Thoughts on the M Tenn St vs Troy game? IN-GAME Discussion

[infamousbacardi]

The books are making it look like MTSU has no chance of winning this game. They are sucking the Troy backers in and trying to squeeze every penny left over from the weekend out of them. They also know that most people who lost this weekend and want to recoup some of it back will not chase by betting on an underdog playing an away game. Hence making Troy look unbeatable tonight. I wouldn't be surprised to see MTSU win this game outright. In fact, I think they will.

I agree for the most part...I think you're spot on...only thing that scares me is that...perhaps bookies had public betting $$ on Troy, they didn't like it because they love Troy to win big here...so they had to move the line to get people thinking MTSU...now people loving MTSU at +7...and the bookies are happy because they see Troy by 10-14!?! We'll see...where the bookies have THEIR money, is where I'd like to be...not sure where that is at this point though!
Either way, my pick is above. That won't change...small stakes though...small schools, anything can happen.

[RoagBettor]

I agree for the most part...I think you're spot on...only thing that scares me is that...perhaps bookies had public betting $$ on Troy, they didn't like it because they love Troy to win big here...so they had to move the line to get people thinking MTSU...now people loving MTSU at +7...and the bookies are happy because they see Troy by 10-14!?! We'll see...where the bookies have THEIR money, is where I'd like to be...not sure where that is at this point though!
Either way, my pick is above. That won't change...small stakes though...small schools, anything can happen.

The public isn't that smart. That's why they're called "Joes" and the winners are called "Sharps". LOL.

[Cougar Bait]

Update...looks like people are jumping all over Midd Tenn St., now down to 58% in favor of Troy

http://www.sportsinsights.com/spreadbasic.aspx?sport_id=11&v_nss=301&v_date=10/6/2009&gtype=4

[Intuitive_Edge]

+7.5 sounds tempting

[infamousbacardi]

The public isn't that smart. That's why they're called "Joes" and the winners are called "Sharps". LOL.

Haha...I'd tend to 100% agree with you...except that, now people are jumping all over MTSU...doesn't that sound exactly like where the bookies want them?? Sure makes me curious....

[RoagBettor]

Most of the money bet by the public has already been bet. I wouldn't be shocked to see the line go back to -6.5 or even -6 before gametime so the books can get those last few dollars the Troy backers are holding onto for diapers, formula, and other life necessities.

But who really knows? If we could predict every game we'd be bookies!

[Dbldown11]

the line movement hasnt been weird in the game....high percentage of people were on Troy when the line was 4.5 they pushed it up to 7.5 now people are taking Midd. Tenn. St. and i expect to see the line drop below 7 by kickoff.....nothing really weird going on with the line movement....

Unless like myself you think that people pushing the line up to 7 by betting heavy on Troy is completely without merit haha

[SmackdownV]

This is looking JUST LIKE HAWAII last week.

I smell a rat named vinnie......or vido.......or vegas........


Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...............

[Dbldown11]

This is looking JUST LIKE HAWAII last week.

I smell a rat named vinnie......or vido.......or vegas........


Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...............

I'm not sure why you keep bringing this up cause I didnt follow that game or the line movement.....but it's completely different since La. Tech was the home team and favorite AND THE BETTER TEAM...

Now Troy is the home team and the favorite, but everyone betting on them is forgetting something...THEY ARENT THE BETTER TEAM

maybe so many people remember Hawaii like you do so they are carrying it over to this week...but completely different circumstances

[Boddhissatva]

Thanks for all the advice guys...

I think I'm going to wager on MTSU with the Spread...

I'm not sure if I want to touch the over/under.

[SmackdownV]

I have 3 units on the dog........

When Detriot wins.........I'll put 3 more on the ML.

Just strange that Troy is -7.

Strange I tell ya.

[Dbldown11]

***What I'm about to say is meaningless but something that always makes me feel better***

Troy is picked at 82% right now on ESPN streak for the cash....

makes me like Midd. Tenn. St. ML all that much more with all those squares that high on Troy

[spongerat]

where is it 7.5? i'm not buying off the 7

[spongerat]

actually seems to be shading toward the 6.5 now

[Dbldown11]

it got up to 7.5 earlier today sponge....but like I said I expect it to be below 7 by kickoff

[iwantcougars]

md tenn st coach, used to be troy offensive cordinator

[The General]

I know I know...these game doesn't realy matter...but Troy is the favorite and the spread is 6.5.

