16 PM

Play One:
Mississippi St. -4 5.5 units to win 5 units

**wal66** · 10-12-09, 02:16 PM

Early leans are Arkansas, Nebraska (even after that crap last week) but depends on if Taylor Potts is 100% or not, UL Monroe (but still looking cause Arky St has played some good teams), probably Alabama again this week as well. Nothings official yet I have what my program suggest as plays just have to eliminate and try and find what has the best overall potential.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-12-09, 02:18 PM

Im leaning Boise St. the over/under should be pretty high here, I might take the under since Boise plays defense. This game is a potential problem for Boise but I think they get out of there with a big win. Boise is for real and Tulsa plays ZERO defense. I have watched Tulsa hang a lot of points and almost lose MANY times. They are solid but you saw what Oklahoma did to them, if they face a defense and an offense that can score at will, Tulsa could be in for a long night.

**wal66** · 10-12-09, 02:18 PM

It probably won't matter because I'm sure you're playing more against Mid Tenn St then on Miss St but the Bulldogs have Florida on deck.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-12-09, 02:19 PM

Georgia seems like a good pick, but after last week I will most likely not bet on them again this season. But after two tough losses i think they take some anger out on vandy. Vandy is VERY Soft this year, which surprises me seeing as how they returned a lot of starters. But to lose to army and i watched them struggle with rice for the start of that game.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-12-09, 02:37 PM

Im also taking the Jets -2.5 for 1 unit tonight.

**HoulihansTX** · 10-12-09, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

After the Colts last night im 30-20 +46.6 units in football(colts were only my 3rd NFL bet, mostly stick to college. Leans: Utah -16 ( I will continue to fade this pathetic excuse for a football team.) Colorado +10 - I have watched Kansas play almost every week. They cant stop ANYTHING. Yes Reesing is great, he has receivers. The Buffs played really well on the road, and I think they will come out BLAZING for this home conference game. I might teas them up to 17. Central Michigan -7. I love lefevour the QB. Western Michigan is not 1/10th as good as the appeared in Toledo. I think Central can take care of this game.

I agree with all, especially the UNLV & Colorado plays.

I attend UNLV, and went to the BYU game. The coaching was piss poor, and the players gave up half way through the 3rd Qtr. The defense can't stop people with any level of competence. By the 4 Qtr all of the UNLV Student Section was empty, and BYU fans out-numbered UNLV fans.

Kansas can't stop anybody, and Colorado is searching for a win. Colorado is desperate and finally benched Cody Hawkins, Dan Hawkins son.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 02:34 AM

Originally posted by wal66

It probably won't matter because I'm sure you're playing more against Mid Tenn St then on Miss St but the Bulldogs have Florida on deck.

Ya but Miss St. has played Houston and LSU really tough, This SEC team should be able to get out of there with AT LEAST a touchdown win.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 08:53 AM

Damn, I really thought I had that jets play in the bag when the jets scored late.

oh well.

30-21 +45.5 units

Im going to watch the florida line but if it stays at 24 firm all week with the public on Arkansas, Florida will be a play for me. Their D will SHUT arkansas down and we all know Florida can score, especially on Arkansas. This one could get out of hand quick.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 08:53 AM

Tonights game:

Leaning Arkansas St. but thats pretty much just based on them playing iowa tough. I need to to look into it some more.

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 09:18 AM

Ralphie look at my thread on Arkansas St. +2....I think you'll find everything you need there to be confident with the arkansas st. pick

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 09:34 AM

Good info, pretty much what i was thinking in regards to strength of schedule.

I really cant get over this miss st. line. It just seems way to easy, I understand they could look ahead to florida but after a few tough losses to good teams I expect them to take some frustration out on this bad midd tenn st. team.

**HoulihansTX** · 10-13-09, 09:39 AM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

Good info, pretty much what i was thinking in regards to strength of schedule. I really cant get over this miss st. line. It just seems way to easy, I understand they could look ahead to florida but after a few tough losses to good teams I expect them to take some frustration out on this bad midd tenn st. team.