Any thoughts on this game?

Thanks.

IT DOES MATTER BECAUSE WE LOVE COLLEGE FOOTBALL.

Good luck guys. I don't have an opinion yet, but most likely will go a contrarian route.

Looking forward to the game.

[TPowell]

Troy is constantly a solid program, at least lately, I think Troy wins this by at least a touchdown. I got it at -6.5 as well.

[Boddhissatva]

Ok...I went ahead on put a wager on MTS and a smaller wager on the over.

[iwantcougars]

tonight we will know who were the sharps and the average joe's, this is about probability, luck and effort from the players, coaches, ref's and hot cheerleaders. Everyone thinks they're right, if that wasnt the case why bet $

[obamaismyuncle]

Middle Tenn St. +7 for me

[obamaismyuncle]

Under looks good too, have not made a wager on it yet tho, just the MTS +7 for now

[Dbldown11]

Troy is constantly a solid program, at least lately, I think Troy wins this by at least a touchdown. I got it at -6.5 as well.

They were the PAST two or three years a solid program...not constantly. And this year they are mediocre at best

[iwantcougars]

i picked this game early and got it @ +6.5, probably will try to get it +7 and the under

[iwantcougars]

They were the PAST two or three years a solid program...not constantly. And this year they are mediocre at best

my perception the teams are very balanced, it could go each way, but i think have more chance of winning with md tenn st and the spread, probably the difference will be less than a TD. Troy played Fl and beat UAB, but md tenn st beat maryland, so they can hang on it. I dont care wich teams wins i just want them to win for less than 5 points and score less than 55 points, so D help me out.

[TPowell]

double down, in these games on national television, its ALL about the program and tradition. These guys will play over their heads and win tonight IMO

[Dbldown11]

I'm not sure it's ALL about program and tradition......I would think that some of the skill level of current players and staff is gonna play a role too

[HoulihansTX]

Troy or nothing.

Every Sharp in the nation already pushed the line from 4.5. Why bet against them?

[Dbldown11]

Troy or nothing.

Every Sharp in the nation already pushed the line from 4.5. Why bet against them?

The sharps pushed the line? The public pushed the line when it was like 73% on Trow when the line was 4.5. The best cappers I've seen on here lately are on Midd. Tenn st.

[Cougar Bait]

Okay. Has anyone on this board watched a MTSU or Troy game this year? If so, please explain what matchups could create problems for the opponent...relevant injury information...a wide receiver with a coke problem or something. I hope people are not playing this game based on stats...which would be completely skewed considering one of these teams had to play Florida at the Swamp.

[brock]

Troy looks like the play.

[obamaismyuncle]

mts +7 is the play.

[Cougar Bait]

Here's a little insight from some of the Troy players and coaches...

The exposure of national television helps in the recruiting base, and Blakeney realizes what a game like that can bring to the table for Troy athletics.

"It's always better to win on national television. That's what both programs will be trying to do. It's a great stage for the Sun Belt Conference and both programs and universities. We're looking forward to it, and hopefully we're prepared well and get ready to play as well as we can."

Troy has an all-time record of 8-2 in games televised nationally by ESPN, with the only two losses coming in bowl games. During Blakeney's tenure at Troy the Trojans have a 52-17-1 mark overall in October and he owns a 19-3 home record against current members of the Sun Belt.

"It's important," Lee said. "It's a home game and one of those national television games. We're hoping for a big crowd and with it being a mid-week game, we hope people can get out to the game. I think we're going to need it."

Troy fans are encouraged to pack the house next Tuesday night for what is shaping up to be a vital contest in the Sun Belt League standings. The Trojans will look for the "12th man" in the crowd to help them get a win against a tough rival.

[Cougar Bait]

Troy Right tackle situation a gametime decision: Brown said redshirt freshman Kyle Wilborn, who started the first three games, could be available this week after missing the Arkansas State game with an ankle injury.

[Cougar Bait]

FYI after some more digging, MTSU has 16 seniors and Troy has 30, 8 of which are starters on defense. And, a senior kicker. Both teams have combined to throw 9 INTs this year though, so having some points to lean on might not be a bad idea. Still debating whether or not to give this one a whirl.