Bad teams don't look ahead. Miss St. should run all over MT St. Plus MT St is inept on offense, and their D is garbage even for the Sun Belt. Did you watch the Troy/ MT st. game last week? MT St looked horrid, and now they have to face a well coached SEC team.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 09:45 AM

Houlihans yes i watched the troy game. I was unfortunately on the wrong side. They couldnt even cover +14 on a teaser. They are terrible. Miss St. may become a ten unit play for me.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 09:54 AM

Play:

Under 54 2 units

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 09:55 AM

Yeah I am loving Miss. St. as well. Way too easy for a team that's competed well this year against decent competition.
25 pt. loss to Auburn (largest margin of defeat)
4 pt. loss to LSU
9 pt. loss to Ga. Tech
7 pt. loss to Houston in a back and forth matchup

after a grinding schedule like that playing this midd. tenn. st. team is going to seem like they are playing complete cupcake

**BigdaddyQH** · 10-13-09, 10:00 AM

"Utah -16 ( I will continue to fade this pathetic excuse for a football team.)"

Care to explain that statement? Are you fading UNLV? Is that the "pathetic team" you are talking about?

Central Michigan looks like a good play, but we are holding off. As long as the line keeps dropping, there is no rush to play this game.

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 10:01 AM

yeah I believe he is talking about fading UNLV.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 10:07 AM

Yes sorry, that was unclear......UNLV is terrible. I might keep riding those mormons. They should have another big win over san diego st.

**BigdaddyQH** · 10-13-09, 10:14 AM

Thanks for clearing that up. Mike Sanford is one of our Top 5 picks for coaches getting fired after the season ends. This team has way too much talent to be playing the way they are. Something is definately wrong there.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 10:27 AM

ZBOIZ just lurking and giving me points for nothing is as creepy as it gets.

Z just take a hike kid, you have completely embarrassed yourself, just leave with dignity

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 10:29 AM

WTF i gave Z a bunch of shit too last week...where are my points

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 10:33 AM

Its really sad that after that happened that he didnt just bounce. I mean how pathetic to post a fake ticket, AND LOSE. I cant imagine he would come back, but he is pathetic so who knows.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 11:24 AM

Im really liking Pitt on Friday night, they are proving to be a scrappy guy.

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

Im really liking Pitt on Friday night, they are proving to be a scrappy guy.

On this as well Ralphie. Pitt is a good team, and Rutgers blows ass, they've played one real team and look what happend to them

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 11:34 AM

Agreed, I might lock this in. I hate that I like Boise and Pitt though because as you know rule #32 in the degenerate handbook is never bet against a home dog on a weeknight. But as you said Rutgers is NOT good, cinci crushed them, I see Pitt winning this by 7+ pretty easily. What do u think the line will do? Im seeing 82% on pitt, maybe I should lock it -3

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 11:39 AM

Yeah if you're gonna play it I'd lock it now

**Tigers1230** · 10-13-09, 11:40 AM

Rutgers is a 2nd half of seaon team. This is the same thing they did last year. I am liking Idaho at -11 and Georgia at -7.5. Vandy I think pulled someone out of the stands and put him at QB. They caught the injury bug early and they have no depth. I think Georgia rolls on them 38-17. Remember, TN has a very good D and caught Georgia in a bad spot after a bunch of tough games. I think they bounce back against a Vandy team that just lost to Army.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 11:42 AM

Pitt -3 for 3 units

I cant take that georgia team. Vandy will come out fired up and swinging after losing to army

**Dbldown11** · 10-13-09, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

Pitt -3 for 3 units

I cant take that georgia team. Vandy will come out fired up and swinging after losing to army

They may come out fired up and swinging.....but sometimes babies get angry too and throw their little arms and legs around, problem is they are just too small to actually do any damage.

Vandy just lost to Army.....I don't think it matters how fired up they get they don't have the skills on the field to stop a Georgia team thats gonna put up points

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 07:18 PM

BOise St./Tulsa Total is 53? I figured 61 minimum.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-13-09, 07:21 PM

GREEK Live Betting still has the total at 54 for -105 after that monroe touchdown.

Im adding UNDER 54 for 10units.